0xed19…cb5e

Прибутковий

Едж

+17.1pp

ROI

+27%

Частка перемог

65% @ 48.2¢

Brier

0.230

Угод

438

Сер. розмір

$12

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	59% (71/121)	+23%	121
Політика	61% (59/97)	+17%	97
Спорт	46% (12/26)	+14%	26
Технології	57% (8/14)	+5%	14
Геополітика	57% (8/14)	-20%	14
Економіка	75% (3/4)	+36%	4

Other121 ставки
Влучання
59% (71/121)
ROI
+23%
Політика97 ставки
Влучання
61% (59/97)
ROI
+17%
Спорт26 ставки
Влучання
46% (12/26)
ROI
+14%
Технології14 ставки
Влучання
57% (8/14)
ROI
+5%
Геополітика14 ставки
Влучання
57% (8/14)
ROI
-20%
Економіка4 ставки
Влучання
75% (3/4)
ROI
+36%

Історія результатів

58% влучень · 161/276

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	28.0¢	Перемога
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$33	47.0¢	Перемога
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$54	71.5¢	Поразка
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$56	69.8¢	Перемога
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$15	18.7¢	Поразка
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$2	4.6¢	Поразка
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$20	37.1¢	Поразка
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$76	63.0¢	Перемога
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$35	86.0¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$115	73.8¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	$3	1.6¢	Поразка
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$27	73.0¢	Перемога
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$8	12.1¢	Перемога
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?	No	$74	86.9¢	Перемога
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?	Yes	$10	41.0¢	Перемога
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	$6	37.0¢	Поразка
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$63	72.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$59	74.3¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Поразка
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$19	80.0¢	Поразка
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$13	32.7¢	Перемога
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	Yes	$8	39.6¢	Поразка
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$32	13.2¢	Поразка
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$77	40.9¢	Поразка
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?	No	$3	16.0¢	Поразка
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	$21	52.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$54	22.8¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	$32	79.0¢	Поразка
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	$14	88.4¢	Перемога
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$98	58.6¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$730	33.2¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$115	81.0¢	Перемога
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$18	30.0¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$123	82.3¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$11	14.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	$6	7.1¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$213	59.7¢	Перемога
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$33	53.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	$70	41.9¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$70	88.0¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	$16	49.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$252	78.6¢	Перемога
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$14	69.0¢	Перемога
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$60	32.3¢	Поразка
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$114	86.5¢	Перемога
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	$265	51.8¢	Перемога
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$33	67.0¢	Перемога
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	$29	72.8¢	Поразка
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	Yes	$3	7.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	$218	75.1¢	Перемога

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
No$33 @ 47.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$54 @ 71.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Перемога
No$56 @ 69.8¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Поразка
Yes$15 @ 18.7¢
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 4.6¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поразка
No$20 @ 37.1¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Перемога
Yes$76 @ 63.0¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Перемога
Yes$35 @ 86.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Перемога
Yes$115 @ 73.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Поразка
No$3 @ 1.6¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Перемога
Yes$27 @ 73.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Перемога
Yes$8 @ 12.1¢
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?Перемога
No$74 @ 86.9¢
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?Перемога
Yes$10 @ 41.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Поразка
No$6 @ 37.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$63 @ 72.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Перемога
No$59 @ 74.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Поразка
No$19 @ 80.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$13 @ 32.7¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 39.6¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Поразка
Yes$32 @ 13.2¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Поразка
Yes$77 @ 40.9¢
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?Поразка
No$3 @ 16.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Перемога
No$21 @ 52.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Поразка
Yes$54 @ 22.8¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Поразка
Yes$32 @ 79.0¢
Will Rodri join Barcelona?Перемога
Yes$14 @ 88.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Поразка
No$98 @ 58.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Перемога
Yes$730 @ 33.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Перемога
No$115 @ 81.0¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Поразка
Yes$18 @ 30.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Перемога
No$123 @ 82.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Поразка
Yes$11 @ 14.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Поразка
No$6 @ 7.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Перемога
Yes$213 @ 59.7¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Поразка
Yes$33 @ 53.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Поразка
No$70 @ 41.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Перемога
Yes$70 @ 88.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Поразка
No$16 @ 49.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Перемога
Yes$252 @ 78.6¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Перемога
No$14 @ 69.0¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поразка
Yes$60 @ 32.3¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$114 @ 86.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Перемога
Yes$265 @ 51.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Перемога
No$33 @ 67.0¢
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Поразка
Yes$29 @ 72.8¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Перемога
Yes$218 @ 75.1¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Політика	No	$301	62.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$138	86.0¢
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?	—	No	$96	80.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$89	77.1¢
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	—	Yes	$81	86.0¢
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Політика	Yes	$78	60.8¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$70	87.0¢
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?	—	No	$64	69.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$57	57.4¢
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Політика	No	$49	81.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	—	Yes	$41	69.2¢
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Політика	No	$32	80.0¢
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	Економіка	Yes	$30	71.0¢
Will Ben Shelton Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	—	No	$26	65.0¢
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Економіка	No	$24	74.0¢
Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	—	Yes	$19	47.3¢
Will Arthur Fils Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings	—	No	$18	52.4¢
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	Бізнес	Yes	$16	40.2¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$16	40.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$15	52.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Політика	No	$15	75.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$15	37.3¢
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	—	Yes	$14	50.3¢
Will "Primetime" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	—	Yes	$14	78.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Політика	No	$14	92.9¢
Will Trump praise Jon Rahm in September?	—	No	$11	83.0¢
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?	—	Yes	$10	29.0¢
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Економіка	No	$9	79.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Економіка	Yes	$7	48.0¢
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?	—	Yes	$7	45.0¢

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Політика
No$301 @ 62.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$138 @ 86.0¢
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?—
No$96 @ 80.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$89 @ 77.1¢
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?—
Yes$81 @ 86.0¢
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Політика
Yes$78 @ 60.8¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$70 @ 87.0¢
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?—
No$64 @ 69.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$57 @ 57.4¢
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Політика
No$49 @ 81.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?—
Yes$41 @ 69.2¢
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Політика
No$32 @ 80.0¢
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Економіка
Yes$30 @ 71.0¢
Will Ben Shelton Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?—
No$26 @ 65.0¢
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Економіка
No$24 @ 74.0¢
Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?—
Yes$19 @ 47.3¢
Will Arthur Fils Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings—
No$18 @ 52.4¢
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Бізнес
Yes$16 @ 40.2¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$16 @ 40.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$15 @ 52.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Політика
No$15 @ 75.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Політика
Yes$15 @ 37.3¢
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?—
Yes$14 @ 50.3¢
Will "Primetime" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?—
Yes$14 @ 78.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Політика
No$14 @ 92.9¢
Will Trump praise Jon Rahm in September?—
No$11 @ 83.0¢
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?—
Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Економіка
No$9 @ 79.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Економіка
Yes$7 @ 48.0¢
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?—
Yes$7 @ 45.0¢