0xeb7a…c291

Прибутковий

Едж

-10.2pp

ROI

+3%

Частка перемог

46% @ 56.2¢

Brier

0.159

Угод

196

Сер. розмір

$155

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	75% (27/36)	+50%	36
Політика	57% (4/7)	-55%	7
Технології	100% (2/2)	+27%	2
Геополітика	100% (1/1)	+72%	1

Other36 ставки
Влучання
75% (27/36)
ROI
+50%
Політика7 ставки
Влучання
57% (4/7)
ROI
-55%
Технології2 ставки
Влучання
100% (2/2)
ROI
+27%
Геополітика1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+72%

Історія результатів

74% влучень · 34/46

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?	No	$500	86.7¢	Перемога
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	Yes	$50	57.0¢	Поразка
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	Yes	$3.2k	42.1¢	Перемога
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?	Yes	$1.8k	77.5¢	Перемога
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$355	58.1¢	Перемога
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$50	88.9¢	Перемога
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	$109	65.4¢	Перемога
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	$7.4k	36.9¢	Поразка
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	$201	86.8¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$298	58.0¢	Перемога
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$304	63.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?	No	$100	82.0¢	Поразка
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?	No	$150	78.3¢	Перемога
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?	Yes	$1.2k	69.9¢	Перемога
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$30	61.0¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$555	79.4¢	Перемога
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$1.2k	37.8¢	Поразка
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?	No	$100	66.0¢	Перемога
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$150	69.0¢	Перемога
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$665	75.9¢	Перемога
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	$559	89.2¢	Перемога
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$257	55.1¢	Перемога
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$200	35.6¢	Перемога
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?	Yes	$125	32.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?	No	$56	85.0¢	Перемога
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?	Yes	$4.4k	82.5¢	Перемога
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$366	55.7¢	Перемога
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	$13	53.8¢	Перемога
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?	No	$100	85.0¢	Перемога
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	$100	57.0¢	Перемога
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?	Yes	$100	43.0¢	Поразка
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$175	23.8¢	Поразка
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	$100	76.0¢	Перемога
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	Yes	$256	68.7¢	Перемога
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	$1.9k	77.0¢	Перемога
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?	No	$50	25.0¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$45	68.4¢	Перемога
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$250	56.2¢	Перемога
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$189	84.5¢	Перемога
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$6	5.3¢	Поразка
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	No	$170	72.9¢	Перемога
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?	No	$200	31.9¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$350	85.8¢	Перемога
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	$144	61.6¢	Перемога
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?	Yes	$45	64.0¢	Поразка
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.9k	77.5¢	Перемога

Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?Перемога
No$500 @ 86.7¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Поразка
Yes$50 @ 57.0¢
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Перемога
Yes$3.2k @ 42.1¢
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?Перемога
Yes$1.8k @ 77.5¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Перемога
Yes$355 @ 58.1¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Перемога
No$50 @ 88.9¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Перемога
No$109 @ 65.4¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Поразка
Yes$7.4k @ 36.9¢
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Перемога
No$201 @ 86.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Перемога
No$298 @ 58.0¢
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Поразка
Yes$304 @ 63.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Поразка
No$100 @ 82.0¢
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?Перемога
No$150 @ 78.3¢
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?Перемога
Yes$1.2k @ 69.9¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Поразка
No$30 @ 61.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Перемога
Yes$555 @ 79.4¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Поразка
Yes$1.2k @ 37.8¢
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Перемога
No$100 @ 66.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Перемога
Yes$150 @ 69.0¢
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?Перемога
Yes$665 @ 75.9¢
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Перемога
Yes$559 @ 89.2¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Перемога
Yes$257 @ 55.1¢
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Перемога
Yes$200 @ 35.6¢
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Перемога
Yes$125 @ 32.0¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?Перемога
No$56 @ 85.0¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Перемога
Yes$4.4k @ 82.5¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Перемога
Yes$366 @ 55.7¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Перемога
No$13 @ 53.8¢
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Перемога
No$100 @ 85.0¢
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Перемога
No$100 @ 57.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Поразка
Yes$100 @ 43.0¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Поразка
Yes$175 @ 23.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Перемога
No$100 @ 76.0¢
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Перемога
Yes$256 @ 68.7¢
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Перемога
No$1.9k @ 77.0¢
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?Поразка
No$50 @ 25.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Перемога
Yes$45 @ 68.4¢
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Перемога
Yes$250 @ 56.2¢
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$189 @ 84.5¢
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 5.3¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Перемога
No$170 @ 72.9¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Поразка
No$200 @ 31.9¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Перемога
Yes$350 @ 85.8¢
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Перемога
Yes$144 @ 61.6¢
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?Поразка
Yes$45 @ 64.0¢
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Перемога
Yes$1.9k @ 77.5¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Політика	Yes	$2.2k	53.6¢
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	Політика	Yes	$219	25.4¢
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Політика	Yes	$30	43.0¢

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Політика
Yes$2.2k @ 53.6¢
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Політика
Yes$219 @ 25.4¢
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Політика
Yes$30 @ 43.0¢