0xe6e5…8e81

Профі

Едж

+4.2pp

ROI

+8%

Частка перемог

42% @ 38.1¢

Brier

0.174

Угод

701

Сер. розмір

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	44% (46/104)	+16%	104
Other	32% (8/25)	+7%	25
Геополітика	33% (4/12)	-51%	12
Культура	17% (1/6)	-65%	6
Крипто	75% (3/4)	+206%	4
Технології	100% (2/2)	+109%	2
Спорт	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Наука	50% (1/2)	-55%	2

Політика104 ставки
Влучання
44% (46/104)
ROI
+16%
Other25 ставки
Влучання
32% (8/25)
ROI
+7%
Геополітика12 ставки
Влучання
33% (4/12)
ROI
-51%
Культура6 ставки
Влучання
17% (1/6)
ROI
-65%
Крипто4 ставки
Влучання
75% (3/4)
ROI
+206%
Технології2 ставки
Влучання
100% (2/2)
ROI
+109%
Спорт2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Наука2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
-55%

Історія результатів

41% влучень · 65/157

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$1	82.0¢	Поразка
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Yes	$3	36.5¢	Перемога
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?	Yes	$2	13.0¢	Поразка
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$2	33.0¢	Поразка
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)	Jim Miller	$8	28.7¢	Перемога
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	$1	36.0¢	Поразка
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$19	55.7¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$10	86.7¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$66	5.1¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	Yes	$2	18.7¢	Поразка
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	58.6¢	Перемога
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$3	88.0¢	Перемога
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$5	82.0¢	Поразка
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	No	$7	76.0¢	Перемога
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$1	54.0¢	Поразка
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	No	$2	70.5¢	Поразка
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$1	47.0¢	Поразка
Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?	No	$1	62.0¢	Поразка
Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?	Yes	$1	52.0¢	Перемога
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	$1	28.0¢	Поразка
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$9	39.6¢	Перемога
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	$1	85.0¢	Перемога
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Поразка
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$3	52.2¢	Перемога
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$3	48.4¢	Поразка
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$2	43.9¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$1	62.3¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$38	0.7¢	Поразка
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Juan Diaz	$26	32.3¢	Перемога
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?	Yes	$1	85.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	45.1¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$29	79.3¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$43	12.7¢	Поразка
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Polyana Viana	$25	37.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$3	8.0¢	Поразка
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$15	26.7¢	Перемога
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	$3	61.8¢	Поразка
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Clayton Carpenter	$1	38.0¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	85.0¢	Перемога
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$4	0.4¢	Поразка
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	$1	26.9¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$1	6.4¢	Поразка
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	No	$1	26.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$5	12.8¢	Поразка
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$1	83.0¢	Поразка
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$11	42.2¢	Перемога
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	$2	3.6¢	Перемога
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$6	56.9¢	Поразка

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Поразка
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Перемога
Yes$3 @ 36.5¢
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)Перемога
Jim Miller$8 @ 28.7¢
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 36.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Перемога
No$19 @ 55.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$10 @ 86.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$66 @ 5.1¢
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 18.7¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$2 @ 58.6¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Перемога
No$3 @ 88.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поразка
No$5 @ 82.0¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Перемога
No$7 @ 76.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Поразка
No$2 @ 70.5¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Поразка
No$1 @ 47.0¢
Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?Поразка
No$1 @ 62.0¢
Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Перемога
No$9 @ 39.6¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Перемога
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Перемога
No$3 @ 52.2¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 48.4¢
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Поразка
No$2 @ 43.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 62.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$38 @ 0.7¢
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)Перемога
Juan Diaz$26 @ 32.3¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 85.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 45.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Перемога
No$29 @ 79.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поразка
Yes$43 @ 12.7¢
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Поразка
Polyana Viana$25 @ 37.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$15 @ 26.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 61.8¢
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)Поразка
Clayton Carpenter$1 @ 38.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Trump out as President by May 31?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 26.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 6.4¢
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Поразка
No$1 @ 26.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 12.8¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Поразка
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Перемога
Yes$11 @ 42.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Перемога
No$2 @ 3.6¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 56.9¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$14	24.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Політика	Yes	$8	17.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$7	73.1¢
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Політика	Yes	$7	64.2¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$6	39.5¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	Yes	$6	16.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Політика	No	$6	81.0¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$3	30.1¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Політика	Yes	$3	83.8¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Політика	No	$3	96.6¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$3	39.2¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Політика	No	$3	62.3¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$3	17.8¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Політика	Yes	$3	13.2¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Політика	No	$2	97.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$2	55.0¢
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$2	87.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	—	Yes	$2	27.0¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Спорт	Yes	$2	38.9¢
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Геополітика	Yes	$2	55.2¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$2	38.1¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$2	61.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$2	15.6¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Геополітика	Yes	$1	20.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$1	32.0¢
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1	32.0¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Геополітика	No	$1	80.0¢
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1	49.5¢
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1	97.0¢
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$1	95.0¢

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$14 @ 24.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Політика
Yes$8 @ 17.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$7 @ 73.1¢
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Політика
Yes$7 @ 64.2¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Політика
Yes$6 @ 39.5¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
Yes$6 @ 16.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Політика
No$6 @ 81.0¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Політика
Yes$3 @ 30.1¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Політика
Yes$3 @ 83.8¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Політика
No$3 @ 96.6¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Політика
Yes$3 @ 39.2¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Політика
No$3 @ 62.3¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$3 @ 17.8¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Політика
Yes$3 @ 13.2¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Політика
No$2 @ 97.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Політика
Yes$2 @ 55.0¢
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Політика
Yes$2 @ 87.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?—
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Спорт
Yes$2 @ 38.9¢
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Геополітика
Yes$2 @ 55.2¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$2 @ 38.1¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$2 @ 61.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Політика
Yes$2 @ 15.6¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Геополітика
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Політика
Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Політика
Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Геополітика
No$1 @ 80.0¢
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Політика
Yes$1 @ 49.5¢
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$1 @ 97.0¢
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$1 @ 95.0¢