0xe694…7e7c

Профі

Едж

+2.9pp

ROI

+14%

Частка перемог

25% @ 21.7¢

Brier

0.070

Угод

3057

Сер. розмір

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	37% (142/379)	-1%	379
Other	18% (45/248)	+32%	248
Економіка	39% (17/44)	+10%	44
Спорт	50% (3/6)	+26%	6
Геополітика	50% (3/6)	-39%	6
Технології	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Політика379 ставки
Влучання
37% (142/379)
ROI
-1%
Other248 ставки
Влучання
18% (45/248)
ROI
+32%
Економіка44 ставки
Влучання
39% (17/44)
ROI
+10%
Спорт6 ставки
Влучання
50% (3/6)
ROI
+26%
Геополітика6 ставки
Влучання
50% (3/6)
ROI
-39%
Технології4 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

31% влучень · 210/687

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Israel Katz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Ofer Winter receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Amir Ohana receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Benny Gantz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Yair Lapid receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Gilad Erdan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Yariv Levin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Yoaz Hendel receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Поразка
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$7	97.7¢	Перемога
Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поразка
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?	Yes	$4	87.0¢	Поразка
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?	Yes	$0	6.0¢	Перемога
Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?	Yes	$2	99.0¢	Перемога
Will the Republican Party win the MI-06 House seat?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Поразка
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?	Yes	$5	19.8¢	Поразка
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?	Yes	$6	26.0¢	Поразка
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 86-88%?	Yes	$5	25.0¢	Поразка
Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	$9	11.1¢	Поразка
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	$9	11.1¢	Поразка
Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	$9	11.1¢	Поразка
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	$9	11.1¢	Поразка
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?	Grüne	$1	14.0¢	Поразка
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win at least 9% of all valid votes?	Yes	$1	33.0¢	Поразка
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поразка
Will Miki Zohar win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	2.3¢	Поразка
Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will David Bitan win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	2.3¢	Поразка
Will Israel Katz win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	2.3¢	Поразка
Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	1.9¢	Поразка
Will Yoav Kisch win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Поразка
Will Miri Regev win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	1.6¢	Поразка
Will David Amsalem win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	1.6¢	Поразка
Will Amichai Chikli win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	1.6¢	Поразка
Will Almog Cohen win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Поразка
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Moshe Saada win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Поразка
Will Nir Barkat win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?	Yes	$0	2.3¢	Поразка
What will be the next Fed rate change?	Hike	$0	57.9¢	Перемога
Will 230-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	Yes	$0	8.0¢	Поразка
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	No	$4	76.0¢	Поразка
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Поразка
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$1	4.7¢	Поразка
Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	$2	33.3¢	Поразка
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1	16.7¢	Поразка

Will Israel Katz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Ofer Winter receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Amir Ohana receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Benny Gantz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Yair Lapid receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Gilad Erdan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Yariv Levin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Yoaz Hendel receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Перемога
Yes$7 @ 97.7¢
Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 87.0¢
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?Перемога
Yes$0 @ 6.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?Перемога
Yes$2 @ 99.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the MI-06 House seat?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 19.8¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 26.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 86-88%?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 11.1¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 11.1¢
Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 11.1¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 11.1¢
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Поразка
Grüne$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Miki Zohar win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 2.3¢
Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will David Bitan win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 2.3¢
Will Israel Katz win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 2.3¢
Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
Will Yoav Kisch win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Will Miri Regev win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Will David Amsalem win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Will Amichai Chikli win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Will Almog Cohen win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Moshe Saada win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Will Nir Barkat win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 2.3¢
What will be the next Fed rate change?Перемога
Hike$0 @ 57.9¢
Will 230-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Поразка
No$4 @ 76.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Поразка
No$1 @ 4.7¢
Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 33.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 16.7¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	No	$232	75.5¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Економіка	Yes	$200	96.2¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Економіка	No	$172	80.8¢
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Економіка	No	$154	79.9¢
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Економіка	Yes	$105	47.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Політика	Yes	$100	20.1¢
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Економіка	Yes	$98	23.9¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	—	No	$84	45.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$81	26.4¢
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?	Політика	No	$72	97.5¢
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Економіка	No	$66	81.8¢
Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Політика	No	$53	96.8¢
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Політика	No	$51	63.0¢
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Політика	No	$45	43.2¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Політика	Yes	$39	19.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Політика	Yes	$38	20.0¢
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Економіка	Yes	$36	16.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Політика	Yes	$36	39.8¢
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Економіка	No	$30	50.8¢
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Економіка	Yes	$28	5.8¢
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Політика	Yes	$28	42.2¢
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Економіка	Yes	$27	7.3¢
Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?	Політика	No	$16	88.9¢
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Політика	Yes	$15	0.3¢
Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Політика	No	$14	92.0¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Економіка	No	$14	23.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 10%-15%?	Політика	Yes	$14	95.3¢
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Політика	Yes	$14	41.1¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more?	Політика	Yes	$14	98.5¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Політика	No	$13	79.2¢

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
No$232 @ 75.5¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Економіка
Yes$200 @ 96.2¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Економіка
No$172 @ 80.8¢
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Економіка
No$154 @ 79.9¢
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Економіка
Yes$105 @ 47.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Політика
Yes$100 @ 20.1¢
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Економіка
Yes$98 @ 23.9¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?—
No$84 @ 45.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$81 @ 26.4¢
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?Політика
No$72 @ 97.5¢
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Економіка
No$66 @ 81.8¢
Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Політика
No$53 @ 96.8¢
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Політика
No$51 @ 63.0¢
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Політика
No$45 @ 43.2¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Політика
Yes$39 @ 19.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Політика
Yes$38 @ 20.0¢
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Економіка
Yes$36 @ 16.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Політика
Yes$36 @ 39.8¢
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Економіка
No$30 @ 50.8¢
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Економіка
Yes$28 @ 5.8¢
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Політика
Yes$28 @ 42.2¢
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Економіка
Yes$27 @ 7.3¢
Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?Політика
No$16 @ 88.9¢
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Політика
Yes$15 @ 0.3¢
Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Політика
No$14 @ 92.0¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Економіка
No$14 @ 23.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 10%-15%?Політика
Yes$14 @ 95.3¢
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Політика
Yes$14 @ 41.1¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more?Політика
Yes$14 @ 98.5¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Політика
No$13 @ 79.2¢