0xd414…a4db

Профі

Едж

+7.1pp

ROI

+22%

Частка перемог

36% @ 29.2¢

Brier

0.158

Угод

953

Сер. розмір

$170

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	36% (17/47)	+61%	47
Політика	34% (12/35)	+5%	35
Технології	33% (1/3)	-69%	3
Геополітика	67% (2/3)	-37%	3
Крипто	100% (2/2)	+53%	2
Економіка	100% (1/1)	+23%	1

Other47 ставки
Влучання
36% (17/47)
ROI
+61%
Політика35 ставки
Влучання
34% (12/35)
ROI
+5%
Технології3 ставки
Влучання
33% (1/3)
ROI
-69%
Геополітика3 ставки
Влучання
67% (2/3)
ROI
-37%
Крипто2 ставки
Влучання
100% (2/2)
ROI
+53%
Економіка1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%

Історія результатів

38% влучень · 35/91

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	$2	0.3¢	Поразка
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	$286	81.1¢	Перемога
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Поразка
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$60	0.2¢	Поразка
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	37.1¢	Перемога
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$6.9k	79.8¢	Перемога
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	$2.3k	31.3¢	Перемога
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	$1.6k	16.8¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$15.2k	25.0¢	Поразка
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	$1.1k	9.0¢	Поразка
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	Yes	$1.6k	56.2¢	Перемога
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	No	$445	78.0¢	Перемога
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	Yes	$42	4.5¢	Поразка
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	Yes	$4	3.1¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$4.1k	7.7¢	Поразка
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Поразка
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4	0.4¢	Поразка
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$40	15.4¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	$3	0.6¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$536	80.0¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	15.8¢	Поразка
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.0k	63.7¢	Перемога
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Поразка
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	$32	60.0¢	Перемога
Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?	Yes	$23	73.3¢	Перемога
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	$10.1k	70.2¢	Перемога
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$957	37.6¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	58.8¢	Перемога
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$9	0.8¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$4.2k	69.5¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$5.3k	26.1¢	Поразка
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 30 and June 5?	Yes	$49	1.8¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	$385	33.9¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$161	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Поразка
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$20	1.3¢	Перемога
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	$11	6.0¢	Поразка
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$8	47.0¢	Перемога
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$354	70.5¢	Перемога
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$14.7k	17.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$21.8k	35.8¢	Перемога
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	$1.3k	33.0¢	Поразка
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	$74	7.5¢	Поразка
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$7.2k	89.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	$837	7.9¢	Поразка
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	$20	3.3¢	Поразка
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 27 and July 3?	Yes	$11	0.3¢	Поразка
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$950	19.0¢	Поразка
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?	Yes	$17	1.2¢	Поразка
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?	Yes	$18	1.3¢	Поразка

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Поразка
No$2 @ 0.3¢
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Перемога
No$286 @ 81.1¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Поразка
No$60 @ 0.2¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Перемога
Yes$1.4k @ 37.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Перемога
No$6.9k @ 79.8¢
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Перемога
No$2.3k @ 31.3¢
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Поразка
Yes$1.6k @ 16.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$15.2k @ 25.0¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Поразка
No$1.1k @ 9.0¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Перемога
Yes$1.6k @ 56.2¢
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Перемога
No$445 @ 78.0¢
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Поразка
Yes$42 @ 4.5¢
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 3.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$4.1k @ 7.7¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$40 @ 15.4¢
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Поразка
No$3 @ 0.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Перемога
No$536 @ 80.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.9k @ 15.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$1.0k @ 63.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?Перемога
Yes$32 @ 60.0¢
Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?Перемога
Yes$23 @ 73.3¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Перемога
No$10.1k @ 70.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Поразка
Yes$957 @ 37.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$1.4k @ 58.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 0.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Перемога
No$4.2k @ 69.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поразка
Yes$5.3k @ 26.1¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 30 and June 5?Поразка
Yes$49 @ 1.8¢
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Перемога
No$385 @ 33.9¢
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Поразка
Yes$161 @ 0.1¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$20 @ 1.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Поразка
No$11 @ 6.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Перемога
Yes$8 @ 47.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Перемога
No$354 @ 70.5¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Поразка
Yes$14.7k @ 17.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$21.8k @ 35.8¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Поразка
No$1.3k @ 33.0¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Поразка
No$74 @ 7.5¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Перемога
Yes$7.2k @ 89.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Поразка
Yes$837 @ 7.9¢
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Поразка
No$20 @ 3.3¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 27 and July 3?Поразка
Yes$11 @ 0.3¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$950 @ 19.0¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?Поразка
Yes$17 @ 1.2¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?Поразка
Yes$18 @ 1.3¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Політика	No	$114	57.0¢
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Політика	No	$67	31.4¢
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	Економіка	Yes	$39	39.0¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$13	5.3¢
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$9	59.1¢

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Політика
No$114 @ 57.0¢
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Політика
No$67 @ 31.4¢
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Економіка
Yes$39 @ 39.0¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Політика
Yes$13 @ 5.3¢
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Політика
Yes$9 @ 59.1¢