0xb8ad…ff58

Профі

Едж

+3.1pp

ROI

+6%

Частка перемог

46% @ 43.4¢

Brier

0.133

Угод

2276

Сер. розмір

$42

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	66% (90/137)	+10%	137
Other	50% (44/88)	+3%	88
Геополітика	57% (16/28)	+4%	28
Спорт	23% (5/22)	+8%	22
Технології	48% (10/21)	+12%	21
Економіка	25% (1/4)	-66%	4
Наука	100% (2/2)	+200%	2
Культура	100% (1/1)	+14%	1

Політика137 ставки
Влучання
66% (90/137)
ROI
+10%
Other88 ставки
Влучання
50% (44/88)
ROI
+3%
Геополітика28 ставки
Влучання
57% (16/28)
ROI
+4%
Спорт22 ставки
Влучання
23% (5/22)
ROI
+8%
Технології21 ставки
Влучання
48% (10/21)
ROI
+12%
Економіка4 ставки
Влучання
25% (1/4)
ROI
-66%
Наука2 ставки
Влучання
100% (2/2)
ROI
+200%
Культура1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%

Історія результатів

56% влучень · 169/303

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$82	20.0¢	Поразка
Will Netherlands go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$225	64.0¢	Перемога
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	$740	46.4¢	Поразка
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$369	6.2¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$22	2.5¢	Поразка
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$221	41.8¢	Поразка
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$1.9k	84.5¢	Перемога
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$178	89.0¢	Перемога
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$100	10.0¢	Поразка
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$36	35.7¢	Поразка
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$748	19.5¢	Поразка
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$122	61.0¢	Перемога
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	$65	35.5¢	Перемога
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	$406	67.7¢	Перемога
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$143	71.5¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$876	43.8¢	Поразка
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	$65	32.5¢	Перемога
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Поразка
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$87	14.3¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$46	42.1¢	Поразка
Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Перемога
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	$645	73.1¢	Перемога
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$2.4k	80.0¢	Перемога
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?	No	$345	86.0¢	Перемога
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$747	68.7¢	Перемога
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$739	70.4¢	Поразка
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$35	5.7¢	Поразка
Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?	Yes	$39	6.6¢	Поразка
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$15	67.0¢	Перемога
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$21	65.0¢	Перемога
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$510	85.0¢	Перемога
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$102	34.0¢	Поразка
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	$100	50.0¢	Поразка
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	$388	74.2¢	Перемога
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	$768	78.7¢	Перемога
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	$106	26.4¢	Перемога
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	$417	86.6¢	Перемога
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	$425	82.5¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$541	53.0¢	Перемога
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$22	36.0¢	Перемога
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	$117	58.5¢	Поразка
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?	Yes	$113	54.5¢	Перемога
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$197	15.6¢	Поразка
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?	Yes	$130	71.9¢	Перемога
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	$89	89.0¢	Перемога
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$1.3k	63.7¢	Перемога
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$2.1k	72.7¢	Перемога
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$356	71.2¢	Перемога
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$54	53.7¢	Поразка
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$32	32.0¢	Перемога

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$82 @ 20.0¢
Will Netherlands go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Перемога
Yes$225 @ 64.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Поразка
No$740 @ 46.4¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Поразка
Yes$369 @ 6.2¢
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$22 @ 2.5¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Поразка
Yes$221 @ 41.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Перемога
No$1.9k @ 84.5¢
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Перемога
Yes$178 @ 89.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Поразка
Yes$36 @ 35.7¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$748 @ 19.5¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Перемога
No$122 @ 61.0¢
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$65 @ 35.5¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Перемога
Yes$406 @ 67.7¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Перемога
No$143 @ 71.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$876 @ 43.8¢
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Перемога
Yes$65 @ 32.5¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$87 @ 14.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поразка
Yes$46 @ 42.1¢
Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Перемога
Yes$645 @ 73.1¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Перемога
No$2.4k @ 80.0¢
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$345 @ 86.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Перемога
No$747 @ 68.7¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поразка
No$739 @ 70.4¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$35 @ 5.7¢
Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Поразка
Yes$39 @ 6.6¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Перемога
No$15 @ 67.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Перемога
Yes$21 @ 65.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Перемога
No$510 @ 85.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$102 @ 34.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Поразка
No$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Перемога
Yes$388 @ 74.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Перемога
No$768 @ 78.7¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Перемога
No$106 @ 26.4¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Перемога
No$417 @ 86.6¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Перемога
Yes$425 @ 82.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$541 @ 53.0¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Перемога
Yes$22 @ 36.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?Поразка
No$117 @ 58.5¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?Перемога
Yes$113 @ 54.5¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Поразка
Yes$197 @ 15.6¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Перемога
Yes$130 @ 71.9¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Перемога
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Перемога
Yes$1.3k @ 63.7¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Перемога
Yes$2.1k @ 72.7¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Перемога
No$356 @ 71.2¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Поразка
Yes$54 @ 53.7¢
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Перемога
Yes$32 @ 32.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	Технології	No	$5.1k	97.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Технології	Yes	$2.5k	87.2¢
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Наука	No	$2.2k	66.7¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технології	Yes	$1.5k	63.7¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Наука	No	$1.4k	43.9¢
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Наука	No	$1.3k	85.3¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Політика	No	$1.2k	90.7¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Політика	Yes	$1.1k	57.5¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Політика	Yes	$1.1k	83.0¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$1.1k	69.0¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?	Технології	No	$1.0k	92.5¢
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	Політика	Yes	$816	48.8¢
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	Політика	Yes	$801	48.0¢
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	Політика	No	$770	83.5¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$768	42.5¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$736	40.6¢
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$667	43.4¢
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$646	78.5¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технології	Yes	$635	80.9¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Політика	Yes	$626	51.0¢
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Політика	Yes	$610	40.5¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$585	83.6¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Політика	Yes	$576	82.2¢
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Політика	Yes	$570	59.4¢
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Політика	Yes	$544	86.6¢
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	—	Yes	$540	74.8¢
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?	Політика	Yes	$537	89.5¢
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Технології	No	$524	80.3¢
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Політика	Yes	$508	88.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	Політика	No	$495	98.9¢

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Технології
No$5.1k @ 97.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Технології
Yes$2.5k @ 87.2¢
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Наука
No$2.2k @ 66.7¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технології
Yes$1.5k @ 63.7¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Наука
No$1.4k @ 43.9¢
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Наука
No$1.3k @ 85.3¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Політика
No$1.2k @ 90.7¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Політика
Yes$1.1k @ 57.5¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Політика
Yes$1.1k @ 83.0¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Політика
Yes$1.1k @ 69.0¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Технології
No$1.0k @ 92.5¢
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Політика
Yes$816 @ 48.8¢
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Політика
Yes$801 @ 48.0¢
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Політика
No$770 @ 83.5¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$768 @ 42.5¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$736 @ 40.6¢
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Політика
Yes$667 @ 43.4¢
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Політика
Yes$646 @ 78.5¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технології
Yes$635 @ 80.9¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Політика
Yes$626 @ 51.0¢
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Політика
Yes$610 @ 40.5¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Політика
No$585 @ 83.6¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Політика
Yes$576 @ 82.2¢
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Політика
Yes$570 @ 59.4¢
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Політика
Yes$544 @ 86.6¢
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?—
Yes$540 @ 74.8¢
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Політика
Yes$537 @ 89.5¢
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Технології
No$524 @ 80.3¢
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Політика
Yes$508 @ 88.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Політика
No$495 @ 98.9¢