0xb8a4…a13b

Профі

Едж

+6.6pp

ROI

+33%

Частка перемог

21% @ 14.8¢

Brier

0.062

Угод

140

Сер. розмір

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	15% (8/52)	+49%	52
Технології	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Геополітика	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Other	67% (2/3)	+59%	3
Культура	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Бізнес	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Політика52 ставки
Влучання
15% (8/52)
ROI
+49%
Технології6 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Геополітика6 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Other3 ставки
Влучання
67% (2/3)
ROI
+59%
Культура2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Бізнес1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

14% влучень · 10/70

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	$7	63.0¢	Перемога
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	No	$4	86.6¢	Перемога
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$5	4.7¢	Поразка
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$0	7.4¢	Поразка
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$53	86.7¢	Перемога
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	No	$0	5.6¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$0	2.4¢	Поразка
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Поразка
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поразка
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Поразка
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Поразка
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Поразка
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Поразка
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	$0	1.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Поразка
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Поразка
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Поразка
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Поразка
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поразка
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Поразка
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	$2	4.7¢	Поразка
Will Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Поразка
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	No	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поразка
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	$0	1.5¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Поразка
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	$0	1.4¢	Поразка
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Поразка
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Поразка
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поразка
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$4	11.6¢	Поразка
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Поразка
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	$0	2.0¢	Поразка
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$0	1.4¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Поразка
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Поразка
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Поразка
James Norton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	Yes	$0	2.6¢	Поразка
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	$0	4.0¢	Поразка
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$0	0.3¢	Поразка
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Поразка
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поразка

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Перемога
Yes$7 @ 63.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Перемога
No$4 @ 86.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 4.7¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 7.4¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Перемога
No$53 @ 86.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Поразка
No$0 @ 5.6¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 2.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Поразка
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 4.7¢
Will Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Поразка
No$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Epstein client list released by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 11.6¢
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Поразка
No$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
James Norton announced as next James Bond?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 2.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Поразка
No$0 @ 0.3¢
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Геополітика	No	$224	97.7¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$196	98.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$126	86.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Політика	No	$93	88.1¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Політика	Yes	$60	58.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Політика	No	$53	99.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Політика	No	$49	94.8¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Політика	No	$47	94.3¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$45	86.2¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	Yes	$45	82.7¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Політика	No	$43	82.6¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Політика	No	$42	90.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Геополітика	No	$39	96.6¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Політика	No	$37	95.5¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$35	55.5¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Політика	Yes	$34	79.6¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Політика	No	$33	89.6¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$30	96.7¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Геополітика	No	$30	93.3¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Політика	No	$29	66.6¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Політика	Yes	$29	82.9¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$25	75.7¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Політика	No	$25	89.8¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Політика	No	$22	98.7¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Політика	No	$22	94.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$20	87.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Політика	Yes	$18	20.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Політика	No	$16	95.7¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$16	80.4¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	No	$15	82.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Геополітика
No$224 @ 97.7¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Політика
Yes$196 @ 98.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$126 @ 86.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Політика
No$93 @ 88.1¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Політика
Yes$60 @ 58.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Політика
No$53 @ 99.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Політика
No$49 @ 94.8¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Політика
No$47 @ 94.3¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$45 @ 86.2¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
Yes$45 @ 82.7¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Політика
No$43 @ 82.6¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Політика
No$42 @ 90.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Геополітика
No$39 @ 96.6¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Політика
No$37 @ 95.5¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$35 @ 55.5¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Політика
Yes$34 @ 79.6¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Політика
No$33 @ 89.6¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Політика
No$30 @ 96.7¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Геополітика
No$30 @ 93.3¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Політика
No$29 @ 66.6¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Політика
Yes$29 @ 82.9¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
No$25 @ 75.7¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Політика
No$25 @ 89.8¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Політика
No$22 @ 98.7¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Політика
No$22 @ 94.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$20 @ 87.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Політика
Yes$18 @ 20.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Політика
No$16 @ 95.7¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$16 @ 80.4¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
No$15 @ 82.0¢