0xb760…ccd7

Профі

Едж

+3.6pp

ROI

+14%

Частка перемог

45% @ 41.5¢

Brier

0.159

Угод

1932

Сер. розмір

$126

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	43% (264/617)	+16%	617
Політика	39% (36/92)	+0%	92
Геополітика	36% (5/14)	+69%	14
Технології	36% (4/11)	-55%	11
Наука	75% (6/8)	+26%	8
Культура	33% (1/3)	-99%	3
Крипто	67% (2/3)	+142%	3
Економіка	50% (1/2)	-57%	2
Спорт	100% (1/1)	+426%	1
Бізнес	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other617 ставки
Влучання
43% (264/617)
ROI
+16%
Політика92 ставки
Влучання
39% (36/92)
ROI
+0%
Геополітика14 ставки
Влучання
36% (5/14)
ROI
+69%
Технології11 ставки
Влучання
36% (4/11)
ROI
-55%
Наука8 ставки
Влучання
75% (6/8)
ROI
+26%
Культура3 ставки
Влучання
33% (1/3)
ROI
-99%
Крипто3 ставки
Влучання
67% (2/3)
ROI
+142%
Економіка2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
-57%
Спорт1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+426%
Бізнес1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

43% влучень · 320/752

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 30, 2026?	Yes	$38	95.0¢	Перемога
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	Yes	$90	89.2¢	Перемога
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$43	8.0¢	Поразка
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	Yes	$55	69.0¢	Поразка
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	$2.3k	50.0¢	Поразка
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	$3.4k	87.0¢	Перемога
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	$719	41.6¢	Поразка
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	15.4¢	Поразка
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	$1.7k	86.2¢	Перемога
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	$114	3.2¢	Поразка
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$250	2.5¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	$264	65.9¢	Перемога
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	$381	39.5¢	Поразка
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$355	16.0¢	Поразка
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	Hike 25 bps	$112	31.9¢	Поразка
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	$59	79.4¢	Перемога
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Поразка
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.4k	69.0¢	Поразка
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	Yes	$122	10.7¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Transgender" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?	Yes	$2	36.0¢	Поразка
Will Claude go down 1-2 times in March?	No	$243	86.1¢	Перемога
Will Claude go down 1-2 times in March?	Yes	$44	2.1¢	Поразка
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$234	13.0¢	Поразка
North Korea missile test by September 15?	Yes	$56	18.7¢	Поразка
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$284	70.0¢	Перемога
Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?	No	$3	14.0¢	Перемога
Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?	Yes	$34	21.0¢	Поразка
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?	No	$34	27.0¢	Перемога
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address?	Yes	$32	32.0¢	Поразка
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$101	7.5¢	Поразка
French election called by October 10?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Поразка
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	Yes	$40	89.0¢	Перемога
Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	Yes	$64	63.5¢	Перемога
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	Yes	$2	21.0¢	Поразка
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?	Yes	$33	11.1¢	Поразка
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?	No	$300	30.0¢	Поразка
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$506	62.6¢	Перемога
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?	No	$2	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?	No	$548	54.1¢	Перемога
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$616	51.3¢	Перемога
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-7 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?	No	$12	89.0¢	Перемога
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?	No	$953	77.1¢	Перемога
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?	No	$127	46.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	Yes	$123	25.2¢	Поразка
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	Yes	$371	29.9¢	Поразка
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by October 31?	Yes	$3	50.0¢	Поразка
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?	No	$3	2.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$50	9.0¢	Поразка
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?	Yes	$296	26.9¢	Перемога

Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$38 @ 95.0¢
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?Перемога
Yes$90 @ 89.2¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$43 @ 8.0¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$55 @ 69.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseПоразка
No$2.3k @ 50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseПеремога
No$3.4k @ 87.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Поразка
No$719 @ 41.6¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.3k @ 15.4¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Перемога
No$1.7k @ 86.2¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Поразка
Yes$114 @ 3.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$250 @ 2.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Перемога
No$264 @ 65.9¢
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Поразка
Yes$381 @ 39.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$355 @ 16.0¢
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Поразка
Hike 25 bps$112 @ 31.9¢
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Перемога
No change$59 @ 79.4¢
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Поразка
Yes$1.4k @ 69.0¢
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?Поразка
Yes$122 @ 10.7¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 36.0¢
Will Claude go down 1-2 times in March?Перемога
No$243 @ 86.1¢
Will Claude go down 1-2 times in March?Поразка
Yes$44 @ 2.1¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Поразка
Yes$234 @ 13.0¢
North Korea missile test by September 15?Поразка
Yes$56 @ 18.7¢
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?Перемога
No$284 @ 70.0¢
Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?Перемога
No$3 @ 14.0¢
Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?Поразка
Yes$34 @ 21.0¢
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?Перемога
No$34 @ 27.0¢
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address?Поразка
Yes$32 @ 32.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Поразка
No$101 @ 7.5¢
French election called by October 10?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Перемога
Yes$40 @ 89.0¢
Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Перемога
Yes$64 @ 63.5¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Поразка
Yes$33 @ 11.1¢
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?Поразка
No$300 @ 30.0¢
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?Перемога
Yes$506 @ 62.6¢
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?Поразка
No$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?Перемога
No$548 @ 54.1¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Перемога
Yes$616 @ 51.3¢
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-7 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?Перемога
No$12 @ 89.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$953 @ 77.1¢
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?Перемога
No$127 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Поразка
Yes$123 @ 25.2¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Поразка
Yes$371 @ 29.9¢
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by October 31?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Поразка
No$3 @ 2.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Поразка
Yes$50 @ 9.0¢
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Перемога
Yes$296 @ 26.9¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$4.6k	86.7¢
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Політика	Yes	$1.5k	60.8¢
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Політика	No	$895	85.0¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Політика	No	$809	81.4¢
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Геополітика	No	$672	78.3¢
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?	Політика	Yes	$409	28.1¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Політика	Yes	$373	77.3¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Політика	Yes	$282	25.2¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Політика	Yes	$238	87.6¢
US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	Політика	No	$236	30.6¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$235	63.7¢
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$200	20.0¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Спорт	Yes	$121	40.8¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Технології	No	$91	91.0¢
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$90	89.2¢
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?	Наука	No	$78	8.1¢
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?	Політика	No	$68	63.2¢
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?	Політика	No	$56	24.5¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$43	8.0¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Політика	Yes	$40	30.0¢
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 30, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$38	95.0¢
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$26	11.0¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$24	6.9¢
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$22	3.0¢
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$20	33.0¢
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?	Політика	No	$18	75.0¢
James Norton announced as next James Bond?	Культура	Yes	$8	0.3¢
James Collier announced as next James Bond?	Культура	Yes	$4	0.3¢
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Політика	Yes	$3	5.0¢
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Наука	Yes	$2	24.0¢

US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Політика
Yes$4.6k @ 86.7¢
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Політика
Yes$1.5k @ 60.8¢
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Політика
No$895 @ 85.0¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of October 2026?Політика
No$809 @ 81.4¢
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Геополітика
No$672 @ 78.3¢
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?Політика
Yes$409 @ 28.1¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of October 2026?Політика
Yes$373 @ 77.3¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Політика
Yes$282 @ 25.2¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of October 2026?Політика
Yes$238 @ 87.6¢
US imports Russian diesel by November 15?Політика
No$236 @ 30.6¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Політика
Yes$235 @ 63.7¢
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$200 @ 20.0¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Спорт
Yes$121 @ 40.8¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Технології
No$91 @ 91.0¢
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?Політика
Yes$90 @ 89.2¢
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Наука
No$78 @ 8.1¢
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Політика
No$68 @ 63.2¢
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?Політика
No$56 @ 24.5¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$43 @ 8.0¢
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?Політика
Yes$40 @ 30.0¢
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 30, 2026?Політика
Yes$38 @ 95.0¢
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$26 @ 11.0¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$24 @ 6.9¢
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Політика
Yes$22 @ 3.0¢
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Наука
Yes$20 @ 33.0¢
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?Політика
No$18 @ 75.0¢
James Norton announced as next James Bond?Культура
Yes$8 @ 0.3¢
James Collier announced as next James Bond?Культура
Yes$4 @ 0.3¢
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Політика
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Наука
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢