0xb6ce…895d

Едж

+7.4pp

ROI

-20%

Частка перемог

38% @ 31.1¢

Brier

0.184

Угод

429

Сер. розмір

$16

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	50% (68/135)	-8%	135
Other	61% (66/109)	+13%	109
Спорт	54% (27/50)	+0%	50
Геополітика	39% (13/33)	-14%	33
Крипто	40% (6/15)	+70%	15
Технології	13% (1/8)	-28%	8
Культура	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Економіка	100% (1/1)	+96%	1

Політика135 ставки
Влучання
50% (68/135)
ROI
-8%
Other109 ставки
Влучання
61% (66/109)
ROI
+13%
Спорт50 ставки
Влучання
54% (27/50)
ROI
+0%
Геополітика33 ставки
Влучання
39% (13/33)
ROI
-14%
Крипто15 ставки
Влучання
40% (6/15)
ROI
+70%
Технології8 ставки
Влучання
13% (1/8)
ROI
-28%
Культура2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Економіка1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+96%

Історія результатів

52% влучень · 182/353

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	$17	62.0¢	Перемога
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$103	44.9¢	Поразка
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$38	65.9¢	Перемога
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$20	65.6¢	Перемога
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$33	64.7¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31?	Yes	$5	80.0¢	Перемога
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$7	5.1¢	Поразка
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$9	12.5¢	Перемога
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$47	67.7¢	Поразка
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$98	65.0¢	Перемога
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$280	44.7¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$262	65.5¢	Перемога
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$50	20.7¢	Поразка
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$619	86.3¢	Перемога
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	$16	78.1¢	Перемога
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?	No	$3	4.5¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?	No	$1	6.0¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	$46	83.1¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	$28	8.9¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$270	45.3¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$357	44.7¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$34	61.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$20	8.1¢	Поразка
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$46	35.0¢	Поразка
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	$4	89.0¢	Поразка
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	Yes	$28	60.0¢	Перемога
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$736	4.9¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$61	15.4¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$34	2.6¢	Поразка
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$11	80.0¢	Перемога
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$48	16.6¢	Поразка
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	$14	10.0¢	Поразка
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$18	51.0¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$807	86.5¢	Перемога
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	Yes	$28	6.1¢	Поразка
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	$9	9.1¢	Поразка
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	Yes	$83	59.0¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$846	89.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$18	2.6¢	Поразка
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$17	1.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	Yes	$21	88.0¢	Перемога
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$78	83.0¢	Перемога
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.1k	46.0¢	Поразка
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	$17	86.0¢	Перемога
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	$2	5.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$85	7.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	$3	5.0¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	$20	56.8¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	$4	1.0¢	Поразка
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Поразка

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Перемога
No$17 @ 62.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$103 @ 44.9¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Перемога
Yes$38 @ 65.9¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Перемога
No$20 @ 65.6¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Поразка
Yes$33 @ 64.7¢
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31?Перемога
Yes$5 @ 80.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 5.1¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Перемога
No$9 @ 12.5¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Поразка
Yes$47 @ 67.7¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Перемога
Yes$98 @ 65.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Поразка
No$280 @ 44.7¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Перемога
Yes$262 @ 65.5¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Поразка
Yes$50 @ 20.7¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Перемога
Yes$619 @ 86.3¢
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Перемога
Yes$16 @ 78.1¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Поразка
No$3 @ 4.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Поразка
No$1 @ 6.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Перемога
No$46 @ 83.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Поразка
Yes$28 @ 8.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Поразка
No$270 @ 45.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Перемога
Yes$357 @ 44.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Перемога
No$34 @ 61.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 8.1¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Поразка
Yes$46 @ 35.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Поразка
No$4 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Перемога
Yes$28 @ 60.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Поразка
No$736 @ 4.9¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Перемога
Yes$61 @ 15.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Поразка
Yes$34 @ 2.6¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Перемога
No$11 @ 80.0¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поразка
Yes$48 @ 16.6¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Поразка
No$14 @ 10.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Перемога
Yes$18 @ 51.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$807 @ 86.5¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Поразка
Yes$28 @ 6.1¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Поразка
Yes$83 @ 59.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Перемога
No$846 @ 89.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$18 @ 2.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$17 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Перемога
Yes$21 @ 88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
No$78 @ 83.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$1.1k @ 46.0¢
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Перемога
No$17 @ 86.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$85 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Поразка
No$3 @ 5.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Перемога
No$20 @ 56.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Політика	No	$8.0k	80.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	Yes	$3.0k	84.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Політика	Yes	$2.0k	20.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$969	78.5¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Наука	No	$843	94.4¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Політика	No	$301	91.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$268	40.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Політика	No	$167	97.8¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Геополітика	No	$154	88.4¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$131	90.9¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$130	91.4¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$99	93.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$83	44.8¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$77	47.7¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$64	27.1¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Політика	Yes	$63	15.7¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	No	$62	83.0¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Політика	No	$56	91.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$55	45.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Політика	No	$42	93.3¢
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$38	92.3¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Політика	No	$35	80.0¢
Trump goes to space in 2026?	Політика	No	$32	97.0¢
NATO dissolves before 2027?	Політика	No	$30	95.3¢
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Політика	No	$28	92.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$19	37.9¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Політика	No	$17	78.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Політика	No	$16	82.3¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Політика	No	$16	95.0¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$15	19.2¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Політика
No$8.0k @ 80.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
Yes$3.0k @ 84.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Політика
Yes$2.0k @ 20.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$969 @ 78.5¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Наука
No$843 @ 94.4¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Політика
No$301 @ 91.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Політика
Yes$268 @ 40.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Політика
No$167 @ 97.8¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Геополітика
No$154 @ 88.4¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Політика
Yes$131 @ 90.9¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$130 @ 91.4¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$99 @ 93.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$83 @ 44.8¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Політика
Yes$77 @ 47.7¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Крипто
Yes$64 @ 27.1¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Політика
Yes$63 @ 15.7¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
No$62 @ 83.0¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Політика
No$56 @ 91.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$55 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Політика
No$42 @ 93.3¢
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$38 @ 92.3¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Політика
No$35 @ 80.0¢
Trump goes to space in 2026?Політика
No$32 @ 97.0¢
NATO dissolves before 2027?Політика
No$30 @ 95.3¢
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Політика
No$28 @ 92.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Політика
Yes$19 @ 37.9¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Політика
No$17 @ 78.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Політика
No$16 @ 82.3¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Політика
No$16 @ 95.0¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Політика
Yes$15 @ 19.2¢