0xaab9…a08d

Профі

Едж

+5.5pp

ROI

+14%

Частка перемог

27% @ 21.8¢

Brier

0.138

Угод

5591

Сер. розмір

$59

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	46% (95/205)	+16%	205
Політика	34% (23/68)	-21%	68
Спорт	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Економіка	100% (1/1)	+28%	1
Культура	100% (1/1)	+3%	1

Other205 ставки
Влучання
46% (95/205)
ROI
+16%
Політика68 ставки
Влучання
34% (23/68)
ROI
-21%
Спорт4 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Економіка1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+28%
Культура1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+3%

Історія результатів

43% влучень · 120/279

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$832	18.1¢	Поразка
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$994	70.4¢	Перемога
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$41	21.0¢	Поразка
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?	No	$665	84.6¢	Перемога
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?	Yes	$291	2.9¢	Поразка
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?	No	$701	82.8¢	Перемога
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	$1.0k	76.0¢	Перемога
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	No	$428	2.6¢	Поразка
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$2.2k	47.3¢	Перемога
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$615	16.5¢	Поразка
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	$279	47.7¢	Поразка
Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Поразка
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$118	47.9¢	Поразка
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$77	22.0¢	Перемога
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?	No	$46	8.2¢	Поразка
Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$0	7.0¢	Поразка
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	No	$801	28.1¢	Поразка
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	15.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?	Yes	$2.3k	13.4¢	Перемога
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$212	3.7¢	Поразка
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?	Yes	$110	35.9¢	Поразка
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$137	12.3¢	Поразка
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$418	19.0¢	Поразка
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$452	30.0¢	Поразка
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$984	18.8¢	Перемога
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	No	$326	74.0¢	Перемога
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$106	4.1¢	Поразка
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7.8k	0.8¢	Поразка
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?	Yes	$3.2k	60.4¢	Перемога
Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?	Yes	$91	12.7¢	Поразка
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	No	$167	17.7¢	Поразка
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$3	60.0¢	Перемога
Will The Smashing Machine win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$16	88.5¢	Перемога
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	No	$1.0k	73.1¢	Перемога
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	$153	4.3¢	Поразка
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	No	$269	60.0¢	Перемога
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$203	28.7¢	Поразка
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$99	3.7¢	Поразка
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	$806	72.7¢	Перемога
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$1.4k	42.3¢	Поразка
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$719	40.5¢	Перемога
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	$42	6.8¢	Поразка
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	Yes	$913	84.1¢	Перемога
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	$1.6k	70.7¢	Перемога
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?	No	$495	82.0¢	Перемога
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$388	70.0¢	Поразка
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$18.8k	74.7¢	Перемога
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?	Yes	$189	62.2¢	Перемога
Will more than 10 Senate Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill?	Yes	$1.3k	81.9¢	Перемога
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?	No	$5	2.0¢	Поразка

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Поразка
Yes$832 @ 18.1¢
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Перемога
No$994 @ 70.4¢
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Поразка
Yes$41 @ 21.0¢
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?Перемога
No$665 @ 84.6¢
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?Поразка
Yes$291 @ 2.9¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Перемога
No$701 @ 82.8¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Перемога
No$1.0k @ 76.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Поразка
No$428 @ 2.6¢
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Перемога
No$2.2k @ 47.3¢
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Поразка
Yes$615 @ 16.5¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Поразка
No$279 @ 47.7¢
Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Поразка
Yes$118 @ 47.9¢
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Перемога
Yes$77 @ 22.0¢
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?Поразка
No$46 @ 8.2¢
Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Поразка
No$801 @ 28.1¢
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Перемога
Yes$2.3k @ 13.4¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Поразка
No$212 @ 3.7¢
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?Поразка
Yes$110 @ 35.9¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$137 @ 12.3¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Поразка
No$418 @ 19.0¢
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Поразка
No$452 @ 30.0¢
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Перемога
Yes$984 @ 18.8¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Перемога
No$326 @ 74.0¢
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Поразка
Yes$106 @ 4.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$7.8k @ 0.8¢
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Перемога
Yes$3.2k @ 60.4¢
Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?Поразка
Yes$91 @ 12.7¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Поразка
No$167 @ 17.7¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Перемога
Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
Will The Smashing Machine win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?Перемога
No$16 @ 88.5¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Перемога
No$1.0k @ 73.1¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Поразка
Yes$153 @ 4.3¢
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Перемога
No$269 @ 60.0¢
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Поразка
Yes$203 @ 28.7¢
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Поразка
Yes$99 @ 3.7¢
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Перемога
Yes$806 @ 72.7¢
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Поразка
Yes$1.4k @ 42.3¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$719 @ 40.5¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Поразка
Yes$42 @ 6.8¢
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Перемога
Yes$913 @ 84.1¢
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Перемога
No$1.6k @ 70.7¢
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Перемога
No$495 @ 82.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Поразка
No$388 @ 70.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Перемога
Yes$18.8k @ 74.7¢
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?Перемога
Yes$189 @ 62.2¢
Will more than 10 Senate Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill?Перемога
Yes$1.3k @ 81.9¢
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?Поразка
No$5 @ 2.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$9.8k	49.9¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$7.5k	26.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$7.1k	34.5¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$7.0k	13.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$3.3k	42.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$3.3k	40.5¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$3.1k	32.7¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?	Політика	No	$2.2k	61.9¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$2.0k	1.8¢
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Політика	No	$1.8k	86.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Політика	Yes	$1.6k	36.5¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Політика	No	$1.3k	82.2¢
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Політика	No	$1.2k	71.2¢
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$1.2k	39.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1.1k	19.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Політика	No	$865	20.3¢
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$861	47.7¢
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	Політика	No	$628	62.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	Політика	Yes	$607	27.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$588	29.5¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$507	12.9¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?	Політика	No	$477	50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Політика	Yes	$444	83.7¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?	Політика	No	$417	75.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Політика	Yes	$378	34.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Політика	No	$342	82.8¢
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Політика	No	$340	29.6¢
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Культура	No	$333	60.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Політика	No	$332	63.2¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$323	23.1¢

Kash Patel out by December 31?Політика
Yes$9.8k @ 49.9¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Політика
Yes$7.5k @ 26.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$7.1k @ 34.5¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$7.0k @ 13.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$3.3k @ 42.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$3.3k @ 40.5¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Політика
Yes$3.1k @ 32.7¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Політика
No$2.2k @ 61.9¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$2.0k @ 1.8¢
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Політика
No$1.8k @ 86.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Політика
Yes$1.6k @ 36.5¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Політика
No$1.3k @ 82.2¢
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Політика
No$1.2k @ 71.2¢
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Політика
Yes$1.2k @ 39.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$1.1k @ 19.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Політика
No$865 @ 20.3¢
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Політика
Yes$861 @ 47.7¢
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Політика
No$628 @ 62.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?Політика
Yes$607 @ 27.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$588 @ 29.5¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Політика
Yes$507 @ 12.9¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Політика
No$477 @ 50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Політика
Yes$444 @ 83.7¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Політика
No$417 @ 75.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseПолітика
Yes$378 @ 34.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?Політика
No$342 @ 82.8¢
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Політика
No$340 @ 29.6¢
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Культура
No$333 @ 60.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Політика
No$332 @ 63.2¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Політика
Yes$323 @ 23.1¢