0xa70f…9649

Прибутковий

Едж

-13.9pp

ROI

+25%

Частка перемог

37% @ 51.2¢

Brier

0.294

Угод

Сер. розмір

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	50% (11/22)	-39%	22
Other	50% (6/12)	+211%	12
Спорт	60% (6/10)	-14%	10
Геополітика	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Крипто	100% (1/1)	+96%	1

Політика22 ставки
Влучання
50% (11/22)
ROI
-39%
Other12 ставки
Влучання
50% (6/12)
ROI
+211%
Спорт10 ставки
Влучання
60% (6/10)
ROI
-14%
Геополітика2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Крипто1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+96%

Історія результатів

51% влучень · 24/47

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$2	94.1¢	Перемога
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$10	28.5¢	Поразка
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$8	67.0¢	Поразка
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$2	63.9¢	Перемога
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$2	24.1¢	Поразка
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$2	72.1¢	Перемога
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$4	94.3¢	Перемога
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$4	95.5¢	Перемога
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$2	14.5¢	Поразка
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$10	42.1¢	Перемога
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	$2	27.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	$5	89.3¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$2	88.0¢	Перемога
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$2	42.9¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$0	48.1¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$1	71.0¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	32.4¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$4	39.1¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$4	41.5¢	Перемога
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$2	81.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$1	45.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$1	54.0¢	Перемога
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	3.6¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$4	14.6¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$5	21.7¢	Перемога
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$27	74.9¢	Поразка
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	$1	51.0¢	Перемога
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	58.2¢	Перемога
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$1	41.0¢	Поразка
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	46.3¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	$3	29.5¢	Поразка
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$3	63.9¢	Перемога
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	35.0¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	58.0¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Поразка
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$4	84.4¢	Перемога
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$2	28.3¢	Поразка
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	23.6¢	Поразка
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	$1	80.0¢	Перемога
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	44.0¢	Поразка
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$2	43.0¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Перемога
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	86.0¢	Перемога
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$3	46.6¢	Перемога
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	$5	73.7¢	Поразка
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?	No	$1	14.9¢	Поразка

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Перемога
No$2 @ 94.1¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 28.5¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Поразка
No$8 @ 67.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Перемога
No$2 @ 63.9¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 24.1¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Перемога
Yes$2 @ 72.1¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Перемога
No$4 @ 94.3¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Перемога
No$4 @ 95.5¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 14.5¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Перемога
Yes$10 @ 42.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Поразка
No$2 @ 27.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Перемога
Yes$5 @ 89.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Перемога
No$2 @ 88.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Поразка
No$2 @ 42.9¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Перемога
Yes$0 @ 48.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Перемога
No$1 @ 71.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 32.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Поразка
No$4 @ 39.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Перемога
Yes$4 @ 41.5¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Перемога
Yes$2 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Поразка
No$1 @ 45.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Поразка
No$4 @ 14.6¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Перемога
Yes$5 @ 21.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$27 @ 74.9¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Перемога
No$1 @ 51.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 58.2¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Поразка
No$1 @ 41.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$4 @ 87.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$2 @ 46.3¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$3 @ 29.5¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Перемога
No$3 @ 63.9¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 35.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 58.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
No$4 @ 84.4¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 28.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 23.6¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Перемога
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 44.0¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 43.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$2 @ 86.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Перемога
No$3 @ 46.6¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 73.7¢
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Поразка
No$1 @ 14.9¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Політика	No	$44	69.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$9	81.6¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Політика	No	$4	84.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Культура	No	$4	89.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$2	5.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	No	$2	71.0¢
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$2	93.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$2	65.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$1	25.0¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Політика
No$44 @ 69.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$9 @ 81.6¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Політика
No$4 @ 84.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Культура
No$4 @ 89.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Політика
Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
No$2 @ 71.0¢
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$2 @ 93.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$2 @ 65.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢