0x9ef5…5d4f

Профі

Едж

+20.5pp

ROI

+42%

Частка перемог

70% @ 49.5¢

Brier

0.113

Угод

380

Сер. розмір

$454

Динаміка ROI

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	50% (6/12)	+43%	12
Політика	60% (3/5)	+41%	5
Геополітика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

50% влучень · 9/18

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$533	12.0¢	Перемога
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$3.3k	1.1¢	Поразка
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$983	55.0¢	Перемога
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$2.3k	10.9¢	Перемога
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$36.7k	72.2¢	Перемога
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$34	0.6¢	Поразка
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	Yes	$240	6.0¢	Поразка
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$54.0k	67.6¢	Перемога
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	$4.5k	40.4¢	Поразка
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	$1.1k	51.6¢	Перемога
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	$844	33.0¢	Поразка
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$160	1.3¢	Поразка
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$9.4k	83.2¢	Перемога
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$57.1k	83.8¢	Перемога
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$500	9.0¢	Перемога
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	$700	28.0¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$20	40.0¢	Поразка

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$46.7k	50.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	No	$46.7k	50.0¢