0x9c26…74bc

Едж

-10.1pp

ROI

-9%

Частка перемог

66% @ 76.3¢

Brier

0.187

Угод

252

Сер. розмір

$1.2k

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	90% (35/39)	+5%	39
Other	67% (8/12)	+4%	12
Геополітика	100% (9/9)	+3%	9
Спорт	80% (4/5)	-29%	5
Крипто	100% (3/3)	+1%	3
Технології	100% (1/1)	+1%	1

Політика39 ставки
Влучання
90% (35/39)
ROI
+5%
Other12 ставки
Влучання
67% (8/12)
ROI
+4%
Геополітика9 ставки
Влучання
100% (9/9)
ROI
+3%
Спорт5 ставки
Влучання
80% (4/5)
ROI
-29%
Крипто3 ставки
Влучання
100% (3/3)
ROI
+1%
Технології1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1%

Історія результатів

87% влучень · 60/69

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$20.7k	66.0¢	Перемога
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$4.2k	70.1¢	Перемога
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$10.9k	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	$26.2k	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$9.6k	80.2¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$92.4k	87.1¢	Перемога
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$2.3k	67.0¢	Перемога
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$44.9k	76.7¢	Поразка
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$52.6k	82.1¢	Перемога
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5.6k	56.2¢	Поразка
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.0k	40.6¢	Поразка
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$2.0k	40.5¢	Поразка
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.4k	69.0¢	Перемога
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	No	$9.2k	97.2¢	Перемога
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?	No	$618	89.0¢	Перемога
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	France	$1.9k	38.8¢	Поразка
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$71.3k	94.0¢	Перемога
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	$15.8k	92.3¢	Перемога
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$29.4k	90.4¢	Перемога
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$10.9k	73.0¢	Перемога
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$42.6k	97.3¢	Перемога
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$413	80.0¢	Перемога
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$25.8k	97.9¢	Перемога
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$8.8k	88.0¢	Перемога
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$8.8k	88.0¢	Перемога
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$3.4k	76.0¢	Поразка
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	$98.7k	98.7¢	Перемога
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$42.4k	90.4¢	Перемога
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	$837	92.0¢	Перемога
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	$36.7k	95.5¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$6.1k	99.4¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$7.9k	79.5¢	Перемога
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	$34.1k	89.5¢	Перемога
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$19.6k	99.5¢	Перемога
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$3.8k	95.7¢	Перемога
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$19.0k	95.0¢	Перемога
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$2.7k	45.0¢	Поразка
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	$2.3k	79.0¢	Перемога
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$9.6k	96.0¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?	No	$610	91.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$12.3k	95.0¢	Перемога
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$57.7k	94.2¢	Перемога
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	$12.2k	99.2¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$6.8k	68.0¢	Перемога
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?	No	$52.7k	99.9¢	Перемога
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	$1.0k	50.0¢	Перемога
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	No	$14.0k	96.5¢	Перемога
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?	No	$1.4k	98.6¢	Перемога
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	$9.0k	90.2¢	Перемога
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	No	$37.2k	98.7¢	Перемога

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Перемога
Yes$20.7k @ 66.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Перемога
Yes$4.2k @ 70.1¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Перемога
Yes$10.9k @ 87.0¢
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Перемога
No$26.2k @ 87.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Поразка
No$9.6k @ 80.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Перемога
No$92.4k @ 87.1¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Перемога
No$2.3k @ 67.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Поразка
No$44.9k @ 76.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$52.6k @ 82.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$5.6k @ 56.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.0k @ 40.6¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Поразка
Yes$2.0k @ 40.5¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Перемога
Yes$1.4k @ 69.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Перемога
No$9.2k @ 97.2¢
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Перемога
No$618 @ 89.0¢
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceПоразка
France$1.9k @ 38.8¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
No$71.3k @ 94.0¢
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Перемога
No$15.8k @ 92.3¢
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Перемога
Yes$29.4k @ 90.4¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
Yes$10.9k @ 73.0¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Перемога
No$42.6k @ 97.3¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Перемога
No$413 @ 80.0¢
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$25.8k @ 97.9¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Перемога
No$8.8k @ 88.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Перемога
Yes$8.8k @ 88.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поразка
No$3.4k @ 76.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Перемога
No$98.7k @ 98.7¢
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Перемога
No$42.4k @ 90.4¢
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Перемога
Yes$837 @ 92.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Перемога
No$36.7k @ 95.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Перемога
No$6.1k @ 99.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Перемога
No$7.9k @ 79.5¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Перемога
No$34.1k @ 89.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$19.6k @ 99.5¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Перемога
No$3.8k @ 95.7¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Перемога
No$19.0k @ 95.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поразка
Yes$2.7k @ 45.0¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Перемога
Yes$2.3k @ 79.0¢
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$9.6k @ 96.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$610 @ 91.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$12.3k @ 95.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Перемога
No$57.7k @ 94.2¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Перемога
Yes$12.2k @ 99.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Перемога
No$6.8k @ 68.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Перемога
No$52.7k @ 99.9¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Перемога
Ciryl Gane$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Перемога
No$14.0k @ 96.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Перемога
No$1.4k @ 98.6¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Перемога
No$9.0k @ 90.2¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?Перемога
No$37.2k @ 98.7¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$62.9k	78.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$35.6k	79.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Політика	No	$21.3k	82.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Політика	No	$12.5k	90.0¢
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$396	93.7¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$62.9k @ 78.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Політика
Yes$35.6k @ 79.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Політика
No$21.3k @ 82.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Політика
No$12.5k @ 90.0¢
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Політика
Yes$396 @ 93.7¢