0x9032…b5c3

Профі

Едж

+4.4pp

ROI

+28%

Частка перемог

41% @ 36.2¢

Brier

0.193

Угод

902

Сер. розмір

$66

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	48% (51/106)	+56%	106
Other	53% (31/59)	-6%	59
Геополітика	39% (7/18)	-15%	18
Технології	75% (3/4)	+30%	4
Культура	50% (2/4)	+128%	4
Економіка	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Крипто	100% (2/2)	+94%	2
Спорт	100% (1/1)	+0%	1

Політика106 ставки
Влучання
48% (51/106)
ROI
+56%
Other59 ставки
Влучання
53% (31/59)
ROI
-6%
Геополітика18 ставки
Влучання
39% (7/18)
ROI
-15%
Технології4 ставки
Влучання
75% (3/4)
ROI
+30%
Культура4 ставки
Влучання
50% (2/4)
ROI
+128%
Економіка2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Крипто2 ставки
Влучання
100% (2/2)
ROI
+94%
Спорт1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+0%

Історія результатів

49% влучень · 97/196

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$16	44.5¢	Перемога
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$114	6.1¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$52	26.0¢	Поразка
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$40	33.0¢	Перемога
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?	No	$56	55.7¢	Поразка
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$45	9.0¢	Поразка
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$140	70.0¢	Перемога
Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Поразка
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$13	65.0¢	Поразка
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$410	49.4¢	Перемога
Will the Green Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	Yes	$24	23.3¢	Перемога
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	No	$129	46.0¢	Поразка
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?	Yes	$109	8.6¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$88	29.7¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	No	$25	55.0¢	Перемога
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$39	77.7¢	Перемога
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$48	16.0¢	Поразка
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?	No	$17	10.7¢	Поразка
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	No	$71	79.0¢	Перемога
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$148	12.3¢	Поразка
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?	Yes	$67	86.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$707	44.2¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	15.2¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$192	77.0¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$661	7.1¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Germany" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	$18	35.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$18	3.5¢	Поразка
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?	Yes	$13	74.0¢	Перемога
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$180	30.0¢	Перемога
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	No	$137	30.5¢	Перемога
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	$56	20.6¢	Поразка
Will James Settelmeyer be the Republican nominee for NV-02?	Yes	$14	46.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?	No	$21	8.0¢	Поразка
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	$104	31.9¢	Поразка
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	$344	86.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	$4	13.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	$23	78.0¢	Перемога
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	$192	4.8¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$746	50.4¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$1.3k	46.8¢	Перемога
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	$232	76.0¢	Перемога
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$1.1k	31.9¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	$20	13.0¢	Поразка
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$21	42.6¢	Поразка
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$106	30.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$503	50.3¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	23.5¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	$319	4.8¢	Поразка
Will the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	$6	85.0¢	Перемога

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Перемога
No$16 @ 44.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$114 @ 6.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$40 @ 33.0¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Поразка
No$56 @ 55.7¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Поразка
Yes$45 @ 9.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Перемога
Yes$140 @ 70.0¢
Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Поразка
Yes$13 @ 65.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Перемога
Yes$410 @ 49.4¢
Will the Green Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Перемога
Yes$24 @ 23.3¢
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Поразка
No$129 @ 46.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?Поразка
Yes$109 @ 8.6¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Поразка
Yes$88 @ 29.7¢
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Перемога
No$25 @ 55.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Перемога
Yes$39 @ 77.7¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Поразка
Yes$48 @ 16.0¢
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?Поразка
No$17 @ 10.7¢
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Перемога
No$71 @ 79.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Поразка
No$148 @ 12.3¢
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?Перемога
Yes$67 @ 86.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Перемога
No$707 @ 44.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.3k @ 15.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Перемога
No$192 @ 77.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поразка
Yes$661 @ 7.1¢
Will Trump say "Germany" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Перемога
No$18 @ 35.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Поразка
Yes$18 @ 3.5¢
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?Перемога
Yes$13 @ 74.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$180 @ 30.0¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Перемога
No$137 @ 30.5¢
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Поразка
Yes$56 @ 20.6¢
Will James Settelmeyer be the Republican nominee for NV-02?Поразка
Yes$14 @ 46.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Поразка
No$21 @ 8.0¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Поразка
Yes$104 @ 31.9¢
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Перемога
No$344 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Поразка
No$4 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Перемога
Yes$23 @ 78.0¢
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Поразка
Yes$192 @ 4.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Поразка
No$746 @ 50.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Перемога
Yes$1.3k @ 46.8¢
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Перемога
No$232 @ 76.0¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Поразка
Yes$1.1k @ 31.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 13.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Поразка
No$21 @ 42.6¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Перемога
Yes$106 @ 30.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Перемога
No$503 @ 50.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.8k @ 23.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Поразка
Yes$319 @ 4.8¢
Will the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Перемога
No$6 @ 85.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$1.5k	82.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$1.2k	68.3¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Технології	No	$1.1k	49.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Політика	No	$1.0k	66.2¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Політика	Yes	$910	91.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Технології	No	$662	62.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Політика	Yes	$571	27.0¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Політика	No	$380	76.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$282	60.0¢
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Технології	No	$240	80.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$225	75.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$189	63.0¢
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Політика	Yes	$165	38.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Політика	Yes	$142	23.7¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Політика	No	$133	45.3¢
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Технології	No	$118	84.0¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Політика	No	$93	92.9¢
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?	Політика	No	$68	68.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Політика	No	$60	19.9¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Технології	No	$44	21.9¢
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Культура	Yes	$42	14.0¢
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	Технології	Yes	$36	18.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Політика	No	$33	50.0¢
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$33	52.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	Політика	No	$32	8.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$32	8.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%?	Політика	No	$25	81.0¢
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Політика	Yes	$25	5.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Технології	No	$25	79.4¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?	Політика	Yes	$21	52.5¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$1.5k @ 82.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$1.2k @ 68.3¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Технології
No$1.1k @ 49.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Політика
No$1.0k @ 66.2¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Політика
Yes$910 @ 91.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Технології
No$662 @ 62.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Політика
Yes$571 @ 27.0¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Політика
No$380 @ 76.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$282 @ 60.0¢
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Технології
No$240 @ 80.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Політика
Yes$225 @ 75.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$189 @ 63.0¢
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Політика
Yes$165 @ 38.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Політика
Yes$142 @ 23.7¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Політика
No$133 @ 45.3¢
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Технології
No$118 @ 84.0¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Політика
No$93 @ 92.9¢
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?Політика
No$68 @ 68.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Політика
No$60 @ 19.9¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Технології
No$44 @ 21.9¢
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Культура
Yes$42 @ 14.0¢
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Технології
Yes$36 @ 18.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Політика
No$33 @ 50.0¢
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Політика
Yes$33 @ 52.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Політика
No$32 @ 8.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Політика
Yes$32 @ 8.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%?Політика
No$25 @ 81.0¢
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Політика
Yes$25 @ 5.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Технології
No$25 @ 79.4¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?Політика
Yes$21 @ 52.5¢