0x8df9…468c

Профі

Едж

+6.1pp

ROI

+6%

Частка перемог

34% @ 28.2¢

Brier

0.133

Угод

2502

Сер. розмір

$61

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	31% (113/362)	+31%	362
Політика	36% (32/89)	-29%	89
Геополітика	21% (7/33)	-43%	33
Спорт	16% (3/19)	-76%	19
Технології	75% (3/4)	+57%	4
Крипто	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other362 ставки
Влучання
31% (113/362)
ROI
+31%
Політика89 ставки
Влучання
36% (32/89)
ROI
-29%
Геополітика33 ставки
Влучання
21% (7/33)
ROI
-43%
Спорт19 ставки
Влучання
16% (3/19)
ROI
-76%
Технології4 ставки
Влучання
75% (3/4)
ROI
+57%
Крипто1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

31% влучень · 158/508

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$100	83.0¢	Перемога
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	1.5¢	Поразка
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$30	1.0¢	Поразка
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?	Yes	$1	33.1¢	Поразка
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?	Yes	$2	2.1¢	Поразка
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$11.6k	9.3¢	Поразка
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$584	86.4¢	Перемога
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$100	1.2¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	$146	73.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$10	61.5¢	Перемога
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$100	2.6¢	Поразка
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$400	11.2¢	Поразка
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$4	78.0¢	Перемога
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Поразка
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	$33	49.0¢	Перемога
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	No	$1	2.0¢	Поразка
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	$39	55.0¢	Перемога
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$311	29.3¢	Поразка
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$874	11.6¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)	No	$200	21.1¢	Поразка
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$30	5.6¢	Поразка
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	Yes	$10	3.3¢	Поразка
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$100	34.0¢	Перемога
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?	No	$16	62.1¢	Перемога
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?	Yes	$31	20.1¢	Поразка
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	$31	52.7¢	Перемога
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?	Yes	$68	68.0¢	Перемога
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?	No	$2	0.2¢	Поразка
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	$17	32.0¢	Поразка
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$40	20.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$100	3.1¢	Поразка
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$100	88.1¢	Перемога
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$100	1.5¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$384	65.0¢	Перемога
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	$100	61.8¢	Перемога
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	Yes	$330	85.7¢	Перемога
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	$168	2.1¢	Поразка
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$130	2.3¢	Поразка
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	$100	47.3¢	Поразка
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	$385	84.5¢	Перемога
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$214	13.1¢	Поразка
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	$100	2.9¢	Поразка
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	$140	83.8¢	Перемога
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	$11	0.2¢	Поразка
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$92	23.0¢	Поразка
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	No	$2	31.7¢	Перемога
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	Yes	$48	73.7¢	Поразка
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	Yes	$108	43.0¢	Перемога
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$100	13.0¢	Поразка

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Перемога
Yes$100 @ 83.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Поразка
Yes$30 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 33.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 2.1¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Поразка
No$11.6k @ 9.3¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Перемога
Yes$584 @ 86.4¢
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?Поразка
Yes$100 @ 1.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Перемога
No$146 @ 73.0¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Перемога
Yes$10 @ 61.5¢
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?Поразка
Yes$100 @ 2.6¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$400 @ 11.2¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Перемога
Yes$4 @ 78.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Перемога
No$33 @ 49.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Поразка
No$1 @ 2.0¢
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Перемога
No$39 @ 55.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceПоразка
Switzerland$311 @ 29.3¢
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$874 @ 11.6¢
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)Поразка
No$200 @ 21.1¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Поразка
Yes$30 @ 5.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 3.3¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?Перемога
Yes$100 @ 34.0¢
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Перемога
No$16 @ 62.1¢
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Поразка
Yes$31 @ 20.1¢
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Перемога
No$31 @ 52.7¢
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?Перемога
Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Поразка
No$2 @ 0.2¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Поразка
Yes$17 @ 32.0¢
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$40 @ 20.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Поразка
No$100 @ 3.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$100 @ 88.1¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Поразка
Yes$100 @ 1.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$384 @ 65.0¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Перемога
Yes$100 @ 61.8¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Перемога
Yes$330 @ 85.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Поразка
Yes$168 @ 2.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Поразка
Yes$130 @ 2.3¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Поразка
No$100 @ 47.3¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Перемога
Yes$385 @ 84.5¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?Поразка
Yes$214 @ 13.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Поразка
No$100 @ 2.9¢
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?Перемога
Yes$140 @ 83.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?Поразка
Yes$11 @ 0.2¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Поразка
No$92 @ 23.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Перемога
No$2 @ 31.7¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Поразка
Yes$48 @ 73.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Перемога
Yes$108 @ 43.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Поразка
Yes$100 @ 13.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$439	18.7¢
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Геополітика	No	$402	58.6¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$200	21.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$170	67.1¢
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$150	17.4¢
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$130	14.1¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$119	13.9¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$115	31.6¢
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$100	89.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Технології	Yes	$100	79.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$100	17.0¢
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$82	11.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$80	29.2¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$78	78.0¢
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$60	30.5¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$60	7.6¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Геополітика	Yes	$56	56.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$52	26.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$50	17.4¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$50	59.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технології	Yes	$50	3.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Технології	Yes	$40	9.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Геополітика	Yes	$36	0.8¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Технології	No	$30	80.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Технології	No	$30	81.0¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$30	11.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технології	Yes	$20	8.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Політика	Yes	$19	53.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Технології	Yes	$10	55.3¢
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Технології	Yes	$10	49.0¢

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Політика
Yes$439 @ 18.7¢
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Геополітика
No$402 @ 58.6¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Політика
Yes$200 @ 21.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$170 @ 67.1¢
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$150 @ 17.4¢
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?Технології
Yes$130 @ 14.1¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Політика
Yes$119 @ 13.9¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$115 @ 31.6¢
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$100 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Технології
Yes$100 @ 79.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$100 @ 17.0¢
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Геополітика
Yes$82 @ 11.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$80 @ 29.2¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$78 @ 78.0¢
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Геополітика
Yes$60 @ 30.5¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Політика
Yes$60 @ 7.6¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Геополітика
Yes$56 @ 56.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$50 @ 17.4¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$50 @ 59.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технології
Yes$50 @ 3.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Технології
Yes$40 @ 9.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Геополітика
Yes$36 @ 0.8¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Технології
No$30 @ 80.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Технології
No$30 @ 81.0¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31?Політика
Yes$30 @ 11.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технології
Yes$20 @ 8.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Політика
Yes$19 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Технології
Yes$10 @ 55.3¢
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Технології
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢