0x81e9…1812

Профі

Едж

+12.2pp

ROI

+50%

Частка перемог

51% @ 38.8¢

Brier

0.188

Угод

400

Сер. розмір

$31

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	48% (32/66)	-7%	66
Політика	60% (15/25)	+19%	25
Технології	80% (4/5)	+62%	5
Крипто	67% (2/3)	+127%	3
Спорт	50% (1/2)	-10%	2
Геополітика	100% (2/2)	+26%	2

Other66 ставки
Влучання
48% (32/66)
ROI
-7%
Політика25 ставки
Влучання
60% (15/25)
ROI
+19%
Технології5 ставки
Влучання
80% (4/5)
ROI
+62%
Крипто3 ставки
Влучання
67% (2/3)
ROI
+127%
Спорт2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
-10%
Геополітика2 ставки
Влучання
100% (2/2)
ROI
+26%

Історія результатів

54% влучень · 56/103

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	No	$30	32.0¢	Перемога
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$21	64.6¢	Перемога
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$8	0.5¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$182	81.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	25.9¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$366	49.4¢	Перемога
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$15	3.4¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$72	52.8¢	Перемога
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$146	33.9¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$163	85.7¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$28	14.4¢	Поразка
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$174	78.2¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	$176	88.0¢	Перемога
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$20	3.2¢	Поразка
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	$85	85.0¢	Перемога
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$12	22.0¢	Перемога
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.5k	28.5¢	Перемога
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	51.4¢	Поразка
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$52	87.0¢	Поразка
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$127	55.2¢	Перемога
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$5	1.1¢	Поразка
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$23	68.0¢	Перемога
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$48	82.0¢	Поразка
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$344	76.0¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?	Yes	$119	88.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	49.7¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	Yes	$46	69.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$167	76.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	$8	9.0¢	Поразка
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$29	2.1¢	Поразка
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$4	2.0¢	Поразка
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$144	72.3¢	Перемога
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1.6k	59.6¢	Перемога
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	$197	87.4¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	$38	89.3¢	Перемога
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$31	7.0¢	Поразка
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$80	3.0¢	Поразка
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	$31	17.0¢	Поразка
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$50	0.7¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	$79	35.0¢	Поразка
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$42	60.2¢	Перемога
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	$124	50.9¢	Перемога
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$102	42.5¢	Поразка
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	No	$175	38.0¢	Перемога
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$14	0.6¢	Поразка
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	No	$29	2.4¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	$12	47.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	$62	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Obamacare" at The Villages on May 1?	No	$1	65.0¢	Перемога

Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?Перемога
No$30 @ 32.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Перемога
Yes$21 @ 64.6¢
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 0.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$182 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.3k @ 25.9¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Перемога
Yes$366 @ 49.4¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Поразка
Yes$15 @ 3.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Перемога
No$72 @ 52.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поразка
Yes$146 @ 33.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Перемога
No$163 @ 85.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$28 @ 14.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Перемога
No$174 @ 78.2¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Перемога
No$176 @ 88.0¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 3.2¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Перемога
No$85 @ 85.0¢
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Перемога
Yes$12 @ 22.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$2.5k @ 28.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.3k @ 51.4¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Поразка
No$52 @ 87.0¢
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Перемога
Yes$127 @ 55.2¢
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Перемога
Yes$23 @ 68.0¢
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Поразка
Yes$48 @ 82.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Перемога
No$344 @ 76.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?Перемога
Yes$119 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$1.2k @ 49.7¢
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?Перемога
Yes$46 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Перемога
Yes$167 @ 76.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 9.0¢
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$29 @ 2.1¢
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$144 @ 72.3¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Перемога
Yes$1.6k @ 59.6¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Перемога
No$197 @ 87.4¢
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?Перемога
Yes$38 @ 89.3¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$31 @ 7.0¢
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$80 @ 3.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Поразка
Yes$31 @ 17.0¢
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$50 @ 0.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Поразка
Yes$79 @ 35.0¢
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Перемога
No$42 @ 60.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Перемога
No$124 @ 50.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Поразка
Yes$102 @ 42.5¢
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?Перемога
No$175 @ 38.0¢
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$14 @ 0.6¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Поразка
No$29 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?Поразка
Yes$12 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?Перемога
Yes$62 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump say "Obamacare" at The Villages on May 1?Перемога
No$1 @ 65.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Політика	Yes	$864	64.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Політика	No	$757	95.3¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Політика	Yes	$506	45.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Політика	No	$348	70.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	—	Yes	$346	69.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$314	65.0¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Політика	No	$261	87.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Політика	No	$240	93.3¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$226	75.6¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Політика	Yes	$221	70.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	—	No	$170	97.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$165	67.0¢
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	—	No	$156	78.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	—	No	$111	53.5¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Геополітика	Yes	$104	77.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Політика	No	$83	43.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	—	Yes	$78	61.8¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Політика	No	$55	60.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	—	Yes	$50	59.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	—	Yes	$50	22.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	—	No	$22	43.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	—	No	$11	52.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Геополітика	No	$4	76.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	—	No	$4	51.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	No	$4	64.0¢
100kt meteor strike in 2026?	Технології	Yes	$1	6.0¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Політика
Yes$864 @ 64.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Політика
No$757 @ 95.3¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseПолітика
Yes$506 @ 45.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Політика
No$348 @ 70.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?—
Yes$346 @ 69.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?—
No$314 @ 65.0¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?Політика
No$261 @ 87.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Політика
No$240 @ 93.3¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?—
No$226 @ 75.6¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Політика
Yes$221 @ 70.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?—
No$170 @ 97.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$165 @ 67.0¢
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?—
No$156 @ 78.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?—
No$111 @ 53.5¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Геополітика
Yes$104 @ 77.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Політика
No$83 @ 43.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?—
Yes$78 @ 61.8¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Політика
No$55 @ 60.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?—
Yes$50 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?—
Yes$50 @ 22.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?—
No$22 @ 43.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?—
No$11 @ 52.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Геополітика
No$4 @ 76.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?—
No$4 @ 51.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
No$4 @ 64.0¢
100kt meteor strike in 2026?Технології
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢