0x80cf…614d

Профі

Едж

+5.4pp

ROI

+27%

Частка перемог

38% @ 32.3¢

Brier

0.178

Угод

1491

Сер. розмір

$82

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	35% (56/159)	+30%	159
Політика	46% (16/35)	+12%	35
Технології	43% (3/7)	+84%	7
Економіка	75% (3/4)	+22%	4
Бізнес	100% (1/1)	+23%	1

Other159 ставки
Влучання
35% (56/159)
ROI
+30%
Політика35 ставки
Влучання
46% (16/35)
ROI
+12%
Технології7 ставки
Влучання
43% (3/7)
ROI
+84%
Економіка4 ставки
Влучання
75% (3/4)
ROI
+22%
Бізнес1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%

Історія результатів

38% влучень · 79/206

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?	No	$257	82.0¢	Перемога
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?	Yes	$47	15.0¢	Поразка
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$2.9k	78.2¢	Перемога
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	No	$545	89.0¢	Перемога
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	Yes	$209	19.3¢	Поразка
Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?	Yes	$70	7.0¢	Поразка
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	Yes	$123	15.4¢	Поразка
Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?	No	$0	4.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	30.1¢	Поразка
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$800	80.0¢	Перемога
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	Yes	$36	3.6¢	Поразка
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?	No	$70	7.0¢	Поразка
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$438	73.0¢	Перемога
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$1.1k	51.5¢	Перемога
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	Yes	$964	50.0¢	Поразка
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	No	$466	77.7¢	Перемога
Will the next US Speaker be elected in three ballots?	No	$122	76.0¢	Перемога
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?	No	$48	4.3¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$223	13.4¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$518	37.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$2	18.0¢	Перемога
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Поразка
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	No	$1.1k	78.5¢	Перемога
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?	No	$26	52.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?	Yes	$10	1.4¢	Поразка
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?	No	$1.7k	14.6¢	Поразка
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 16?	Yes	$211	19.0¢	Поразка
Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?	Yes	$3	0.6¢	Поразка
Assad public appearance before 2025?	Yes	$21	1.4¢	Поразка
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?	Yes	$22	12.6¢	Поразка
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?	No	$160	88.0¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$558	0.7¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?	Yes	$39	7.7¢	Поразка
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	$8	81.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	32.5¢	Поразка
Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August?	Yes	$2	42.0¢	Поразка
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?	Yes	$83	8.3¢	Перемога
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?	No	$2.6k	68.1¢	Поразка
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$338	26.0¢	Поразка
Congress passes funding bill before 2025?	No	$1	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?	Yes	$4	1.2¢	Поразка
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?	No	$130	51.0¢	Перемога
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?	Yes	$23	46.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$356	89.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$64	8.0¢	Поразка
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through 2025?	No	$359	24.0¢	Поразка
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through 2025?	Yes	$160	70.9¢	Перемога
Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Поразка
Will Trump issue 10-14 executive orders on Day 1?	Yes	$87	5.8¢	Поразка
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?	Yes	$144	55.8¢	Поразка

Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Перемога
No$257 @ 82.0¢
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Поразка
Yes$47 @ 15.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Перемога
Yes$2.9k @ 78.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Перемога
No$545 @ 89.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Поразка
Yes$209 @ 19.3¢
Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?Поразка
Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?Поразка
Yes$123 @ 15.4¢
Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?Поразка
No$0 @ 4.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.1k @ 30.1¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Перемога
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Поразка
Yes$36 @ 3.6¢
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Поразка
No$70 @ 7.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Перемога
No$438 @ 73.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Перемога
No$1.1k @ 51.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Поразка
Yes$964 @ 50.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Перемога
No$466 @ 77.7¢
Will the next US Speaker be elected in three ballots?Перемога
No$122 @ 76.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Поразка
No$48 @ 4.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$223 @ 13.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$518 @ 37.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Перемога
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Перемога
No$1.1k @ 78.5¢
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Поразка
No$26 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Поразка
No$1.7k @ 14.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 16?Поразка
Yes$211 @ 19.0¢
Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
Assad public appearance before 2025?Поразка
Yes$21 @ 1.4¢
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Поразка
Yes$22 @ 12.6¢
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?Перемога
No$160 @ 88.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$558 @ 0.7¢
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?Поразка
Yes$39 @ 7.7¢
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Перемога
No$8 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.4k @ 32.5¢
Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Перемога
Yes$83 @ 8.3¢
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Поразка
No$2.6k @ 68.1¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Поразка
Yes$338 @ 26.0¢
Congress passes funding bill before 2025?Поразка
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 1.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Перемога
No$130 @ 51.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Поразка
Yes$23 @ 46.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Перемога
No$356 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Поразка
Yes$64 @ 8.0¢
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through 2025?Поразка
No$359 @ 24.0¢
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through 2025?Перемога
Yes$160 @ 70.9¢
Will Ron DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Will Trump issue 10-14 executive orders on Day 1?Поразка
Yes$87 @ 5.8¢
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?Поразка
Yes$144 @ 55.8¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	No	$7.4k	50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	Yes	$7.4k	50.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1.4k	6.4¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$498	9.0¢
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Політика	No	$292	66.7¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Політика	Yes	$216	36.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технології	Yes	$139	18.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$138	9.0¢
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$125	9.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технології	Yes	$124	62.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$69	69.0¢
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$64	10.1¢
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Політика	Yes	$48	8.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Технології	No	$43	7.1¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Технології	No	$41	51.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$18	18.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технології	Yes	$17	7.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$6	36.0¢
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	Технології	Yes	$3	35.0¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
No$7.4k @ 50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
Yes$7.4k @ 50.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Політика
Yes$1.4k @ 6.4¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$498 @ 9.0¢
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Політика
No$292 @ 66.7¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Політика
Yes$216 @ 36.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технології
Yes$139 @ 18.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$138 @ 9.0¢
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$125 @ 9.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технології
Yes$124 @ 62.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$69 @ 69.0¢
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$64 @ 10.1¢
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Політика
Yes$48 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Технології
No$43 @ 7.1¢
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Технології
No$41 @ 51.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технології
Yes$17 @ 7.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$6 @ 36.0¢
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Технології
Yes$3 @ 35.0¢