0x7f43…f942

Профі

Едж

+4.2pp

ROI

+8%

Частка перемог

24% @ 20.1¢

Brier

0.115

Угод

657

Сер. розмір

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	31% (22/72)	+3%	72
Політика	25% (11/44)	+42%	44
Технології	10% (3/29)	-53%	29
Геополітика	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Наука	43% (3/7)	+64%	7
Культура	67% (2/3)	+80%	3
Економіка	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Крипто	50% (1/2)	+118%	2
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other72 ставки
Влучання
31% (22/72)
ROI
+3%
Політика44 ставки
Влучання
25% (11/44)
ROI
+42%
Технології29 ставки
Влучання
10% (3/29)
ROI
-53%
Геополітика8 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Наука7 ставки
Влучання
43% (3/7)
ROI
+64%
Культура3 ставки
Влучання
67% (2/3)
ROI
+80%
Економіка2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Крипто2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+118%
Спорт1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

25% влучень · 42/168

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	$2	1.4¢	Поразка
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 5, 2026?	Yes	$3	8.1¢	Поразка
Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of September 28?	Yes	$37	16.0¢	Поразка
Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	Yes	$3	4.5¢	Поразка
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	$1	2.1¢	Поразка
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Поразка
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$10	20.8¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eighth War" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?	Yes	$1	7.5¢	Поразка
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?	No	$11	49.0¢	Перемога
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	$22	20.8¢	Поразка
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$13	5.2¢	Поразка
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$11	24.5¢	Поразка
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	11.9¢	Поразка
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?	Yes	$2	20.9¢	Поразка
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	$4	39.0¢	Поразка
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone during the WWDC 2026 keynote?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Поразка
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$6	41.0¢	Перемога
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	$1	42.4¢	Поразка
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	$4	73.5¢	Поразка
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23?	Yes	$5	8.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	22.0¢	Поразка
Will Kimbal Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Поразка
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	$11	20.2¢	Перемога
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	$9	21.5¢	Перемога
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	$2	14.0¢	Поразка
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	$6	11.4¢	Поразка
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Поразка
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$3	31.0¢	Перемога
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$2	37.3¢	Поразка
Will any other model have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Поразка
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	$78	22.4¢	Поразка
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?	Yes	$5	42.5¢	Поразка
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$41	23.1¢	Поразка
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	$0	2.4¢	Поразка
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	$27	34.9¢	Поразка
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	$8	49.3¢	Перемога
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	Yes	$16	37.0¢	Поразка
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Поразка
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	$1	0.5¢	Поразка
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	$5	65.6¢	Перемога
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	$3	26.2¢	Перемога
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Поразка
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$1	8.6¢	Поразка
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	$2	10.1¢	Поразка
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?	Yes	$2	10.1¢	Поразка
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	$2	9.0¢	Поразка
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	$14	29.2¢	Перемога
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	$1	7.7¢	Поразка

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Поразка
No$2 @ 1.4¢
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 5, 2026?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 8.1¢
Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of September 28?Поразка
Yes$37 @ 16.0¢
Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 4.5¢
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 20.8¢
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eighth War" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 7.5¢
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?Перемога
No$11 @ 49.0¢
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?Поразка
Yes$22 @ 20.8¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$13 @ 5.2¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Поразка
Yes$11 @ 24.5¢
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 11.9¢
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 20.9¢
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 39.0¢
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone during the WWDC 2026 keynote?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Перемога
Yes$6 @ 41.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 42.4¢
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 73.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
Will Kimbal Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?Перемога
Yes$11 @ 20.2¢
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Перемога
Yes$9 @ 21.5¢
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 14.0¢
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 11.4¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Перемога
No$3 @ 31.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 37.3¢
Will any other model have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?Поразка
Yes$78 @ 22.4¢
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 42.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$41 @ 23.1¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Поразка
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 2.4¢
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Поразка
No$27 @ 34.9¢
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Перемога
No$8 @ 49.3¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Поразка
Yes$16 @ 37.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Поразка
No$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Перемога
Yes$5 @ 65.6¢
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Перемога
No$3 @ 26.2¢
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 8.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 10.1¢
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 10.1¢
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Перемога
Yes$14 @ 29.2¢
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 7.7¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?	Наука	Yes	$95	18.7¢
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	Наука	Yes	$66	15.9¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$59	38.9¢
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Технології	No	$55	48.0¢
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Наука	Yes	$54	14.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$44	19.0¢
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Технології	Yes	$39	22.0¢
Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 30?	Наука	No	$33	27.9¢
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технології	Yes	$31	31.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Технології	Yes	$30	43.3¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Технології	Yes	$25	16.4¢
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?	Наука	Yes	$25	45.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$24	24.0¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$22	31.0¢
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1505 by June 30, 2027?	Технології	No	$17	51.0¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$16	32.4¢
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$13	31.6¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$11	28.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Технології	Yes	$8	58.0¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$7	5.9¢
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$7	56.0¢
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?	Наука	Yes	$6	24.8¢
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$5	27.0¢
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$5	20.8¢
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Наука	Yes	$5	42.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$4	6.0¢
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 21, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$3	13.0¢
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$3	26.0¢
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технології	Yes	$3	2.8¢
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 7, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$2	10.8¢

Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Наука
Yes$95 @ 18.7¢
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Наука
Yes$66 @ 15.9¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$59 @ 38.9¢
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Технології
No$55 @ 48.0¢
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Наука
Yes$54 @ 14.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Політика
Yes$44 @ 19.0¢
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?Технології
Yes$39 @ 22.0¢
Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 30?Наука
No$33 @ 27.9¢
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Технології
Yes$31 @ 31.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Технології
Yes$30 @ 43.3¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Технології
Yes$25 @ 16.4¢
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Наука
Yes$25 @ 45.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Геополітика
Yes$22 @ 31.0¢
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1505 by June 30, 2027?Технології
No$17 @ 51.0¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Геополітика
Yes$16 @ 32.4¢
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Політика
Yes$13 @ 31.6¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Геополітика
Yes$11 @ 28.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Технології
Yes$8 @ 58.0¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Геополітика
Yes$7 @ 5.9¢
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Наука
Yes$7 @ 56.0¢
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?Наука
Yes$6 @ 24.8¢
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Політика
Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Наука
Yes$5 @ 20.8¢
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?Наука
Yes$5 @ 42.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?Технології
Yes$4 @ 6.0¢
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 21, 2026?Технології
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Геополітика
Yes$3 @ 26.0¢
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Технології
Yes$3 @ 2.8¢
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 7, 2026?Технології
Yes$2 @ 10.8¢