0x7d1b…e75c

Профі

Едж

+3.1pp

ROI

+17%

Частка перемог

31% @ 27.9¢

Brier

0.103

Угод

2790

Сер. розмір

$27

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	41% (55/135)	+27%	135
Політика	69% (22/32)	+24%	32
Технології	24% (6/25)	-38%	25
Геополітика	55% (6/11)	-33%	11

Other135 ставки
Влучання
41% (55/135)
ROI
+27%
Політика32 ставки
Влучання
69% (22/32)
ROI
+24%
Технології25 ставки
Влучання
24% (6/25)
ROI
-38%
Геополітика11 ставки
Влучання
55% (6/11)
ROI
-33%

Історія результатів

44% влучень · 89/203

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?	Yes	$4	1.6¢	Поразка
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?	No	$238	70.9¢	Перемога
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?	No	$300	79.7¢	Перемога
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	52.9¢	Перемога
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$5	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?	No	$231	59.6¢	Перемога
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?	Yes	$34	14.8¢	Поразка
Will Great Britain win Miss Universe 2025?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?	No	$828	78.8¢	Перемога
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	37.0¢	Поразка
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	No	$416	86.0¢	Перемога
Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?	Yes	$9	45.0¢	Поразка
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?	Yes	$125	59.5¢	Перемога
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?	No	$2.6k	52.3¢	Перемога
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?	Yes	$2	35.0¢	Поразка
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$0	1.0¢	Поразка
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$244	38.1¢	Перемога
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?	No	$7	72.0¢	Перемога
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?	Yes	$16	23.3¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	Yes	$584	9.8¢	Перемога
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Поразка
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?	No	$950	77.7¢	Перемога
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?	No	$1.3k	82.6¢	Перемога
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	$43	41.7¢	Перемога
Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	$802	79.8¢	Перемога
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	$2.6k	25.5¢	Поразка
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?	No	$78	78.0¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$4	1.9¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?	Yes	$51	43.3¢	Перемога
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	$403	73.3¢	Перемога
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	75.0¢	Перемога
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?	Yes	$4	39.0¢	Поразка
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?	No	$13	83.9¢	Поразка
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$8	1.4¢	Поразка
Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	Yes	$40	0.5¢	Поразка
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	$5.0k	79.2¢	Перемога
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?	Yes	$2	17.0¢	Поразка
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поразка
Will Turkey win Miss Universe 2025?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?	Yes	$31	61.0¢	Перемога
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?	No	$535	80.2¢	Перемога
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	$90	81.7¢	Перемога
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?	No	$46	13.9¢	Поразка
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?	No	$99	3.8¢	Поразка
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	Yes	$420	13.8¢	Перемога
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Поразка

Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 1.6¢
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?Перемога
No$238 @ 70.9¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?Перемога
No$300 @ 79.7¢
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Перемога
Yes$2.0k @ 52.9¢
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Поразка
No$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?Перемога
No$231 @ 59.6¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?Поразка
Yes$34 @ 14.8¢
Will Great Britain win Miss Universe 2025?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Перемога
No$828 @ 78.8¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 37.0¢
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Перемога
No$416 @ 86.0¢
Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 45.0¢
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Перемога
Yes$125 @ 59.5¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Перемога
No$2.6k @ 52.3¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Поразка
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Перемога
No$244 @ 38.1¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Перемога
No$7 @ 72.0¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?Поразка
Yes$16 @ 23.3¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Перемога
Yes$584 @ 9.8¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?Перемога
No$950 @ 77.7¢
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?Перемога
No$1.3k @ 82.6¢
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Перемога
No$43 @ 41.7¢
Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Перемога
No$802 @ 79.8¢
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Поразка
Yes$2.6k @ 25.5¢
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?Перемога
No$78 @ 78.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 1.9¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Перемога
Yes$51 @ 43.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Перемога
No$403 @ 73.3¢
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Перемога
Yes$1.6k @ 75.0¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 39.0¢
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Поразка
No$13 @ 83.9¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 1.4¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Поразка
Yes$40 @ 0.5¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$5.0k @ 79.2¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Turkey win Miss Universe 2025?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?Перемога
Yes$31 @ 61.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?Перемога
No$535 @ 80.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?Перемога
No$90 @ 81.7¢
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?Поразка
No$46 @ 13.9¢
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?Поразка
No$99 @ 3.8¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?Перемога
Yes$420 @ 13.8¢
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технології	Yes	$2.1k	87.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	Політика	No	$1.9k	83.6¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?	Геополітика	No	$1.7k	78.5¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?	Геополітика	Yes	$1.1k	32.2¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технології	Yes	$996	64.5¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	Технології	Yes	$985	55.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Політика	No	$858	88.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$607	93.8¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$523	28.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	Геополітика	Yes	$457	45.8¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?	Геополітика	No	$454	86.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Технології	Yes	$442	10.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	Технології	Yes	$389	45.1¢
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$386	49.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	Технології	Yes	$377	43.5¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Технології	Yes	$316	55.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Політика	No	$276	92.8¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$265	33.7¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	Геополітика	No	$186	81.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	Технології	Yes	$181	31.1¢
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?	Політика	No	$174	67.8¢
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Технології	Yes	$169	62.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технології	Yes	$165	9.2¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Технології	Yes	$129	25.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Технології	Yes	$126	67.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?	Технології	Yes	$118	53.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технології	Yes	$117	4.8¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технології	Yes	$81	7.3¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технології	No	$76	90.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	Політика	No	$69	81.1¢

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технології
Yes$2.1k @ 87.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Політика
No$1.9k @ 83.6¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Геополітика
No$1.7k @ 78.5¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?Геополітика
Yes$1.1k @ 32.2¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технології
Yes$996 @ 64.5¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Технології
Yes$985 @ 55.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Політика
No$858 @ 88.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$607 @ 93.8¢
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$523 @ 28.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Геополітика
Yes$457 @ 45.8¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?Геополітика
No$454 @ 86.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Технології
Yes$442 @ 10.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Технології
Yes$389 @ 45.1¢
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$386 @ 49.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Технології
Yes$377 @ 43.5¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Технології
Yes$316 @ 55.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Політика
No$276 @ 92.8¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Політика
Yes$265 @ 33.7¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?Геополітика
No$186 @ 81.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Технології
Yes$181 @ 31.1¢
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?Політика
No$174 @ 67.8¢
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Технології
Yes$169 @ 62.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технології
Yes$165 @ 9.2¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Технології
Yes$129 @ 25.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Технології
Yes$126 @ 67.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Технології
Yes$118 @ 53.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технології
Yes$117 @ 4.8¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технології
Yes$81 @ 7.3¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технології
No$76 @ 90.4¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Політика
No$69 @ 81.1¢