0x7a16…518b

Профі

Едж

+12.7pp

ROI

+32%

Частка перемог

56% @ 43.8¢

Brier

0.200

Угод

262

Сер. розмір

$11

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	56% (65/116)	+29%	116
Політика	31% (5/16)	+44%	16
Економіка	33% (2/6)	-53%	6
Геополітика	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other116 ставки
Влучання
56% (65/116)
ROI
+29%
Політика16 ставки
Влучання
31% (5/16)
ROI
+44%
Економіка6 ставки
Влучання
33% (2/6)
ROI
-53%
Геополітика3 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

51% влучень · 72/141

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?	No	$10	88.4¢	Перемога
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	22.7¢	Поразка
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	$34	63.9¢	Перемога
Will the U.K.'s monthly inflation be ≥0.3% in December?	Yes	$61	68.4¢	Перемога
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$30	62.6¢	Перемога
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?	Yes	$40	36.6¢	Перемога
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	$5	11.0¢	Поразка
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$86	39.1¢	Поразка
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	$10	42.1¢	Поразка
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$10	59.7¢	Перемога
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	$31	20.1¢	Поразка
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	$1	7.1¢	Поразка
Will Canada’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 6.8%?	No	$10	50.0¢	Перемога
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?	No	$1	0.1¢	Поразка
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?	Yes	$15	31.7¢	Поразка
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$15	32.0¢	Поразка
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$20	35.7¢	Перемога
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?	Yes	$1	10.9¢	Перемога
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in February?	Yes	$8	17.0¢	Поразка
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?	No	$13	50.0¢	Поразка
ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$10	56.0¢	Перемога
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$30	52.3¢	Перемога
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$5	33.0¢	Перемога
Will Canada's annual inflation increase by 2.3% in December?	Yes	$4	28.6¢	Поразка
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	$29	56.2¢	Перемога
French election called by December 31?	Yes	$10	31.0¢	Поразка
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$1	6.9¢	Поразка
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	$14	70.0¢	Перемога
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?	Yes	$10	54.0¢	Перемога
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	$25	73.2¢	Перемога
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?	Yes	$30	20.3¢	Поразка
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.3% in December?	Yes	$7	23.8¢	Поразка
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?	Yes	$102	76.8¢	Перемога
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$73	30.3¢	Перемога
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?	Yes	$6	23.4¢	Поразка
Will the US lose jobs in January?	Yes	$5	16.9¢	Поразка
Will Canada's annual inflation increase by 2.1% in December?	No	$25	70.6¢	Перемога
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?	Yes	$147	37.7¢	Поразка
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?	Yes	$94	36.1¢	Поразка
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	Yes	$7	43.0¢	Перемога
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$10	39.0¢	Перемога
Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0% and 0.5%?	No	$14	77.3¢	Перемога
Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0% and 0.5%?	Yes	$2	65.0¢	Поразка
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?	Yes	$15	49.0¢	Перемога
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?	Yes	$1	31.0¢	Поразка
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?	Yes	$5	16.0¢	Перемога
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	$11	65.0¢	Перемога
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	$15	41.0¢	Перемога
Will Canada's annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in December?	No	$30	73.4¢	Перемога
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in March?	Yes	$5	37.5¢	Поразка

Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Перемога
No$10 @ 88.4¢
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 22.7¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Перемога
Yes$34 @ 63.9¢
Will the U.K.'s monthly inflation be ≥0.3% in December?Перемога
Yes$61 @ 68.4¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$30 @ 62.6¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Перемога
Yes$40 @ 36.6¢
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$86 @ 39.1¢
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 42.1¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Перемога
Yes$10 @ 59.7¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$31 @ 20.1¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 7.1¢
Will Canada’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 6.8%?Перемога
No$10 @ 50.0¢
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?Поразка
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? Поразка
Yes$15 @ 31.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$15 @ 32.0¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$20 @ 35.7¢
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 10.9¢
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in February?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 17.0¢
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Поразка
No$13 @ 50.0¢
ECB rate hike in 2026?Перемога
Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$30 @ 52.3¢
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Перемога
No$5 @ 33.0¢
Will Canada's annual inflation increase by 2.3% in December?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 28.6¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Перемога
Yes$29 @ 56.2¢
French election called by December 31?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 31.0¢
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 6.9¢
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?Перемога
Yes$14 @ 70.0¢
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?Перемога
Yes$10 @ 54.0¢
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Перемога
Yes$25 @ 73.2¢
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?Поразка
Yes$30 @ 20.3¢
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.3% in December?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 23.8¢
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$102 @ 76.8¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$73 @ 30.3¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 23.4¢
Will the US lose jobs in January?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 16.9¢
Will Canada's annual inflation increase by 2.1% in December?Перемога
No$25 @ 70.6¢
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?Поразка
Yes$147 @ 37.7¢
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?Поразка
Yes$94 @ 36.1¢
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Перемога
Yes$7 @ 43.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Перемога
No$10 @ 39.0¢
Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0% and 0.5%?Перемога
No$14 @ 77.3¢
Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0% and 0.5%?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 65.0¢
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?Перемога
Yes$15 @ 49.0¢
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 31.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?Перемога
Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Перемога
Yes$11 @ 65.0¢
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Перемога
Yes$15 @ 41.0¢
Will Canada's annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in December?Перемога
No$30 @ 73.4¢
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in March?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 37.5¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Економіка	Yes	$157	53.5¢
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Політика	Yes	$143	23.2¢
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Економіка	Yes	$115	33.6¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Геополітика	Yes	$100	44.9¢

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Економіка
Yes$157 @ 53.5¢
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Політика
Yes$143 @ 23.2¢
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Економіка
Yes$115 @ 33.6¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Геополітика
Yes$100 @ 44.9¢