0x66c1…2c72

Профі

Едж

+3.0pp

ROI

+16%

Частка перемог

19% @ 15.6¢

Brier

0.103

Угод

2891

Сер. розмір

$24

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	28% (48/170)	+52%	170
Політика	23% (38/163)	+29%	163
Геополітика	12% (6/51)	-87%	51
Технології	16% (4/25)	+20%	25
Спорт	39% (7/18)	+63%	18
Наука	17% (1/6)	+140%	6
Культура	50% (3/6)	+34%	6
Економіка	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Крипто	50% (2/4)	+109%	4

Other170 ставки
Влучання
28% (48/170)
ROI
+52%
Політика163 ставки
Влучання
23% (38/163)
ROI
+29%
Геополітика51 ставки
Влучання
12% (6/51)
ROI
-87%
Технології25 ставки
Влучання
16% (4/25)
ROI
+20%
Спорт18 ставки
Влучання
39% (7/18)
ROI
+63%
Наука6 ставки
Влучання
17% (1/6)
ROI
+140%
Культура6 ставки
Влучання
50% (3/6)
ROI
+34%
Економіка5 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Крипто4 ставки
Влучання
50% (2/4)
ROI
+109%

Історія результатів

24% влучень · 109/448

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$51	5.1¢	Перемога
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$37	7.3¢	Поразка
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$286	46.4¢	Поразка
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Поразка
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	$205	25.0¢	Поразка
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$90	25.3¢	Поразка
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$60	6.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$334	21.9¢	Перемога
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Поразка
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$368	5.0¢	Поразка
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?	Yes	$430	12.8¢	Поразка
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$26	5.0¢	Поразка
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$74	3.7¢	Поразка
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	No	$28	5.4¢	Поразка
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$7	2.5¢	Поразка
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$62	12.0¢	Поразка
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$109	10.6¢	Поразка
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$527	64.3¢	Перемога
Iran leadership change by July 31?	Yes	$12	1.2¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	17.6¢	Поразка
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$432	16.9¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$4	0.3¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$20	3.9¢	Поразка
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Поразка
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?	Yes	$107	1.8¢	Поразка
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$775	7.7¢	Поразка
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?	No	$41	7.2¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	No	$25	2.7¢	Поразка
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	$10	2.5¢	Поразка
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	2.8¢	Поразка
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$220	11.0¢	Перемога
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$35	7.0¢	Поразка
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?	Yes	$304	10.0¢	Поразка
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?	Yes	$50	4.9¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$38	1.8¢	Поразка
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$124	60.9¢	Перемога
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$6	1.0¢	Поразка
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	$3	31.0¢	Перемога
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	Yes	$61	5.0¢	Поразка
Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?	Yes	$58	58.9¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$280	28.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$42	4.2¢	Поразка
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?	Yes	$200	50.0¢	Перемога
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	$74	4.1¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$441	15.2¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$315	10.5¢	Поразка
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$54	1.1¢	Поразка

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Перемога
No$51 @ 5.1¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Поразка
Yes$37 @ 7.3¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$286 @ 46.4¢
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?Поразка
Yes$205 @ 25.0¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$90 @ 25.3¢
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Перемога
Yes$334 @ 21.9¢
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$368 @ 5.0¢
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Поразка
Yes$430 @ 12.8¢
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$26 @ 5.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Поразка
Yes$74 @ 3.7¢
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Поразка
No$28 @ 5.4¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 2.5¢
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$62 @ 12.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$109 @ 10.6¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$527 @ 64.3¢
Iran leadership change by July 31?Поразка
Yes$12 @ 1.2¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.2k @ 17.6¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$432 @ 16.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 0.3¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 3.9¢
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?Поразка
Yes$107 @ 1.8¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Поразка
Yes$775 @ 7.7¢
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Поразка
No$41 @ 7.2¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Поразка
No$25 @ 2.7¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Поразка
No$10 @ 2.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 2.8¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Перемога
Yes$220 @ 11.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Поразка
Yes$35 @ 7.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Поразка
Yes$304 @ 10.0¢
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Поразка
Yes$50 @ 4.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Поразка
Yes$38 @ 1.8¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Перемога
Yes$124 @ 60.9¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 1.0¢
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Перемога
Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?Поразка
Yes$61 @ 5.0¢
Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?Перемога
Yes$58 @ 58.9¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$280 @ 28.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поразка
Yes$42 @ 4.2¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Перемога
Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Поразка
Yes$74 @ 4.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поразка
Yes$441 @ 15.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$315 @ 10.5¢
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$54 @ 1.1¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$755	75.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$540	54.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Геополітика	Yes	$419	21.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$386	7.7¢
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Геополітика	No	$336	56.0¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?	Політика	Yes	$320	10.7¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Політика	Yes	$297	1.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Політика	Yes	$286	3.6¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Політика	No	$266	13.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	Other	Yes	$188	4.4¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Політика	Yes	$175	17.5¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$170	8.5¢
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Геополітика	Yes	$155	15.5¢
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$140	9.3¢
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?	Політика	Yes	$140	28.0¢
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	Геополітика	No	$137	16.6¢
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30?	Політика	Yes	$122	30.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Політика	Yes	$120	6.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Політика	Yes	$118	59.0¢
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$112	22.4¢
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$108	22.7¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Політика	Yes	$107	3.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	—	Yes	$105	3.5¢
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?	Політика	Yes	$89	22.4¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$80	16.0¢
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$80	4.7¢
ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$80	97.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	Політика	Yes	$76	3.8¢
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?	Політика	Yes	$73	36.6¢
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$70	13.7¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$755 @ 75.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$540 @ 54.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Геополітика
Yes$419 @ 21.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$386 @ 7.7¢
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Геополітика
No$336 @ 56.0¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Політика
Yes$320 @ 10.7¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Політика
Yes$297 @ 1.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Політика
Yes$286 @ 3.6¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Політика
No$266 @ 13.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?Other
Yes$188 @ 4.4¢
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Політика
Yes$175 @ 17.5¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Політика
Yes$170 @ 8.5¢
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Геополітика
Yes$155 @ 15.5¢
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Політика
Yes$140 @ 9.3¢
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?Політика
Yes$140 @ 28.0¢
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?Геополітика
No$137 @ 16.6¢
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30?Політика
Yes$122 @ 30.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Політика
Yes$120 @ 6.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Політика
Yes$118 @ 59.0¢
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?Політика
Yes$112 @ 22.4¢
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Політика
Yes$108 @ 22.7¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Політика
Yes$107 @ 3.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?—
Yes$105 @ 3.5¢
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?Політика
Yes$89 @ 22.4¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Політика
Yes$80 @ 16.0¢
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Політика
Yes$80 @ 4.7¢
ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026?Технології
Yes$80 @ 97.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?Політика
Yes$76 @ 3.8¢
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?Політика
Yes$73 @ 36.6¢
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Політика
Yes$70 @ 13.7¢