0x652b…f5c2

Профі

Едж

+2.8pp

ROI

+24%

Частка перемог

16% @ 13.6¢

Brier

0.079

Угод

2284

Сер. розмір

$18

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Технології	33% (26/79)	+19%	79
Other	22% (12/55)	-8%	55
Геополітика	30% (11/37)	+31%	37
Політика	42% (14/33)	+71%	33
Економіка	50% (2/4)	-4%	4
Крипто	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Спорт	100% (1/1)	+36%	1
Бізнес	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Технології79 ставки
Влучання
33% (26/79)
ROI
+19%
Other55 ставки
Влучання
22% (12/55)
ROI
-8%
Геополітика37 ставки
Влучання
30% (11/37)
ROI
+31%
Політика33 ставки
Влучання
42% (14/33)
ROI
+71%
Економіка4 ставки
Влучання
50% (2/4)
ROI
-4%
Крипто3 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Спорт1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+36%
Бізнес1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

31% влучень · 66/213

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	$305	61.1¢	Перемога
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	6.6¢	Поразка
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	$226	38.0¢	Поразка
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$2.4k	24.4¢	Поразка
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$79	26.0¢	Перемога
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	$183	25.2¢	Поразка
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$258	73.0¢	Перемога
Will Google have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$12	0.1¢	Поразка
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Поразка
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$7	0.2¢	Поразка
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$3	0.7¢	Поразка
Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$56	5.0¢	Поразка
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	No	$126	63.7¢	Поразка
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	Yes	$4.2k	67.0¢	Перемога
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$18	17.6¢	Поразка
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$2.1k	39.0¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	$25	23.6¢	Перемога
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$252	66.3¢	Поразка
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	$2.0k	35.2¢	Перемога
Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?	Yes	$8	12.5¢	Поразка
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	No	$45	21.1¢	Перемога
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	$268	32.2¢	Перемога
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Поразка
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$128	0.6¢	Поразка
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	No	$107	31.7¢	Поразка
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	75.0¢	Перемога
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?	Yes	$58	10.1¢	Поразка
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$5	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	$21	10.0¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$59	11.0¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$23	31.5¢	Перемога
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	$245	21.8¢	Перемога
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	Yes	$4	1.5¢	Поразка
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	$3	1.4¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$15	3.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August?	Yes	$20	5.2¢	Поразка
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$179	2.6¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$237	26.3¢	Перемога
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	$126	18.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$34	17.0¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?	No	$62	50.4¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$150	6.2¢	Поразка
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$4	3.0¢	Перемога
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$26	3.1¢	Поразка
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	$18	34.0¢	Перемога
Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	$34	89.8¢	Перемога

Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Перемога
No$305 @ 61.1¢
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 6.6¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Поразка
No$226 @ 38.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Поразка
No$2.4k @ 24.4¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Перемога
Yes$79 @ 26.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Поразка
No$183 @ 25.2¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$258 @ 73.0¢
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Поразка
Yes$12 @ 0.1¢
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 0.2¢
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поразка
Yes$56 @ 5.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Поразка
No$126 @ 63.7¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Перемога
Yes$4.2k @ 67.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Поразка
Yes$18 @ 17.6¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поразка
No$2.1k @ 39.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Перемога
No$25 @ 23.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Поразка
Yes$252 @ 66.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Перемога
No$2.0k @ 35.2¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 12.5¢
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Перемога
No$45 @ 21.1¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Перемога
Yes$268 @ 32.2¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Поразка
Yes$128 @ 0.6¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Поразка
No$107 @ 31.7¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$7 @ 75.0¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Поразка
Yes$58 @ 10.1¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поразка
No$21 @ 10.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$59 @ 11.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Перемога
Yes$23 @ 31.5¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Перемога
No$245 @ 21.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 1.5¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 1.4¢
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$15 @ 3.0¢
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 5.2¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Поразка
Yes$179 @ 2.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Перемога
Yes$237 @ 26.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Поразка
Yes$126 @ 18.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Поразка
Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Поразка
No$62 @ 50.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$150 @ 6.2¢
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Перемога
Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Поразка
Yes$26 @ 3.1¢
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Перемога
No$18 @ 34.0¢
Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Перемога
No$34 @ 89.8¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Технології	Yes	$1.0k	91.9¢
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?	Культура	No	$866	86.0¢
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	Технології	No	$679	64.5¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$632	44.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Культура	Yes	$597	13.4¢
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$365	25.4¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Технології	No	$311	45.5¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Технології	No	$284	82.1¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технології	No	$234	58.5¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Технології	No	$196	58.6¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Політика	Yes	$185	0.5¢
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Технології	No	$167	83.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Культура	Yes	$165	26.1¢
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Технології	Yes	$117	49.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Технології	No	$104	11.0¢
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Технології	No	$103	85.5¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$78	15.2¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?	Технології	No	$74	73.1¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$62	6.8¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$60	6.0¢
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Технології	Yes	$55	5.5¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Технології	No	$52	65.3¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Технології	Yes	$49	24.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Політика	Yes	$49	59.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?	Крипто	Yes	$44	67.1¢
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$43	0.8¢
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	Технології	Yes	$39	19.0¢
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	Геополітика	Yes	$37	57.0¢
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$35	17.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Технології	Yes	$32	32.2¢

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Технології
Yes$1.0k @ 91.9¢
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Культура
No$866 @ 86.0¢
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Технології
No$679 @ 64.5¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$632 @ 44.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Культура
Yes$597 @ 13.4¢
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$365 @ 25.4¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Технології
No$311 @ 45.5¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Технології
No$284 @ 82.1¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технології
No$234 @ 58.5¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Технології
No$196 @ 58.6¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Політика
Yes$185 @ 0.5¢
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?Технології
No$167 @ 83.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Культура
Yes$165 @ 26.1¢
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Технології
Yes$117 @ 49.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Технології
No$104 @ 11.0¢
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Технології
No$103 @ 85.5¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$78 @ 15.2¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Технології
No$74 @ 73.1¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Геополітика
Yes$62 @ 6.8¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Політика
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Технології
Yes$55 @ 5.5¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?Технології
No$52 @ 65.3¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Технології
Yes$49 @ 24.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Політика
Yes$49 @ 59.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?Крипто
Yes$44 @ 67.1¢
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Геополітика
Yes$43 @ 0.8¢
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Технології
Yes$39 @ 19.0¢
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?Геополітика
Yes$37 @ 57.0¢
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Геополітика
Yes$35 @ 17.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Технології
Yes$32 @ 32.2¢