0x5e73…6697

Профі

Едж

+10.7pp

ROI

+29%

Частка перемог

66% @ 55.6¢

Brier

0.178

Угод

742

Сер. розмір

$168

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	43% (20/47)	+29%	47
Other	61% (23/38)	+35%	38
Геополітика	20% (1/5)	-79%	5
Технології	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Політика47 ставки
Влучання
43% (20/47)
ROI
+29%
Other38 ставки
Влучання
61% (23/38)
ROI
+35%
Геополітика5 ставки
Влучання
20% (1/5)
ROI
-79%
Технології2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

48% влучень · 44/92

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$18	18.0¢	Поразка
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	$254	17.0¢	Поразка
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	$11	5.4¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$9	1.5¢	Поразка
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$3.6k	52.5¢	Перемога
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 16?	No	$105	70.0¢	Перемога
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$72	13.4¢	Поразка
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$2.9k	65.5¢	Перемога
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$5.0k	79.0¢	Перемога
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?	No	$195	75.0¢	Перемога
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?	Yes	$874	21.6¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$331	22.2¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$677	84.7¢	Перемога
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$291	16.7¢	Поразка
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	$21	3.9¢	Поразка
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$657	27.0¢	Поразка
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$11.9k	70.7¢	Перемога
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?	Yes	$659	60.8¢	Перемога
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	$29	0.1¢	Поразка
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	$1.1k	36.3¢	Поразка
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	Yes	$736	80.6¢	Перемога
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$374	74.0¢	Перемога
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?	Yes	$13	1.8¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$93	46.6¢	Поразка
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$1.1k	89.3¢	Перемога
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$1.8k	76.7¢	Поразка
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 6?	No	$13	5.0¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$171	85.4¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$697	33.7¢	Поразка
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$358	65.8¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$58	29.0¢	Поразка
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	$904	86.6¢	Перемога
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	$82	82.0¢	Перемога
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	$1.4k	38.8¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1.6k	82.3¢	Перемога
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$526	82.0¢	Перемога
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	19.4¢	Поразка
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$944	83.4¢	Перемога
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$411	10.4¢	Поразка
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	$98	61.0¢	Поразка
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	$9	26.0¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$179	63.0¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$727	51.1¢	Поразка
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?	No	$193	3.1¢	Поразка
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$56	28.0¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$152	76.0¢	Перемога
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	14.0¢	Поразка
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$16	16.1¢	Поразка
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	$90	9.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	67.9¢	Поразка

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Поразка
Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Поразка
Yes$254 @ 17.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Поразка
Yes$11 @ 5.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 1.5¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Перемога
Yes$3.6k @ 52.5¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 16?Перемога
No$105 @ 70.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Поразка
Yes$72 @ 13.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Перемога
Yes$2.9k @ 65.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Перемога
No$5.0k @ 79.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?Перемога
No$195 @ 75.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?Поразка
Yes$874 @ 21.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поразка
Yes$331 @ 22.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Перемога
No$677 @ 84.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поразка
Yes$291 @ 16.7¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Поразка
Yes$21 @ 3.9¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Поразка
No$657 @ 27.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$11.9k @ 70.7¢
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?Перемога
Yes$659 @ 60.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?Поразка
Yes$29 @ 0.1¢
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?Поразка
No$1.1k @ 36.3¢
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?Перемога
Yes$736 @ 80.6¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Перемога
No$374 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?Поразка
Yes$13 @ 1.8¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поразка
Yes$93 @ 46.6¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Перемога
No$1.1k @ 89.3¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Поразка
Yes$1.8k @ 76.7¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 6?Поразка
No$13 @ 5.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Перемога
No$171 @ 85.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поразка
Yes$697 @ 33.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Перемога
Yes$358 @ 65.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поразка
No$58 @ 29.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Перемога
Yes$904 @ 86.6¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Перемога
Yes$82 @ 82.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Поразка
No$1.4k @ 38.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Перемога
No$1.6k @ 82.3¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$526 @ 82.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.6k @ 19.4¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$944 @ 83.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Поразка
Yes$411 @ 10.4¢
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Поразка
No$98 @ 61.0¢
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 26.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$179 @ 63.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$727 @ 51.1¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Поразка
No$193 @ 3.1¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Поразка
Yes$56 @ 28.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Перемога
No$152 @ 76.0¢
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 14.0¢
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Поразка
Yes$16 @ 16.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Поразка
Yes$90 @ 9.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.1k @ 67.9¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Політика	No	$8.5k	84.8¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$5.3k	29.0¢
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Політика	Yes	$2.5k	94.0¢
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?	—	Yes	$2.3k	54.3¢
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Політика	No	$2.0k	92.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Геополітика	No	$1.8k	92.3¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Політика	No	$1.8k	84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Політика	Yes	$1.5k	50.3¢
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?	Політика	No	$1.0k	87.0¢
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?	Політика	No	$857	74.1¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Політика	No	$776	96.6¢
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Політика	Yes	$772	54.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	No	$714	75.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$603	52.3¢
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?	Політика	No	$510	76.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Політика	No	$487	81.2¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	Yes	$484	22.0¢
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$460	24.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$433	57.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$422	24.5¢
Will Ed Miliband be in the Burnham cabinet?	—	Yes	$378	88.9¢
French election called by June 30, 2026?	Політика	No	$365	84.7¢
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Політика	Yes	$364	34.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	Other	Yes	$310	17.2¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$291	28.5¢
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Політика	Yes	$289	90.3¢
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	Політика	No	$261	89.6¢
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$248	49.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$246	17.0¢
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?	Економіка	No	$244	90.9¢

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Політика
No$8.5k @ 84.8¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$5.3k @ 29.0¢
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Політика
Yes$2.5k @ 94.0¢
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?—
Yes$2.3k @ 54.3¢
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Політика
No$2.0k @ 92.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Геополітика
No$1.8k @ 92.3¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Політика
No$1.8k @ 84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Політика
Yes$1.5k @ 50.3¢
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?Політика
No$1.0k @ 87.0¢
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?Політика
No$857 @ 74.1¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Політика
No$776 @ 96.6¢
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Політика
Yes$772 @ 54.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
No$714 @ 75.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Політика
Yes$603 @ 52.3¢
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?Політика
No$510 @ 76.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Політика
No$487 @ 81.2¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
Yes$484 @ 22.0¢
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?Політика
Yes$460 @ 24.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Other
Yes$433 @ 57.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Політика
Yes$422 @ 24.5¢
Will Ed Miliband be in the Burnham cabinet?—
Yes$378 @ 88.9¢
French election called by June 30, 2026?Політика
No$365 @ 84.7¢
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Політика
Yes$364 @ 34.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Other
Yes$310 @ 17.2¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Політика
Yes$291 @ 28.5¢
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?Політика
Yes$289 @ 90.3¢
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?Політика
No$261 @ 89.6¢
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Політика
Yes$248 @ 49.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Other
Yes$246 @ 17.0¢
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?Економіка
No$244 @ 90.9¢