0x5c7b…d463

Профі

Едж

+4.3pp

ROI

+6%

Частка перемог

11% @ 6.9¢

Brier

0.048

Угод

558

Сер. розмір

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	8% (5/61)	+4%	61
Other	0% (0/40)	-100%	40
Геополітика	11% (2/18)	-48%	18
Технології	25% (4/16)	-12%	16
Економіка	20% (3/15)	-12%	15
Крипто	20% (1/5)	+69%	5
Бізнес	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Культура	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Політика61 ставки
Влучання
8% (5/61)
ROI
+4%
Other40 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/40)
ROI
-100%
Геополітика18 ставки
Влучання
11% (2/18)
ROI
-48%
Технології16 ставки
Влучання
25% (4/16)
ROI
-12%
Економіка15 ставки
Влучання
20% (3/15)
ROI
-12%
Крипто5 ставки
Влучання
20% (1/5)
ROI
+69%
Бізнес2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Спорт1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Культура1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

9% влучень · 15/159

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Поразка
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$52	2.4¢	Поразка
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	$20	59.0¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$24	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone during the WWDC 2026 keynote?	Yes	$3	2.0¢	Поразка
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	$0	1.0¢	Поразка
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	$0	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	$12	2.0¢	Поразка
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$76	63.8¢	Перемога
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Поразка
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	No	$21	10.5¢	Перемога
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$14	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?	No	$12	54.0¢	Перемога
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$55	55.4¢	Перемога
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Поразка
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	$4	2.0¢	Поразка
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$20	2.7¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$12	4.0¢	Поразка
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Поразка
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$33	56.0¢	Перемога
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?	Yes	$7	3.1¢	Поразка
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поразка
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Поразка
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	$2	1.1¢	Поразка
Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?	No	$0	0.3¢	Поразка
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	$9	8.0¢	Поразка
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	0.6¢	Поразка
Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?	No	$2	6.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Поразка
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in June 2026?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Поразка
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?	Yes	$4	9.9¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$36	33.6¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$20	3.4¢	Поразка
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$10	40.0¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поразка
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поразка
Will Wi Seong-gon win the 2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	$3	2.0¢	Поразка
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$39	0.3¢	Поразка
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	No	$2	2.0¢	Поразка

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$52 @ 2.4¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Поразка
No$20 @ 59.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Перемога
Yes$24 @ 87.0¢
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone during the WWDC 2026 keynote?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 2.0¢
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Поразка
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Поразка
No$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Поразка
No$12 @ 2.0¢
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Перемога
Yes$76 @ 63.8¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Перемога
No$21 @ 10.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Поразка
Yes$14 @ 0.1¢
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?Перемога
No$12 @ 54.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$55 @ 55.4¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 2.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поразка
Yes$12 @ 4.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Перемога
Yes$33 @ 56.0¢
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 3.1¢
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Поразка
No$2 @ 1.1¢
Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?Поразка
No$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Поразка
No$9 @ 8.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 0.6¢
Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?Поразка
No$2 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in June 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 9.9¢
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$36 @ 33.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 3.4¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Wi Seong-gon win the 2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election?Поразка
No$3 @ 2.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Поразка
Yes$39 @ 0.3¢
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?Поразка
No$2 @ 2.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	—	Yes	$20	51.0¢
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	Культура	No	$5	7.0¢
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Спорт	Yes	$5	0.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?	—	Yes	$3	6.0¢
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$3	4.0¢
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Спорт	Yes	$2	0.3¢
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Економіка	Yes	$2	3.0¢
Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?	—	Yes	$2	2.0¢
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Спорт	Yes	$1	0.3¢
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Економіка	Yes	$1	6.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$1	3.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Політика	No	$1	66.5¢
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?	Спорт	Yes	$1	2.0¢
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Технології	Yes	$1	4.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	No	$1	16.0¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Технології	Yes	$1	12.5¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	3.0¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	5.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$0	3.0¢
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$0	3.0¢
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$0	3.0¢
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	—	No	$0	5.0¢
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	—	Yes	$0	4.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Геополітика	Yes	$0	4.0¢
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?	—	Yes	$0	4.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	Технології	Yes	$0	0.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$0	2.1¢
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$0	2.0¢
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?	—	No	$0	5.0¢

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?—
Yes$20 @ 51.0¢
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Культура
No$5 @ 7.0¢
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Спорт
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?—
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?Геополітика
Yes$3 @ 4.0¢
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Спорт
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Економіка
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?—
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Спорт
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Економіка
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Геополітика
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Політика
No$1 @ 66.5¢
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?Спорт
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Технології
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
No$1 @ 16.0¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?Технології
Yes$1 @ 12.5¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Геополітика
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Крипто
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Крипто
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?—
No$0 @ 5.0¢
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?—
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Геополітика
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?—
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?Технології
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?—
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?—
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?—
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?—
No$0 @ 5.0¢