0x57b0…76f4

Прибутковий

Едж

+2.1pp

ROI

+4%

Частка перемог

41% @ 39.3¢

Brier

0.139

Угод

2154

Сер. розмір

$137

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	48% (75/155)	-1%	155
Other	54% (50/93)	-7%	93
Геополітика	42% (8/19)	-50%	19
Крипто	46% (6/13)	+46%	13
Спорт	55% (6/11)	+68%	11
Економіка	50% (2/4)	+23%	4
Культура	33% (1/3)	-79%	3
Технології	50% (1/2)	+3%	2
Бізнес	100% (1/1)	+22%	1

Політика155 ставки
Влучання
48% (75/155)
ROI
-1%
Other93 ставки
Влучання
54% (50/93)
ROI
-7%
Геополітика19 ставки
Влучання
42% (8/19)
ROI
-50%
Крипто13 ставки
Влучання
46% (6/13)
ROI
+46%
Спорт11 ставки
Влучання
55% (6/11)
ROI
+68%
Економіка4 ставки
Влучання
50% (2/4)
ROI
+23%
Культура3 ставки
Влучання
33% (1/3)
ROI
-79%
Технології2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+3%
Бізнес1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%

Історія результатів

50% влучень · 150/301

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	Yes	$169	3.0¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$2.5k	98.6¢	Перемога
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	$624	27.5¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	$910	91.0¢	Перемога
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$179	13.8¢	Поразка
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$164	4.0¢	Поразка
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in June?	No	$132	80.0¢	Перемога
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	$6.1k	85.1¢	Перемога
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	No	$152	76.0¢	Перемога
Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	$1.7k	86.0¢	Перемога
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$2.1k	10.5¢	Поразка
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$183	14.0¢	Поразка
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$320	32.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.0k	66.8¢	Перемога
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$988	64.0¢	Поразка
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$410	13.7¢	Поразка
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	No	$435	87.0¢	Перемога
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$2.4k	87.1¢	Перемога
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поразка
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?	Yes	$288	72.0¢	Перемога
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	$46	83.0¢	Перемога
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$1.2k	83.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	$596	85.1¢	Перемога
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	$765	67.6¢	Перемога
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?	No	$61	61.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	$478	82.7¢	Перемога
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?	No	$68	67.6¢	Поразка
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	No	$65	13.0¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$2.8k	67.8¢	Перемога
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	$157	50.4¢	Поразка
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	$246	72.7¢	Перемога
Trump out as President by August 31?	No	$718	85.1¢	Перемога
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$67	1.6¢	Поразка
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$60	12.0¢	Поразка
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	$2.1k	51.7¢	Поразка
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August?	No	$295	73.2¢	Перемога
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$2.4k	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$133	0.5¢	Поразка
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	$334	86.0¢	Перемога
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	Yes	$273	17.6¢	Поразка
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$316	37.5¢	Перемога
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	Yes	$414	23.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$16	66.1¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$2.6k	86.3¢	Перемога
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$1.1k	86.7¢	Перемога
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	$2.5k	9.7¢	Поразка
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$783	87.0¢	Перемога
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	$158	68.0¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$8.8k	85.7¢	Перемога

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Поразка
Yes$169 @ 3.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Перемога
No$2.5k @ 98.6¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Поразка
Yes$624 @ 27.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Перемога
Yes$910 @ 91.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$179 @ 13.8¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Поразка
Yes$164 @ 4.0¢
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in June?Перемога
No$132 @ 80.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Поразка
No$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Перемога
Yes$6.1k @ 85.1¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?Перемога
No$152 @ 76.0¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?Перемога
No$1.7k @ 86.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Поразка
Yes$2.1k @ 10.5¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$183 @ 14.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Поразка
Yes$320 @ 32.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$2.0k @ 66.8¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$988 @ 64.0¢
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$410 @ 13.7¢
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Перемога
No$435 @ 87.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Перемога
No$2.4k @ 87.1¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Перемога
Yes$288 @ 72.0¢
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?Перемога
Yes$46 @ 83.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Поразка
Yes$1.2k @ 83.0¢
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Перемога
No$596 @ 85.1¢
Will Putin visit China by May 31?Перемога
Yes$765 @ 67.6¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?Перемога
No$61 @ 61.0¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?Перемога
Yes$478 @ 82.7¢
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?Поразка
No$68 @ 67.6¢
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Поразка
No$65 @ 13.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Перемога
No$2.8k @ 67.8¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?Поразка
No$157 @ 50.4¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?Перемога
Yes$246 @ 72.7¢
Trump out as President by August 31?Перемога
No$718 @ 85.1¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$67 @ 1.6¢
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Поразка
Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Поразка
No$2.1k @ 51.7¢
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August?Перемога
No$295 @ 73.2¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
No$2.4k @ 87.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$133 @ 0.5¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Перемога
No$334 @ 86.0¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Поразка
Yes$273 @ 17.6¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Перемога
Yes$316 @ 37.5¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Поразка
Yes$414 @ 23.0¢
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Перемога
Yes$16 @ 66.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Перемога
No$2.6k @ 86.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Перемога
No$1.1k @ 86.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Поразка
Yes$2.5k @ 9.7¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Перемога
No$783 @ 87.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Поразка
Yes$158 @ 68.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Перемога
No$8.8k @ 85.7¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$12.1k	95.1¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	Yes	$5.5k	91.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$4.5k	63.6¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Політика	Yes	$4.4k	84.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$4.0k	70.5¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	No	$3.6k	91.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$3.5k	78.5¢
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Політика	No	$3.4k	65.1¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Геополітика	No	$3.2k	67.8¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Політика	Yes	$3.0k	72.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Політика	No	$2.9k	92.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$2.8k	56.7¢
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Політика	Yes	$2.6k	73.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$2.5k	71.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	Політика	No	$2.5k	98.6¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Політика	No	$2.5k	82.8¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$2.4k	69.9¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Геополітика	No	$2.1k	92.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Технології	No	$1.9k	78.1¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	Геополітика	No	$1.9k	87.3¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Політика	Yes	$1.8k	56.3¢
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Політика	No	$1.6k	81.4¢
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Політика	No	$1.5k	69.7¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$1.5k	83.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Політика	Yes	$1.5k	93.9¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Геополітика	No	$1.5k	93.0¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Геополітика	No	$1.4k	72.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Політика	No	$1.4k	92.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1.3k	53.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$1.3k	63.0¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Політика
No$12.1k @ 95.1¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
Yes$5.5k @ 91.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$4.5k @ 63.6¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Політика
Yes$4.4k @ 84.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$4.0k @ 70.5¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
No$3.6k @ 91.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$3.5k @ 78.5¢
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Політика
No$3.4k @ 65.1¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Геополітика
No$3.2k @ 67.8¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Політика
Yes$3.0k @ 72.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Політика
No$2.9k @ 92.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Політика
Yes$2.8k @ 56.7¢
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Політика
Yes$2.6k @ 73.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$2.5k @ 71.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Політика
No$2.5k @ 98.6¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Політика
No$2.5k @ 82.8¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$2.4k @ 69.9¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Геополітика
No$2.1k @ 92.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Технології
No$1.9k @ 78.1¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Геополітика
No$1.9k @ 87.3¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Політика
Yes$1.8k @ 56.3¢
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Політика
No$1.6k @ 81.4¢
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Політика
No$1.5k @ 69.7¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Крипто
No$1.5k @ 83.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Політика
Yes$1.5k @ 93.9¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Геополітика
No$1.5k @ 93.0¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Геополітика
No$1.4k @ 72.5¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Політика
No$1.4k @ 92.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Політика
Yes$1.3k @ 53.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$1.3k @ 63.0¢