0x529d…6381

Профі

Едж

+2.7pp

ROI

+9%

Частка перемог

44% @ 41.6¢

Brier

0.136

Угод

1910

Сер. розмір

$26

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	47% (172/365)	+6%	365
Політика	45% (23/51)	+7%	51
Технології	51% (23/45)	+17%	45
Спорт	47% (14/30)	+66%	30
Культура	40% (4/10)	-18%	10
Геополітика	67% (4/6)	+8%	6
Бізнес	100% (2/2)	+148%	2
Крипто	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other365 ставки
Влучання
47% (172/365)
ROI
+6%
Політика51 ставки
Влучання
45% (23/51)
ROI
+7%
Технології45 ставки
Влучання
51% (23/45)
ROI
+17%
Спорт30 ставки
Влучання
47% (14/30)
ROI
+66%
Культура10 ставки
Влучання
40% (4/10)
ROI
-18%
Геополітика6 ставки
Влучання
67% (4/6)
ROI
+8%
Бізнес2 ставки
Влучання
100% (2/2)
ROI
+148%
Крипто1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Історія результатів

48% влучень · 243/510

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	No	$120	80.2¢	Перемога
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Поразка
GPT ads by December 31?	No	$100	86.8¢	Перемога
Canada recession before 2027?	No	$60	48.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?	Yes	$25	51.0¢	Поразка
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	$16	1.9¢	Поразка
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?	Yes	$26	66.0¢	Поразка
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	$36	72.7¢	Поразка
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	$20	31.0¢	Поразка
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$33	33.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	Yes	$3	27.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$20	5.0¢	Поразка
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	$50	25.0¢	Поразка
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	$21	7.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	Yes	$20	10.0¢	Поразка
Will "508 meters" be said during the Taipei 101 climb?	Yes	$28	79.4¢	Поразка
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?	No	$100	6.0¢	Поразка
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	$451	69.7¢	Перемога
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$140	70.0¢	Поразка
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?	Yes	$42	36.3¢	Поразка
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?	No	$3	3.0¢	Поразка
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$126	84.0¢	Перемога
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	Yes	$50	53.0¢	Перемога
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?	Yes	$3	7.0¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	No	$757	81.8¢	Перемога
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	Yes	$1.4k	59.5¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$89	12.7¢	Поразка
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?	Yes	$34	18.3¢	Поразка
Clavicular charged by Jan 31?	Yes	$108	36.0¢	Поразка
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?	Yes	$15	29.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?	No	$25	51.9¢	Поразка
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$576	63.9¢	Перемога
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$146	73.0¢	Перемога
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	$38	81.0¢	Перемога
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$25	8.5¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?	Yes	$1.2k	77.8¢	Перемога
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$154	77.0¢	Перемога
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	$102	34.0¢	Поразка
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	Yes	$32	32.0¢	Поразка
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 12000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	$67	39.4¢	Поразка
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	$61	76.9¢	Перемога
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	No	$64	33.1¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	Yes	$11	0.9¢	Поразка
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?	No	$60	10.0¢	Поразка
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	No	$89	89.0¢	Перемога
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$454	34.9¢	Поразка
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	$252	84.0¢	Перемога
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?	Yes	$300	35.1¢	Поразка
Will coinco98 win the Genesis Cup?	Yes	$5	2.8¢	Поразка

Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Перемога
No$120 @ 80.2¢
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
GPT ads by December 31?Перемога
No$100 @ 86.8¢
Canada recession before 2027?Поразка
No$60 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Поразка
Yes$25 @ 51.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Поразка
No$16 @ 1.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?Поразка
Yes$26 @ 66.0¢
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Поразка
Yes$36 @ 72.7¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Поразка
No$20 @ 31.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Поразка
No$33 @ 33.0¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 27.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 5.0¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Поразка
No$50 @ 25.0¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Поразка
Yes$21 @ 7.0¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
Will "508 meters" be said during the Taipei 101 climb?Поразка
Yes$28 @ 79.4¢
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Поразка
No$100 @ 6.0¢
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Перемога
Yes$451 @ 69.7¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$140 @ 70.0¢
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Поразка
Yes$42 @ 36.3¢
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Поразка
No$3 @ 3.0¢
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Перемога
No$126 @ 84.0¢
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Перемога
Yes$50 @ 53.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Перемога
No$757 @ 81.8¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?Перемога
Yes$1.4k @ 59.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$89 @ 12.7¢
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?Поразка
Yes$34 @ 18.3¢
Clavicular charged by Jan 31?Поразка
Yes$108 @ 36.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Поразка
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?Поразка
Yes$15 @ 29.0¢
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Поразка
No$25 @ 51.9¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Перемога
Yes$576 @ 63.9¢
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Перемога
Yes$146 @ 73.0¢
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?Перемога
Yes$38 @ 81.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Поразка
No$25 @ 8.5¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Перемога
Yes$1.2k @ 77.8¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Перемога
No$154 @ 77.0¢
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Поразка
Yes$102 @ 34.0¢
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Поразка
Yes$32 @ 32.0¢
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 12000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?Поразка
Yes$67 @ 39.4¢
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Перемога
Yes$61 @ 76.9¢
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Поразка
No$64 @ 33.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Поразка
Yes$11 @ 0.9¢
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?Поразка
No$60 @ 10.0¢
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Перемога
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$454 @ 34.9¢
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?Перемога
Yes$252 @ 84.0¢
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Поразка
Yes$300 @ 35.1¢
Will coinco98 win the Genesis Cup?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 2.8¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	No	$2.9k	89.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$820	82.0¢
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$548	91.4¢
GTA VI released by November 30?	Культура	Yes	$491	95.3¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$486	44.2¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Політика	No	$455	91.0¢
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	No	$379	72.5¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$363	6.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$354	35.4¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Бізнес	Yes	$350	87.5¢
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$319	53.2¢
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Політика	Yes	$290	72.5¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Технології	No	$285	95.0¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Технології	No	$261	87.0¢
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?	Політика	Zemmour	$245	79.9¢
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?	Технології	Yes	$202	57.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$188	18.8¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$172	86.0¢
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Політика	No	$170	85.0¢
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?	Спорт	Yes	$157	19.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$153	17.0¢
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$146	1.5¢
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Технології	Yes	$138	13.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$132	11.0¢
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Технології	No	$126	82.4¢
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$120	10.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$105	15.0¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$104	34.7¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$100	12.0¢
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Технології	Yes	$97	4.4¢

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
No$2.9k @ 89.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$820 @ 82.0¢
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$548 @ 91.4¢
GTA VI released by November 30?Культура
Yes$491 @ 95.3¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
Yes$486 @ 44.2¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseПолітика
No$455 @ 91.0¢
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
No$379 @ 72.5¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$363 @ 6.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$354 @ 35.4¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Бізнес
Yes$350 @ 87.5¢
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
Yes$319 @ 53.2¢
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Політика
Yes$290 @ 72.5¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Технології
No$285 @ 95.0¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Технології
No$261 @ 87.0¢
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?Політика
Zemmour$245 @ 79.9¢
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Технології
Yes$202 @ 57.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Політика
Yes$188 @ 18.8¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$172 @ 86.0¢
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Політика
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?Спорт
Yes$157 @ 19.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$153 @ 17.0¢
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
Yes$146 @ 1.5¢
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Технології
Yes$138 @ 13.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$132 @ 11.0¢
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Технології
No$126 @ 82.4¢
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$120 @ 10.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$105 @ 15.0¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
Yes$104 @ 34.7¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
Yes$100 @ 12.0¢
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Технології
Yes$97 @ 4.4¢