0x5109…5e9c

Прибутковий

Едж

+12.4pp

ROI

+61%

Частка перемог

45% @ 32.2¢

Brier

0.239

Угод

5618

Сер. розмір

$197

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	32% (50/154)	+121%	154
Other	41% (57/139)	+21%	139
Геополітика	15% (4/27)	-46%	27
Спорт	38% (5/13)	+133%	13
Технології	20% (2/10)	-81%	10
Крипто	50% (1/2)	+22%	2
Наука	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Бізнес	100% (1/1)	+178%	1

Політика154 ставки
Влучання
32% (50/154)
ROI
+121%
Other139 ставки
Влучання
41% (57/139)
ROI
+21%
Геополітика27 ставки
Влучання
15% (4/27)
ROI
-46%
Спорт13 ставки
Влучання
38% (5/13)
ROI
+133%
Технології10 ставки
Влучання
20% (2/10)
ROI
-81%
Крипто2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+22%
Наука1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Бізнес1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+178%

Історія результатів

35% влучень · 120/347

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$12.1k	43.7¢	Перемога
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$12.2k	27.9¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	$37	67.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	33.1¢	Перемога
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$57	11.5¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	$44	19.0¢	Поразка
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$180	46.8¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?	Yes	$60	6.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	$54	37.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$57.6k	28.9¢	Поразка
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	37.0¢	Перемога
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$403	16.1¢	Поразка
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	$56	0.9¢	Поразка
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	$730	7.2¢	Поразка
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	$8	7.6¢	Поразка
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	No	$70	30.0¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?	Yes	$212	4.7¢	Поразка
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?	No	$57	54.8¢	Поразка
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?	Yes	$442	39.8¢	Перемога
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	Yes	$12.7k	43.2¢	Перемога
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$853	27.1¢	Поразка
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$53	66.3¢	Перемога
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	$854	57.4¢	Поразка
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$836	45.3¢	Перемога
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$218	4.3¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$8.9k	25.9¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$170	3.4¢	Перемога
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$103	41.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$2.4k	29.7¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$23.8k	13.8¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$23.5k	40.9¢	Перемога
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$4.0k	14.1¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	$400	20.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$1.5k	14.5¢	Поразка
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Поразка
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$1.1k	22.5¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$454	52.7¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$487	16.2¢	Перемога
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Поразка
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	$578	56.0¢	Перемога
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$6	1.5¢	Поразка
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$544	61.8¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$195	1.3¢	Поразка
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$375	75.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$631	12.1¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$173	39.7¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$4.3k	26.1¢	Перемога
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	No	$16	42.0¢	Поразка
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	$650	58.4¢	Перемога
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?	Yes	$174	1.2¢	Поразка

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Перемога
No$12.1k @ 43.7¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Поразка
Yes$12.2k @ 27.9¢
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?Поразка
Yes$37 @ 67.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Перемога
Yes$1.7k @ 33.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$57 @ 11.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$44 @ 19.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Поразка
No$180 @ 46.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Поразка
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Перемога
No$54 @ 37.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$57.6k @ 28.9¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$1.1k @ 37.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поразка
Yes$403 @ 16.1¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Поразка
No$56 @ 0.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Поразка
Yes$730 @ 7.2¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 7.6¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Поразка
No$70 @ 30.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?Поразка
Yes$212 @ 4.7¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Поразка
No$57 @ 54.8¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Перемога
Yes$442 @ 39.8¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Перемога
Yes$12.7k @ 43.2¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$853 @ 27.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Перемога
No$53 @ 66.3¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Поразка
No$854 @ 57.4¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Перемога
Yes$836 @ 45.3¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поразка
Yes$218 @ 4.3¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Поразка
No$8.9k @ 25.9¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Перемога
Yes$170 @ 3.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Перемога
No$103 @ 41.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2.4k @ 29.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$23.8k @ 13.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$23.5k @ 40.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поразка
Yes$4.0k @ 14.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Поразка
Yes$400 @ 20.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$1.5k @ 14.5¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поразка
No$1.1k @ 22.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Поразка
No$454 @ 52.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Перемога
Yes$487 @ 16.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Перемога
No$578 @ 56.0¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 1.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
No$544 @ 61.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$195 @ 1.3¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Поразка
Yes$375 @ 75.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Поразка
No$631 @ 12.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Перемога
Yes$173 @ 39.7¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Перемога
Yes$4.3k @ 26.1¢
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Поразка
No$16 @ 42.0¢
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Перемога
Yes$650 @ 58.4¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Поразка
Yes$174 @ 1.2¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Політика	No	$53.2k	69.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Політика	No	$16.8k	45.8¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$6.9k	11.6¢
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Політика	Yes	$5.6k	10.4¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	No	$2.5k	55.8¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$2.5k	33.7¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$1.6k	22.7¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Бізнес	No	$1.6k	22.9¢
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Політика	No	$1.3k	70.9¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Технології	Yes	$1.0k	10.0¢
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Технології	Yes	$800	8.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$697	26.3¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$473	2.6¢
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$462	1.0¢
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Технології	Yes	$440	22.0¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Технології	Yes	$376	25.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$277	8.4¢
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$245	1.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Культура	Yes	$194	8.2¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$175	3.5¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$160	4.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$141	4.8¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$121	18.3¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Бізнес	No	$99	43.0¢
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$79	0.8¢
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$79	0.8¢
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$79	0.8¢
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$79	0.8¢
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$79	0.8¢
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$79	0.8¢

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Політика
No$53.2k @ 69.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Політика
No$16.8k @ 45.8¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$6.9k @ 11.6¢
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Політика
Yes$5.6k @ 10.4¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
No$2.5k @ 55.8¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Політика
Yes$2.5k @ 33.7¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Політика
Yes$1.6k @ 22.7¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Бізнес
No$1.6k @ 22.9¢
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Політика
No$1.3k @ 70.9¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Технології
Yes$1.0k @ 10.0¢
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Технології
Yes$800 @ 8.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
Yes$697 @ 26.3¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$473 @ 2.6¢
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$462 @ 1.0¢
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Технології
Yes$440 @ 22.0¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Технології
Yes$376 @ 25.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$277 @ 8.4¢
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$245 @ 1.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Культура
Yes$194 @ 8.2¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$175 @ 3.5¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$160 @ 4.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$141 @ 4.8¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$121 @ 18.3¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Бізнес
No$99 @ 43.0¢
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$79 @ 0.8¢
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$79 @ 0.8¢
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$79 @ 0.8¢
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$79 @ 0.8¢
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$79 @ 0.8¢
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$79 @ 0.8¢