0x44c1…ebc1

Профі

Едж

-3.5pp

ROI

+7%

Частка перемог

27% @ 30.8¢

Brier

0.118

Угод

3181

Сер. розмір

$892

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	48% (84/174)	-12%	174
Other	35% (26/74)	-14%	74
Геополітика	33% (6/18)	-25%	18
Культура	46% (6/13)	-31%	13
Спорт	25% (3/12)	-97%	12
Технології	75% (3/4)	+47%	4
Наука	50% (2/4)	-58%	4
Крипто	67% (2/3)	+11%	3

Політика174 ставки
Влучання
48% (84/174)
ROI
-12%
Other74 ставки
Влучання
35% (26/74)
ROI
-14%
Геополітика18 ставки
Влучання
33% (6/18)
ROI
-25%
Культура13 ставки
Влучання
46% (6/13)
ROI
-31%
Спорт12 ставки
Влучання
25% (3/12)
ROI
-97%
Технології4 ставки
Влучання
75% (3/4)
ROI
+47%
Наука4 ставки
Влучання
50% (2/4)
ROI
-58%
Крипто3 ставки
Влучання
67% (2/3)
ROI
+11%

Історія результатів

44% влучень · 132/302

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	Yes	$41	70.0¢	Перемога
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?	Yes	$6	1.5¢	Поразка
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$23	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	$8	79.9¢	Перемога
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$1.1k	2.2¢	Поразка
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$25.7k	38.5¢	Поразка
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	$16.6k	31.5¢	Поразка
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$8.4k	81.0¢	Поразка
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?	Yes	$27	9.2¢	Поразка
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	No	$232	63.1¢	Поразка
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$1.0k	65.8¢	Перемога
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$8.6k	34.6¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$49.3k	68.7¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$647	5.7¢	Поразка
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	$2	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$439	1.9¢	Поразка
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$27.3k	31.4¢	Поразка
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$23.6k	61.7¢	Перемога
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$4.4k	53.3¢	Перемога
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$1.7k	38.6¢	Поразка
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?	No	$4	42.0¢	Поразка
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$909	0.5¢	Поразка
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$51.9k	86.5¢	Перемога
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$490	0.7¢	Поразка
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$656	0.7¢	Поразка
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	Yes	$1	19.6¢	Поразка
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	$1.5k	12.7¢	Поразка
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September?	Yes	$109	58.2¢	Перемога
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$52	33.9¢	Поразка
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	$379	30.3¢	Поразка
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?	No	$2.1k	82.9¢	Перемога
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$3	0.3¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$10.2k	59.5¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?	Yes	$45	83.3¢	Поразка
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$136	68.0¢	Поразка
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$14.1k	37.5¢	Перемога
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	No	$267	54.8¢	Перемога
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	Yes	$693	47.7¢	Поразка
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$49.6k	81.3¢	Перемога
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	$32	28.0¢	Поразка
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$1.4k	69.8¢	Поразка
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$64	1.6¢	Поразка
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	$1.8k	82.9¢	Перемога
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	$200	10.5¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$249	20.0¢	Перемога
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$19	3.4¢	Поразка
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	$410	86.8¢	Перемога
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$9	82.0¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$43.1k	87.6¢	Перемога

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Перемога
Yes$41 @ 70.0¢
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 1.5¢
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Поразка
Yes$23 @ 0.1¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Перемога
No$8 @ 79.9¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Поразка
Yes$1.1k @ 2.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$25.7k @ 38.5¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Поразка
No$16.6k @ 31.5¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поразка
No$8.4k @ 81.0¢
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?Поразка
Yes$27 @ 9.2¢
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Поразка
No$232 @ 63.1¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Перемога
Yes$1.0k @ 65.8¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Поразка
Yes$8.6k @ 34.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Перемога
No$49.3k @ 68.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$647 @ 5.7¢
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Перемога
No$2 @ 87.0¢
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Поразка
Yes$439 @ 1.9¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поразка
No$27.3k @ 31.4¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Перемога
Yes$23.6k @ 61.7¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Перемога
No$4.4k @ 53.3¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Поразка
Yes$1.7k @ 38.6¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Поразка
No$4 @ 42.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$909 @ 0.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
No$51.9k @ 86.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$490 @ 0.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$656 @ 0.7¢
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 19.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Поразка
Yes$1.5k @ 12.7¢
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September?Перемога
Yes$109 @ 58.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Поразка
Yes$52 @ 33.9¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Поразка
Yes$379 @ 30.3¢
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$2.1k @ 82.9¢
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Поразка
No$3 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Поразка
No$10.2k @ 59.5¢
Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?Поразка
Yes$45 @ 83.3¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Поразка
No$136 @ 68.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Перемога
Yes$14.1k @ 37.5¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Перемога
No$267 @ 54.8¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Поразка
Yes$693 @ 47.7¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Перемога
Yes$49.6k @ 81.3¢
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Поразка
No$32 @ 28.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Поразка
Yes$1.4k @ 69.8¢
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Поразка
No$64 @ 1.6¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Перемога
No$1.8k @ 82.9¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Поразка
Yes$200 @ 10.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Перемога
Yes$249 @ 20.0¢
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Поразка
No$19 @ 3.4¢
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Перемога
Yes$410 @ 86.8¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Перемога
Yes$9 @ 82.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$43.1k @ 87.6¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$47.1k	12.6¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$18.9k	22.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$9.1k	14.8¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Політика	Yes	$7.0k	82.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$6.9k	23.7¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$6.2k	25.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Політика	Yes	$6.2k	20.7¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Геополітика	Yes	$5.0k	40.4¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Політика	No	$4.8k	94.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Політика	No	$3.9k	24.4¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Політика	Yes	$3.1k	34.9¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$2.5k	39.2¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Геополітика	Yes	$2.5k	6.7¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$2.5k	56.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$2.0k	67.2¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$1.8k	40.7¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Політика	No	$1.4k	93.2¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$1.4k	33.8¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$1.3k	22.3¢
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Геополітика	Yes	$1.3k	7.6¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$1.0k	37.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$999	8.2¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$853	80.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Геополітика	Yes	$696	25.8¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$688	18.4¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Спорт	Yes	$663	32.4¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$571	30.8¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$490	19.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Політика	No	$468	34.9¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Геополітика	Yes	$394	13.1¢

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Політика
Yes$47.1k @ 12.6¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$18.9k @ 22.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$9.1k @ 14.8¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Політика
Yes$7.0k @ 82.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Політика
Yes$6.9k @ 23.7¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$6.2k @ 25.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Політика
Yes$6.2k @ 20.7¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Геополітика
Yes$5.0k @ 40.4¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Політика
No$4.8k @ 94.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Політика
No$3.9k @ 24.4¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Політика
Yes$3.1k @ 34.9¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Політика
Yes$2.5k @ 39.2¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Геополітика
Yes$2.5k @ 6.7¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Політика
Yes$2.5k @ 56.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Політика
Yes$2.0k @ 67.2¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Політика
Yes$1.8k @ 40.7¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Політика
No$1.4k @ 93.2¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Політика
Yes$1.4k @ 33.8¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Політика
Yes$1.3k @ 22.3¢
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Геополітика
Yes$1.3k @ 7.6¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Політика
Yes$1.0k @ 37.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Політика
Yes$999 @ 8.2¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$853 @ 80.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Геополітика
Yes$696 @ 25.8¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Політика
Yes$688 @ 18.4¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Спорт
Yes$663 @ 32.4¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$571 @ 30.8¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Політика
Yes$490 @ 19.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Політика
No$468 @ 34.9¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Геополітика
Yes$394 @ 13.1¢