0x3f3b…1d77

Профі

Едж

+6.5pp

ROI

+12%

Частка перемог

42% @ 35.8¢

Brier

0.118

Угод

3256

Сер. розмір

$147

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	33% (66/203)	+10%	203
Політика	50% (6/12)	+31%	12
Крипто	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Економіка	60% (3/5)	+115%	5
Технології	33% (1/3)	+6%	3
Наука	100% (1/1)	+24%	1
Геополітика	100% (1/1)	+1150%	1

Other203 ставки
Влучання
33% (66/203)
ROI
+10%
Політика12 ставки
Влучання
50% (6/12)
ROI
+31%
Крипто8 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Економіка5 ставки
Влучання
60% (3/5)
ROI
+115%
Технології3 ставки
Влучання
33% (1/3)
ROI
+6%
Наука1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+24%
Геополітика1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1150%

Історія результатів

33% влучень · 78/233

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the December meeting?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Поразка
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?	Yes	$84	12.5¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Поразка
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$50	5.0¢	Поразка
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$340	68.0¢	Поразка
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?	Yes	$4.7k	78.6¢	Перемога
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$40	4.0¢	Поразка
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?	Yes	$186	15.2¢	Перемога
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?	Yes	$44	88.6¢	Перемога
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	Yes	$15	6.1¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	No	$295	12.7¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	Yes	$520	59.7¢	Перемога
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Поразка
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.5k	59.0¢	Перемога
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?	No	$943	75.1¢	Перемога
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?	Yes	$1.6k	7.7¢	Поразка
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$3	6.9¢	Поразка
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Patriots	$1.9k	32.0¢	Поразка
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$13.6k	68.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$712	13.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?	Yes	$108	2.8¢	Поразка
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in December?	Yes	$4	14.0¢	Поразка
Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?	No	$11	84.0¢	Перемога
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$15	13.5¢	Поразка
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	Yes	$7	5.0¢	Поразка
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?	Yes	$8	24.0¢	Поразка
Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?	No	$294	81.0¢	Перемога
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	$395	4.6¢	Поразка
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$255	51.0¢	Поразка
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.2k	66.0¢	Перемога
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	$2.5k	53.6¢	Поразка
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?	Yes	$47	2.1¢	Поразка
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?	Yes	$13	87.0¢	Перемога
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$714	7.0¢	Поразка
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?	Yes	$3.7k	28.0¢	Перемога
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$2.7k	88.8¢	Перемога
Will "MUTT - Leon Thomas" win Best R&B Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$200	89.0¢	Перемога
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$28	1.4¢	Поразка
Will "Abracadabra - Lady Gaga" win Best Dance Pop Recording at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$96	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	$870	87.0¢	Перемога
Fight to Go the Distance?	No	$2	65.0¢	Перемога
Will the New England Patriots win the Super Bowl?	Yes	$3.2k	32.0¢	Поразка
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Поразка
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	$28	11.0¢	Поразка
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?	No	$19	5.2¢	Поразка
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	$202	66.4¢	Перемога
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	$375	8.4¢	Поразка
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	No	$407	5.2¢	Поразка
ETH flipped in 2025?	Yes	$4	0.7¢	Поразка

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the December meeting?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?Поразка
Yes$84 @ 12.5¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Поразка
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$340 @ 68.0¢
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?Перемога
Yes$4.7k @ 78.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Поразка
Yes$40 @ 4.0¢
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?Перемога
Yes$186 @ 15.2¢
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?Перемога
Yes$44 @ 88.6¢
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Поразка
Yes$15 @ 6.1¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Поразка
No$295 @ 12.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Перемога
Yes$520 @ 59.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$1.5k @ 59.0¢
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Перемога
No$943 @ 75.1¢
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Поразка
Yes$1.6k @ 7.7¢
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?Поразка
No$3 @ 6.9¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsПоразка
Patriots$1.9k @ 32.0¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsПеремога
Seahawks$13.6k @ 68.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Поразка
No$712 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Поразка
Yes$108 @ 2.8¢
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in December?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 14.0¢
Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?Перемога
No$11 @ 84.0¢
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Поразка
Yes$15 @ 13.5¢
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 5.0¢
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 24.0¢
Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?Перемога
No$294 @ 81.0¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Поразка
Yes$395 @ 4.6¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Поразка
No$255 @ 51.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$3.2k @ 66.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Поразка
No$2.5k @ 53.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?Поразка
Yes$47 @ 2.1¢
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?Перемога
Yes$13 @ 87.0¢
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?Поразка
Yes$714 @ 7.0¢
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Перемога
Yes$3.7k @ 28.0¢
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Перемога
Yes$2.7k @ 88.8¢
Will "MUTT - Leon Thomas" win Best R&B Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Перемога
Yes$200 @ 89.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Поразка
Yes$28 @ 1.4¢
Will "Abracadabra - Lady Gaga" win Best Dance Pop Recording at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Перемога
Yes$96 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Перемога
No$870 @ 87.0¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Перемога
No$2 @ 65.0¢
Will the New England Patriots win the Super Bowl?Поразка
Yes$3.2k @ 32.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$28 @ 11.0¢
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?Поразка
No$19 @ 5.2¢
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Перемога
No$202 @ 66.4¢
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Поразка
Yes$375 @ 8.4¢
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Поразка
No$407 @ 5.2¢
ETH flipped in 2025?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 0.7¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Політика	No	$20.8k	73.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Політика	No	$13.9k	49.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$10.6k	34.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$8.3k	35.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$5.9k	19.7¢
Negative GDP growth in 2026?	Економіка	No	$5.8k	87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$5.5k	19.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$4.6k	15.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$4.6k	29.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$4.1k	31.7¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$2.9k	34.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Політика	No	$2.7k	90.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$2.5k	24.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технології	No	$2.5k	78.2¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	Yes	$2.3k	46.7¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Політика	Yes	$2.0k	24.7¢
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	Політика	No	$1.9k	91.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$1.8k	22.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	No	$1.7k	15.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технології	Yes	$1.7k	13.0¢
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Культура	No	$1.6k	68.4¢
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	Культура	Yes	$1.4k	69.1¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$1.2k	45.3¢
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$923	92.3¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$806	91.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	No	$733	46.5¢
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Технології	Yes	$696	15.5¢
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$650	15.1¢
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$574	92.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$523	7.6¢

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Політика
No$20.8k @ 73.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Політика
No$13.9k @ 49.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$10.6k @ 34.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$8.3k @ 35.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$5.9k @ 19.7¢
Negative GDP growth in 2026?Економіка
No$5.8k @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$5.5k @ 19.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$4.6k @ 15.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$4.6k @ 29.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$4.1k @ 31.7¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
Yes$2.9k @ 34.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Політика
No$2.7k @ 90.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$2.5k @ 24.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технології
No$2.5k @ 78.2¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
Yes$2.3k @ 46.7¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Політика
Yes$2.0k @ 24.7¢
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Політика
No$1.9k @ 91.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$1.8k @ 22.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
No$1.7k @ 15.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технології
Yes$1.7k @ 13.0¢
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Культура
No$1.6k @ 68.4¢
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Культура
Yes$1.4k @ 69.1¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Наука
Yes$1.2k @ 45.3¢
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$923 @ 92.3¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$806 @ 91.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
No$733 @ 46.5¢
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Технології
Yes$696 @ 15.5¢
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Політика
Yes$650 @ 15.1¢
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$574 @ 92.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$523 @ 7.6¢