0x3e71…f97b

Прибутковий

Едж

+26.3pp

ROI

+29%

Частка перемог

68% @ 41.5¢

Brier

0.291

Угод

155

Сер. розмір

$108

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	58% (14/24)	+63%	24
Спорт	25% (4/16)	-35%	16
Технології	50% (3/6)	+3%	6
Other	20% (1/5)	+49%	5
Економіка	50% (1/2)	+769%	2
Крипто	100% (2/2)	+19%	2

Політика24 ставки
Влучання
58% (14/24)
ROI
+63%
Спорт16 ставки
Влучання
25% (4/16)
ROI
-35%
Технології6 ставки
Влучання
50% (3/6)
ROI
+3%
Other5 ставки
Влучання
20% (1/5)
ROI
+49%
Економіка2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+769%
Крипто2 ставки
Влучання
100% (2/2)
ROI
+19%

Історія результатів

45% влучень · 25/55

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$255	8.5¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	$366	73.2¢	Перемога
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$14	59.0¢	Поразка
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	$32	10.7¢	Перемога
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$348	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$40	4.0¢	Поразка
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	$819	17.6¢	Перемога
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	$400	38.0¢	Перемога
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$405	56.0¢	Поразка
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	$4.0k	84.0¢	Перемога
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Перемога
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	$169	24.0¢	Поразка
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	$299	30.0¢	Поразка
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$264	88.0¢	Перемога
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	$261	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$47	23.6¢	Перемога
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$440	88.0¢	Перемога
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	$102	20.0¢	Поразка
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	$87	17.0¢	Поразка
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	$320	32.0¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	$260	70.0¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$295	59.0¢	Перемога
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	Yes	$25	25.0¢	Поразка
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$66	22.0¢	Поразка
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$378	54.0¢	Перемога
Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	$219	73.0¢	Поразка
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$142	27.0¢	Поразка
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$986	75.0¢	Перемога
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$125	25.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$400	63.0¢	Поразка
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	$300	85.0¢	Перемога
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	$1.2k	82.9¢	Перемога
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Поразка
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?	Yes	$43	43.0¢	Поразка
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$100	48.0¢	Перемога
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$29	19.0¢	Поразка
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$229	43.0¢	Поразка
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	Yes	$2	5.6¢	Поразка
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$443	88.0¢	Перемога
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$370	73.9¢	Перемога
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	$92	30.0¢	Поразка
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$7	7.2¢	Поразка
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	$128	11.0¢	Перемога
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	No	$632	79.0¢	Перемога
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$95	18.9¢	Поразка
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$410	35.0¢	Поразка
Will Europe win the 2026 Laver Cup?	Yes	$13	65.0¢	Перемога
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?	No	$400	42.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	$80	80.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Поразка

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$255 @ 8.5¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Перемога
Yes$366 @ 73.2¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$14 @ 59.0¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Перемога
Yes$32 @ 10.7¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Перемога
No$348 @ 87.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Поразка
No$40 @ 4.0¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionПеремога
No$819 @ 17.6¢
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Перемога
Yes$400 @ 38.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поразка
Yes$405 @ 56.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Перемога
No$4.0k @ 84.0¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?Перемога
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Поразка
Yes$169 @ 24.0¢
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Поразка
Yes$299 @ 30.0¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Перемога
Yes$264 @ 88.0¢
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Перемога
No$261 @ 87.0¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Перемога
Yes$47 @ 23.6¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Перемога
No$440 @ 88.0¢
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Поразка
Yes$102 @ 20.0¢
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?Поразка
Yes$87 @ 17.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Поразка
No$320 @ 32.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Поразка
No$260 @ 70.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$295 @ 59.0¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?Поразка
Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Поразка
No$66 @ 22.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Перемога
Yes$378 @ 54.0¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Поразка
No$219 @ 73.0¢
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Поразка
Yes$142 @ 27.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Перемога
No$986 @ 75.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Перемога
No$125 @ 25.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поразка
No$400 @ 63.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Перемога
No$300 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Перемога
No$1.2k @ 82.9¢
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?Поразка
Yes$43 @ 43.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Перемога
Yes$100 @ 48.0¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поразка
Yes$29 @ 19.0¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Поразка
Yes$229 @ 43.0¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 5.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$443 @ 88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$370 @ 73.9¢
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Поразка
Yes$92 @ 30.0¢
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 7.2¢
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Перемога
Yes$128 @ 11.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Перемога
No$632 @ 79.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Поразка
Yes$95 @ 18.9¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поразка
No$410 @ 35.0¢
Will Europe win the 2026 Laver Cup?Перемога
Yes$13 @ 65.0¢
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?Поразка
No$400 @ 42.0¢
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Перемога
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	Технології	No	$465	93.0¢
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$435	80.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$400	23.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$376	94.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$376	93.9¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Культура	Yes	$372	62.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$368	92.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Політика	No	$355	71.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$350	70.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$288	72.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$284	71.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Політика	Yes	$273	54.6¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Політика	Yes	$232	58.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$216	54.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Політика	Yes	$204	34.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$187	92.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$180	45.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$180	18.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$180	39.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$161	35.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Політика	Yes	$158	15.8¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Геополітика	No	$154	77.0¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Політика	No	$140	28.0¢
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Політика	Yes	$136	34.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$129	43.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$124	31.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Політика	No	$114	76.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$108	27.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$105	21.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Геополітика	Yes	$80	10.0¢

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Технології
No$465 @ 93.0¢
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Політика
Yes$435 @ 80.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
Yes$400 @ 23.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$376 @ 94.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$376 @ 93.9¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Культура
Yes$372 @ 62.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$368 @ 92.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Політика
No$355 @ 71.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$350 @ 70.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$288 @ 72.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$284 @ 71.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Політика
Yes$273 @ 54.6¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Політика
Yes$232 @ 58.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Політика
Yes$216 @ 54.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseПолітика
Yes$204 @ 34.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$187 @ 92.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$180 @ 45.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$180 @ 39.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$161 @ 35.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Політика
Yes$158 @ 15.8¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Геополітика
No$154 @ 77.0¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Політика
No$140 @ 28.0¢
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Політика
Yes$136 @ 34.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Політика
Yes$129 @ 43.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$124 @ 31.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Політика
No$114 @ 76.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$108 @ 27.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$105 @ 21.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Геополітика
Yes$80 @ 10.0¢