0x3bf2…70a4

Профі

Едж

+8.0pp

ROI

+10%

Частка перемог

48% @ 40.4¢

Brier

0.154

Угод

993

Сер. розмір

$18

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	45% (34/76)	+7%	76
Other	40% (22/55)	+63%	55
Геополітика	46% (23/50)	+6%	50
Технології	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Політика76 ставки
Влучання
45% (34/76)
ROI
+7%
Other55 ставки
Влучання
40% (22/55)
ROI
+63%
Геополітика50 ставки
Влучання
46% (23/50)
ROI
+6%
Технології4 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

43% влучень · 79/185

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	$25	25.0¢	Поразка
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	$31	28.2¢	Перемога
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	$108	90.0¢	Перемога
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	$31	26.2¢	Поразка
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	$13	92.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	$170	67.8¢	Перемога
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	$28	18.7¢	Поразка
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	$42	54.4¢	Перемога
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Поразка
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	$358	89.4¢	Перемога
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$58	58.0¢	Перемога
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	$530	88.3¢	Перемога
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	Yes	$158	97.6¢	Перемога
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Поразка
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	Yes	$18	35.0¢	Поразка
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	Yes	$25	38.0¢	Перемога
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	No	$48	91.8¢	Перемога
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	$495	99.1¢	Перемога
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	Yes	$30	6.0¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$82	82.0¢	Перемога
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?	No	$77	76.5¢	Перемога
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	Yes	$25	25.0¢	Поразка
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?	Yes	$42	35.3¢	Поразка
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	Yes	$16	16.5¢	Поразка
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	Yes	$7	27.0¢	Перемога
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Поразка
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 9?	Yes	$38	95.5¢	Перемога
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$1	2.6¢	Поразка
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$4	5.2¢	Поразка
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	$10	6.2¢	Поразка
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	Yes	$15	15.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$7	71.0¢	Перемога
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$27	88.9¢	Поразка
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$70	69.5¢	Перемога
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	Yes	$34	22.9¢	Поразка
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	$123	61.2¢	Поразка
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	$21	17.7¢	Перемога
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	No	$25	39.0¢	Перемога
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	Yes	$57	64.3¢	Поразка
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	$15	15.0¢	Поразка
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	$59	22.4¢	Перемога
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	$43	15.2¢	Поразка
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	$11	21.0¢	Поразка
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	No	$158	85.7¢	Перемога
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$215	29.9¢	Поразка
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	$10	84.0¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Поразка
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	$8	15.9¢	Поразка
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	Yes	$16	22.2¢	Перемога
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	$10	14.5¢	Поразка

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Поразка
Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Перемога
Yes$31 @ 28.2¢
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Перемога
No$108 @ 90.0¢
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Поразка
Yes$31 @ 26.2¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Перемога
No$13 @ 92.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Перемога
No$170 @ 67.8¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?Поразка
Yes$28 @ 18.7¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Перемога
Yes$42 @ 54.4¢
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Перемога
Yes$358 @ 89.4¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Перемога
Yes$58 @ 58.0¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Перемога
Yes$530 @ 88.3¢
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Перемога
Yes$158 @ 97.6¢
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Поразка
Yes$18 @ 35.0¢
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Перемога
Yes$25 @ 38.0¢
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Перемога
No$48 @ 91.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?Перемога
Yes$495 @ 99.1¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Поразка
Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Перемога
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Перемога
No$77 @ 76.5¢
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Поразка
Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Поразка
Yes$42 @ 35.3¢
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Поразка
Yes$16 @ 16.5¢
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Перемога
Yes$7 @ 27.0¢
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 9?Перемога
Yes$38 @ 95.5¢
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 5.2¢
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 6.2¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Поразка
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$7 @ 71.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поразка
Yes$27 @ 88.9¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Перемога
Yes$70 @ 69.5¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Поразка
Yes$34 @ 22.9¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Поразка
Yes$123 @ 61.2¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Перемога
No$21 @ 17.7¢
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Перемога
No$25 @ 39.0¢
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Поразка
Yes$57 @ 64.3¢
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Поразка
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Перемога
Yes$59 @ 22.4¢
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Поразка
Yes$43 @ 15.2¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Поразка
Yes$11 @ 21.0¢
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Перемога
No$158 @ 85.7¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$215 @ 29.9¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Перемога
No$10 @ 84.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 15.9¢
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Перемога
Yes$16 @ 22.2¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 14.5¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?	Політика	No	$1.0k	80.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election?	Політика	No	$966	92.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 45%-50%?	Політика	No	$588	75.5¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?	Політика	No	$483	89.2¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 18% or more?	Політика	No	$403	90.3¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 30% or more?	Політика	No	$329	87.7¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?	Політика	No	$301	85.5¢
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be less than 3,600,000?	Політика	No	$296	90.4¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 30%-35%?	Політика	No	$286	72.8¢
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$266	34.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 50% or more?	Політика	No	$246	89.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 15%-18%?	Політика	No	$235	90.3¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 50% or more?	Політика	No	$234	89.5¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be less than 900,000?	Політика	No	$234	87.3¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 3% or more?	Політика	No	$215	89.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Політика	No	$210	84.7¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 21% or more?	Політика	No	$202	93.1¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 5%-10%?	Політика	No	$199	86.7¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?	Політика	Yes	$198	19.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?	Політика	Yes	$195	14.1¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 18%-21%?	Політика	No	$190	86.3¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?	Політика	Yes	$184	20.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 50% or more?	Політика	No	$170	88.1¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be less than 1,000,000?	Політика	No	$166	95.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 12% or more?	Політика	No	$165	88.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Політика	Yes	$148	17.6¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 12% or more?	Політика	No	$137	92.9¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,275,000 and 1,350,000?	Політика	No	$131	87.5¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	Політика	Yes	$131	16.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 3%-6%?	Політика	Yes	$120	17.1¢

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?Політика
No$1.0k @ 80.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election?Політика
No$966 @ 92.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 45%-50%?Політика
No$588 @ 75.5¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?Політика
No$483 @ 89.2¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 18% or more?Політика
No$403 @ 90.3¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 30% or more?Політика
No$329 @ 87.7¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?Політика
No$301 @ 85.5¢
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be less than 3,600,000?Політика
No$296 @ 90.4¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 30%-35%?Політика
No$286 @ 72.8¢
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Політика
Yes$266 @ 34.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 50% or more?Політика
No$246 @ 89.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 15%-18%?Політика
No$235 @ 90.3¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 50% or more?Політика
No$234 @ 89.5¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be less than 900,000?Політика
No$234 @ 87.3¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 3% or more?Політика
No$215 @ 89.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 3%-6%?Політика
No$210 @ 84.7¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 21% or more?Політика
No$202 @ 93.1¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 5%-10%?Політика
No$199 @ 86.7¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Політика
Yes$198 @ 19.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Політика
Yes$195 @ 14.1¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 18%-21%?Політика
No$190 @ 86.3¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?Політика
Yes$184 @ 20.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 50% or more?Політика
No$170 @ 88.1¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be less than 1,000,000?Політика
No$166 @ 95.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 12% or more?Політика
No$165 @ 88.9¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Політика
Yes$148 @ 17.6¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 12% or more?Політика
No$137 @ 92.9¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,275,000 and 1,350,000?Політика
No$131 @ 87.5¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Політика
Yes$131 @ 16.8¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 3%-6%?Політика
Yes$120 @ 17.1¢