0x3b44…264e

Профі

Едж

+11.4pp

ROI

+28%

Частка перемог

60% @ 48.6¢

Brier

0.192

Угод

1265

Сер. розмір

$548

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	60% (197/326)	+30%	326
Політика	47% (25/53)	+2%	53
Технології	100% (1/1)	+32%	1
Спорт	100% (1/1)	+20%	1
Геополітика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other326 ставки
Влучання
60% (197/326)
ROI
+30%
Політика53 ставки
Влучання
47% (25/53)
ROI
+2%
Технології1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+32%
Спорт1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%
Геополітика1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

59% влучень · 224/382

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8?	No	$181	89.0¢	Перемога
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	No	$483	48.6¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?	No	$1.5k	26.8¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?	Yes	$1.3k	62.4¢	Поразка
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$7.3k	72.2¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (October 27 - November 2)	No	$79	71.9¢	Перемога
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	Yes	$313	22.1¢	Поразка
Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Поразка
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?	Yes	$68	58.6¢	Перемога
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?	Yes	$33	11.0¢	Поразка
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	Yes	$252	2.9¢	Поразка
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?	No	$4.1k	77.3¢	Перемога
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	No	$2.0k	67.8¢	Перемога
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	Yes	$300	19.3¢	Поразка
Will Shayne say "Election" 3+ times during 60 Minutes?	Yes	$412	39.2¢	Перемога
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?	Yes	$1.5k	41.6¢	Перемога
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	Yes	$61	25.3¢	Поразка
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	$88	70.3¢	Поразка
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?	Yes	$3.8k	79.8¢	Перемога
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	$95	21.1¢	Поразка
Will Trump's 2pm signing event not air?	No	$141	40.8¢	Поразка
Will Trump's 2pm signing event not air?	Yes	$1.0k	50.5¢	Перемога
Will Joe Biden say "Obama" during his appearance at the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?	Yes	$763	74.9¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?	No	$463	55.0¢	Перемога
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$1.1k	77.9¢	Поразка
Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?	Yes	$122	41.2¢	Перемога
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	$1.7k	46.5¢	Перемога
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$1.3k	33.3¢	Поразка
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 21?	Yes	$41	57.9¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)	Yes	$4.8k	53.1¢	Поразка
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?	Yes	$98	7.4¢	Поразка
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?	Yes	$402	59.4¢	Перемога
North Korea missile launch by January 31?	Yes	$286	49.5¢	Перемога
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$295	11.0¢	Поразка
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 9 ET?	Yes	$16	28.5¢	Поразка
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?	Yes	$498	86.3¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?	No	$26	31.9¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Hoax" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?	No	$394	84.4¢	Перемога
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$143	12.8¢	Перемога
Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?	Yes	$1.7k	66.9¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Boeing" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?	No	$32	58.2¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?	Yes	$549	62.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?	No	$40	58.0¢	Перемога
Grokipedia released by October 31?	Yes	$138	8.9¢	Перемога
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?	Yes	$4.9k	73.9¢	Перемога
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?	Yes	$93	23.7¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$63	2.2¢	Перемога
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?	Yes	$137	15.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$7.6k	53.1¢	Поразка
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$2.4k	34.6¢	Перемога

Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Перемога
No$181 @ 89.0¢
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Перемога
No$483 @ 48.6¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Перемога
No$1.5k @ 26.8¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Поразка
Yes$1.3k @ 62.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Перемога
Yes$7.3k @ 72.2¢
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (October 27 - November 2)Перемога
No$79 @ 71.9¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Поразка
Yes$313 @ 22.1¢
Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?Перемога
Yes$68 @ 58.6¢
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Поразка
Yes$33 @ 11.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Поразка
Yes$252 @ 2.9¢
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?Перемога
No$4.1k @ 77.3¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Перемога
No$2.0k @ 67.8¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Поразка
Yes$300 @ 19.3¢
Will Shayne say "Election" 3+ times during 60 Minutes?Перемога
Yes$412 @ 39.2¢
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Перемога
Yes$1.5k @ 41.6¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Поразка
Yes$61 @ 25.3¢
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Поразка
Yes$88 @ 70.3¢
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?Перемога
Yes$3.8k @ 79.8¢
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?Поразка
Yes$95 @ 21.1¢
Will Trump's 2pm signing event not air?Поразка
No$141 @ 40.8¢
Will Trump's 2pm signing event not air?Перемога
Yes$1.0k @ 50.5¢
Will Joe Biden say "Obama" during his appearance at the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?Перемога
Yes$763 @ 74.9¢
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?Перемога
No$463 @ 55.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поразка
Yes$1.1k @ 77.9¢
Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?Перемога
Yes$122 @ 41.2¢
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Перемога
Yes$1.7k @ 46.5¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Поразка
Yes$1.3k @ 33.3¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 21?Перемога
Yes$41 @ 57.9¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)Поразка
Yes$4.8k @ 53.1¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Поразка
Yes$98 @ 7.4¢
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Перемога
Yes$402 @ 59.4¢
North Korea missile launch by January 31?Перемога
Yes$286 @ 49.5¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Поразка
Yes$295 @ 11.0¢
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 9 ET?Поразка
Yes$16 @ 28.5¢
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Перемога
Yes$498 @ 86.3¢
Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Поразка
No$26 @ 31.9¢
Will Trump say "Hoax" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Перемога
No$394 @ 84.4¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Перемога
Yes$143 @ 12.8¢
Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?Перемога
Yes$1.7k @ 66.9¢
Will Trump say "Boeing" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Перемога
No$32 @ 58.2¢
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Перемога
Yes$549 @ 62.0¢
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Перемога
No$40 @ 58.0¢
Grokipedia released by October 31?Перемога
Yes$138 @ 8.9¢
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?Перемога
Yes$4.9k @ 73.9¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? Поразка
Yes$93 @ 23.7¢
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?Перемога
No$63 @ 2.2¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Перемога
Yes$137 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Поразка
No$7.6k @ 53.1¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Перемога
Yes$2.4k @ 34.6¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Політика	No	$443	34.0¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Політика	Yes	$125	53.5¢
Ramp IPO before 2027?	Бізнес	Yes	$20	15.0¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$2	3.7¢

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Політика
No$443 @ 34.0¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?Політика
Yes$125 @ 53.5¢
Ramp IPO before 2027?Бізнес
Yes$20 @ 15.0¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Політика
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢