0x392a…262d

Профі

Едж

+9.4pp

ROI

+8%

Частка перемог

58% @ 48.2¢

Brier

0.196

Угод

785

Сер. розмір

$71

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	53% (52/99)	+3%	99
Other	48% (35/73)	+15%	73
Геополітика	48% (14/29)	+34%	29

Політика99 ставки
Влучання
53% (52/99)
ROI
+3%
Other73 ставки
Влучання
48% (35/73)
ROI
+15%
Геополітика29 ставки
Влучання
48% (14/29)
ROI
+34%

Історія результатів

50% влучень · 101/201

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	$76	76.0¢	Перемога
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	No	$100	80.5¢	Перемога
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$8	42.0¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$336	32.4¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	$234	29.2¢	Поразка
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	$60	20.0¢	Поразка
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	$30	75.3¢	Поразка
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$20	12.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$260	65.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$35	11.7¢	Поразка
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$410	38.6¢	Поразка
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$128	32.0¢	Перемога
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$31	52.0¢	Поразка
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$25	12.3¢	Поразка
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Поразка
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$70	35.0¢	Поразка
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	$72	36.0¢	Перемога
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	$36	36.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	$9	44.0¢	Поразка
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	$914	51.5¢	Перемога
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Перемога
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$180	69.2¢	Перемога
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$58	29.0¢	Поразка
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$185	36.8¢	Поразка
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$1.3k	80.1¢	Перемога
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$87	34.8¢	Поразка
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	$3	15.0¢	Поразка
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	$507	79.0¢	Перемога
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?	No	$207	69.0¢	Перемога
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	No	$16	80.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$976	61.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$520	60.5¢	Перемога
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$124	9.7¢	Поразка
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$40	40.0¢	Перемога
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$44	36.8¢	Поразка
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$10	3.1¢	Поразка
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	No	$12	81.0¢	Перемога
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$59	23.7¢	Перемога
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$30	10.0¢	Поразка
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$612	69.5¢	Перемога
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$163	11.7¢	Поразка
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$3	7.7¢	Поразка
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$129	38.0¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$1.9k	69.9¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$214	13.4¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$141	47.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$216	72.0¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$35	33.6¢	Поразка
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$118	59.0¢	Перемога
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$6	28.0¢	Поразка

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Перемога
No$76 @ 76.0¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Перемога
No$100 @ 80.5¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 42.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$336 @ 32.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$234 @ 29.2¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Поразка
No$60 @ 20.0¢
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Поразка
Yes$30 @ 75.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 12.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$260 @ 65.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$35 @ 11.7¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$410 @ 38.6¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$128 @ 32.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Поразка
Yes$31 @ 52.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$25 @ 12.3¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Поразка
Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Перемога
No$72 @ 36.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Поразка
Yes$36 @ 36.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Поразка
No$9 @ 44.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Перемога
No$914 @ 51.5¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Перемога
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Перемога
No$180 @ 69.2¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Поразка
Yes$58 @ 29.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Поразка
No$185 @ 36.8¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Перемога
Yes$1.3k @ 80.1¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$87 @ 34.8¢
Will Putin visit China by May 31?Поразка
No$3 @ 15.0¢
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Перемога
Yes$507 @ 79.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?Перемога
No$207 @ 69.0¢
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?Поразка
No$16 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$976 @ 61.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$520 @ 60.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Поразка
Yes$124 @ 9.7¢
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Перемога
No$40 @ 40.0¢
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$44 @ 36.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 3.1¢
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Перемога
No$12 @ 81.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Перемога
Yes$59 @ 23.7¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Поразка
No$30 @ 10.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$612 @ 69.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$163 @ 11.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 7.7¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Перемога
No$129 @ 38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Перемога
No$1.9k @ 69.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поразка
Yes$214 @ 13.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Перемога
No$141 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Перемога
No$216 @ 72.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$35 @ 33.6¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Перемога
No$118 @ 59.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 28.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Політика	Yes	$1.0k	55.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$1.0k	56.7¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Політика	Yes	$917	63.5¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$836	59.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Політика	No	$827	78.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$816	54.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Політика	No	$740	74.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$716	59.3¢
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$624	49.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Політика	No	$596	71.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Політика	No	$504	77.6¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$328	50.3¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	Політика	No	$264	64.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Політика	No	$240	60.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Політика	Yes	$211	52.7¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$205	68.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Політика	Yes	$174	58.0¢
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$142	28.2¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Політика	Yes	$135	67.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	Yes	$66	66.0¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Політика	No	$64	74.5¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Політика	No	$26	46.3¢
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$24	79.0¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$12	63.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Геополітика	Yes	$9	2.9¢
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$7	7.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Політика	No	$5	9.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Політика	Yes	$5	53.2¢
Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election?	Політика	Yes	$3	5.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Політика	No	$1	65.0¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Політика
Yes$1.0k @ 55.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$1.0k @ 56.7¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Політика
Yes$917 @ 63.5¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$836 @ 59.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Політика
No$827 @ 78.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$816 @ 54.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Політика
No$740 @ 74.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Політика
No$716 @ 59.3¢
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Політика
Yes$624 @ 49.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Політика
No$596 @ 71.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Політика
No$504 @ 77.6¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Політика
No$328 @ 50.3¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Політика
No$264 @ 64.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Політика
No$240 @ 60.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Політика
Yes$211 @ 52.7¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Політика
Yes$205 @ 68.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Політика
Yes$174 @ 58.0¢
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Геополітика
Yes$142 @ 28.2¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Політика
Yes$135 @ 67.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
Yes$66 @ 66.0¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Політика
No$64 @ 74.5¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Політика
No$26 @ 46.3¢
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Політика
Yes$24 @ 79.0¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?Геополітика
Yes$12 @ 63.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Геополітика
Yes$9 @ 2.9¢
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?Геополітика
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Політика
No$5 @ 9.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Політика
Yes$5 @ 53.2¢
Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election?Політика
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Політика
No$1 @ 65.0¢