0x38f5…6824

Едж

+11.4pp

ROI

+45%

Частка перемог

51% @ 39.7¢

Brier

0.136

Угод

Сер. розмір

$51

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	35% (40/115)	+1%	115
Other	52% (44/84)	+46%	84
Геополітика	18% (3/17)	-67%	17
Технології	42% (5/12)	-26%	12
Спорт	43% (3/7)	-23%	7
Крипто	29% (2/7)	+244%	7
Культура	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Економіка	33% (1/3)	+51%	3

Політика115 ставки
Влучання
35% (40/115)
ROI
+1%
Other84 ставки
Влучання
52% (44/84)
ROI
+46%
Геополітика17 ставки
Влучання
18% (3/17)
ROI
-67%
Технології12 ставки
Влучання
42% (5/12)
ROI
-26%
Спорт7 ставки
Влучання
43% (3/7)
ROI
-23%
Крипто7 ставки
Влучання
29% (2/7)
ROI
+244%
Культура5 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Економіка3 ставки
Влучання
33% (1/3)
ROI
+51%

Історія результатів

39% влучень · 98/250

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$48	49.0¢	Поразка
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$22	16.6¢	Поразка
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	$39	90.7¢	Перемога
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$14	42.0¢	Поразка
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.2k	60.5¢	Перемога
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$13	84.4¢	Перемога
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$332	4.4¢	Поразка
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$391	67.7¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?	Yes	$61	11.0¢	Перемога
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Поразка
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	$21	44.0¢	Перемога
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$249	0.7¢	Поразка
Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?	No	$166	86.3¢	Перемога
Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	$107	20.3¢	Поразка
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	$16	7.7¢	Поразка
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	$10	6.0¢	Поразка
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	$23	26.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$46	12.0¢	Поразка
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	Yes	$29	2.4¢	Поразка
Will Trump post "Vance" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	$214	83.0¢	Перемога
Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?	Yes	$6	15.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Migrant Criminal" this week?	Yes	$330	48.1¢	Поразка
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?	Yes	$21	15.8¢	Поразка
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	Yes	$1.0k	40.9¢	Перемога
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	$10	3.0¢	Поразка
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	$16	16.0¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 17, 2026?	Yes	$177	87.5¢	Перемога
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?	No	$139	67.0¢	Перемога
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	Yes	$1.9k	69.6¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	$3	1.5¢	Поразка
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	$91	1.2¢	Поразка
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?	No	$9	3.0¢	Поразка
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	$19	5.7¢	Поразка
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?	Yes	$96	83.8¢	Перемога
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?	No	$27	21.1¢	Поразка
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$46	8.1¢	Поразка
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?	No	$20	3.6¢	Поразка
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$78	6.0¢	Поразка
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$55	22.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?	Yes	$16	88.7¢	Перемога
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	$233	6.5¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$12	2.3¢	Поразка
Will Trump praise Susan Dell by July 31?	Yes	$24	89.9¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by July 31, 2026?	No	$44	94.3¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$430	94.3¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by July 31, 2026?	No	$8	93.0¢	Перемога
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?	Yes	$74	60.1¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by July 31, 2026?	No	$86	94.9¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by July 31, 2026?	No	$30	93.7¢	Перемога

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$48 @ 49.0¢
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Поразка
Yes$22 @ 16.6¢
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Перемога
No$39 @ 90.7¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Поразка
No$14 @ 42.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Перемога
Yes$1.2k @ 60.5¢
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Перемога
No$13 @ 84.4¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Поразка
Yes$332 @ 4.4¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Перемога
No$391 @ 67.7¢
Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?Перемога
Yes$61 @ 11.0¢
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Перемога
No$21 @ 44.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Поразка
Yes$249 @ 0.7¢
Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?Перемога
No$166 @ 86.3¢
Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?Поразка
Yes$107 @ 20.3¢
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Поразка
Yes$16 @ 7.7¢
Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Поразка
No$10 @ 6.0¢
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Поразка
No$23 @ 26.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Поразка
No$46 @ 12.0¢
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?Поразка
Yes$29 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump post "Vance" on Truth Social this week?Перемога
Yes$214 @ 83.0¢
Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump say "Migrant Criminal" this week?Поразка
Yes$330 @ 48.1¢
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?Поразка
Yes$21 @ 15.8¢
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Перемога
Yes$1.0k @ 40.9¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Поразка
No$10 @ 3.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)Перемога
Song Yadong$16 @ 16.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 17, 2026?Перемога
Yes$177 @ 87.5¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?Перемога
No$139 @ 67.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Перемога
Yes$1.9k @ 69.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 1.5¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Поразка
Yes$91 @ 1.2¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Поразка
No$9 @ 3.0¢
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Поразка
Yes$19 @ 5.7¢
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?Перемога
Yes$96 @ 83.8¢
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?Поразка
No$27 @ 21.1¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$46 @ 8.1¢
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Поразка
No$20 @ 3.6¢
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Поразка
Yes$78 @ 6.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$55 @ 22.0¢
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Перемога
Yes$16 @ 88.7¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Поразка
No$233 @ 6.5¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$12 @ 2.3¢
Will Trump praise Susan Dell by July 31?Перемога
Yes$24 @ 89.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by July 31, 2026?Перемога
No$44 @ 94.3¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$430 @ 94.3¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by July 31, 2026?Перемога
No$8 @ 93.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Перемога
Yes$74 @ 60.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by July 31, 2026?Перемога
No$86 @ 94.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by July 31, 2026?Перемога
No$30 @ 93.7¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Політика	Yes	$20.0k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Політика	No	$20.0k	50.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$2.2k	87.8¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$1.7k	86.0¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Політика	Yes	$1.0k	29.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$800	40.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$783	23.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$613	26.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Політика	Yes	$122	5.2¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$119	38.8¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Політика	Yes	$101	8.1¢
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Політика	No	$84	94.6¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$51	23.0¢
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Політика	No	$36	69.0¢
Maduro guilty of all counts?	Політика	Yes	$23	22.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$10	18.0¢
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$9	3.6¢
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$2	10.0¢
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Економіка	Yes	$1	4.4¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Політика
Yes$20.0k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Політика
No$20.0k @ 50.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$2.2k @ 87.8¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$1.7k @ 86.0¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Політика
Yes$1.0k @ 29.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$800 @ 40.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$783 @ 23.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$613 @ 26.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Політика
Yes$122 @ 5.2¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Політика
Yes$119 @ 38.8¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Політика
Yes$101 @ 8.1¢
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Політика
No$84 @ 94.6¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Політика
Yes$51 @ 23.0¢
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Політика
No$36 @ 69.0¢
Maduro guilty of all counts?Політика
Yes$23 @ 22.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
Yes$10 @ 18.0¢
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Політика
Yes$9 @ 3.6¢
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Політика
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Економіка
Yes$1 @ 4.4¢