0x30f9…fbfc

Профі

Едж

+0.7pp

ROI

+74%

Частка перемог

9% @ 8.1¢

Brier

0.059

Угод

5395

Сер. розмір

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	19% (27/140)	+80%	140
Політика	42% (51/122)	+106%	122
Технології	21% (14/66)	+70%	66
Геополітика	24% (15/62)	-30%	62
Спорт	20% (1/5)	-37%	5
Наука	50% (1/2)	+212%	2
Економіка	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Культура	50% (1/2)	+6%	2
Крипто	100% (1/1)	+92%	1

Other140 ставки
Влучання
19% (27/140)
ROI
+80%
Політика122 ставки
Влучання
42% (51/122)
ROI
+106%
Технології66 ставки
Влучання
21% (14/66)
ROI
+70%
Геополітика62 ставки
Влучання
24% (15/62)
ROI
-30%
Спорт5 ставки
Влучання
20% (1/5)
ROI
-37%
Наука2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+212%
Економіка2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Культура2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+6%
Крипто1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+92%

Історія результатів

28% влучень · 111/402

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	$74	4.2¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	$2	1.3¢	Поразка
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	Yes	$8	0.5¢	Поразка
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$38	68.0¢	Перемога
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$5	1.5¢	Поразка
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	$8	0.3¢	Поразка
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$4	9.0¢	Поразка
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$36	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Поразка
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	No	$13	1.8¢	Поразка
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	$72	4.1¢	Поразка
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$19	0.2¢	Поразка
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?	No	$7	0.6¢	Поразка
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	No	$21	22.3¢	Перемога
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	$14	2.2¢	Поразка
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	$54	1.2¢	Поразка
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?	Yes	$86	1.3¢	Поразка
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	No	$7	2.5¢	Поразка
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	$9	0.8¢	Поразка
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 4?	Yes	$73	11.8¢	Поразка
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$407	15.7¢	Поразка
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$51	24.6¢	Перемога
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$20	0.2¢	Поразка
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?	No	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	No	$5	64.0¢	Перемога
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	Yes	$7	2.7¢	Поразка
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$43	1.3¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$87	70.5¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$105	4.7¢	Поразка
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	$25	3.2¢	Поразка
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$444	7.8¢	Поразка
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	Yes	$9	0.3¢	Поразка
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	No	$8	0.5¢	Поразка
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$13	0.4¢	Поразка
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	No	$5	64.0¢	Перемога
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	$21	1.5¢	Поразка
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026?	No	$70	2.4¢	Поразка
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Перемога
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?	No	$2	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	No	$18	53.0¢	Перемога
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$119	1.8¢	Поразка
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	No	$67	2.3¢	Поразка
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	$4	24.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$36	0.3¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$16	8.5¢	Перемога
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	No	$32	0.6¢	Поразка
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	$13	0.6¢	Поразка
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?	No	$23	82.1¢	Перемога

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?Поразка
Yes$74 @ 4.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$2 @ 1.3¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 0.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Перемога
No$38 @ 68.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 1.5¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 0.3¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 9.0¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Поразка
Yes$36 @ 0.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Поразка
No$13 @ 1.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026?Поразка
Yes$72 @ 4.1¢
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Поразка
Yes$19 @ 0.2¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Поразка
No$7 @ 0.6¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Перемога
No$21 @ 22.3¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Поразка
Yes$14 @ 2.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Поразка
Yes$54 @ 1.2¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Поразка
Yes$86 @ 1.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Поразка
No$7 @ 2.5¢
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 0.8¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 4?Поразка
Yes$73 @ 11.8¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Поразка
No$407 @ 15.7¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Перемога
Yes$51 @ 24.6¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Поразка
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Перемога
No$5 @ 64.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 2.7¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Поразка
Yes$43 @ 1.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Перемога
No$87 @ 70.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$105 @ 4.7¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Поразка
Yes$25 @ 3.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поразка
Yes$444 @ 7.8¢
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 0.3¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Поразка
No$8 @ 0.5¢
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$13 @ 0.4¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Перемога
No$5 @ 64.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Поразка
Yes$21 @ 1.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026?Поразка
No$70 @ 2.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Поразка
No$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Перемога
No$18 @ 53.0¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Поразка
Yes$119 @ 1.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?Поразка
No$67 @ 2.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?Перемога
Yes$4 @ 24.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Поразка
No$36 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Перемога
Yes$16 @ 8.5¢
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Поразка
No$32 @ 0.6¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Поразка
Yes$13 @ 0.6¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Перемога
No$23 @ 82.1¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Економіка	Yes	$631	1.8¢
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$289	39.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Політика	No	$220	69.6¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Культура	Yes	$171	48.7¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$154	0.7¢
US military draft authorized in 2026?	Політика	No	$154	80.0¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$145	0.7¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$131	52.8¢
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Політика	No	$122	80.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$116	41.0¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Політика	No	$102	72.7¢
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$101	0.3¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Політика	No	$100	76.1¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Політика	No	$97	88.1¢
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$89	0.3¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$81	84.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Політика	No	$73	50.0¢
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Технології	OpenAI	$67	23.1¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Культура	Yes	$67	5.5¢
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$65	58.5¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$65	8.6¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Культура	Yes	$63	26.1¢
Is Earth flat?	Культура	No	$62	97.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Політика	Yes	$60	1.0¢
China coup attempt before 2027?	Політика	No	$59	84.9¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Політика	No	$55	49.1¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Геополітика	No	$51	53.3¢
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Політика	No	$45	65.9¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Політика	No	$41	64.0¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Наука	No	$40	83.3¢

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Економіка
Yes$631 @ 1.8¢
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Технології
Yes$289 @ 39.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Політика
No$220 @ 69.6¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Культура
Yes$171 @ 48.7¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$154 @ 0.7¢
US military draft authorized in 2026?Політика
No$154 @ 80.0¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Геополітика
Yes$145 @ 0.7¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Крипто
Yes$131 @ 52.8¢
Will US annex any territory in 2026?Політика
No$122 @ 80.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$116 @ 41.0¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Політика
No$102 @ 72.7¢
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$101 @ 0.3¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Політика
No$100 @ 76.1¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Політика
No$97 @ 88.1¢
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$89 @ 0.3¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$81 @ 84.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Політика
No$73 @ 50.0¢
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Технології
OpenAI$67 @ 23.1¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Культура
Yes$67 @ 5.5¢
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$65 @ 58.5¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Геополітика
Yes$65 @ 8.6¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Культура
Yes$63 @ 26.1¢
Is Earth flat?Культура
No$62 @ 97.0¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Політика
Yes$60 @ 1.0¢
China coup attempt before 2027?Політика
No$59 @ 84.9¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Політика
No$55 @ 49.1¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Геополітика
No$51 @ 53.3¢
Iran nuclear test before 2027?Політика
No$45 @ 65.9¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Політика
No$41 @ 64.0¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Наука
No$40 @ 83.3¢