0x30f9…fbfc

Профі

Едж

+0.8pp

ROI

+57%

Частка перемог

8% @ 7.6¢

Brier

0.057

Угод

5804

Сер. розмір

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	38% (70/182)	+86%	182
Other	18% (32/174)	+46%	174
Геополітика	22% (21/97)	+101%	97
Технології	18% (16/88)	+34%	88
Крипто	50% (3/6)	+8%	6
Спорт	20% (1/5)	-37%	5
Наука	50% (1/2)	+212%	2
Економіка	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Культура	50% (1/2)	+6%	2

Політика182 ставки
Влучання
38% (70/182)
ROI
+86%
Other174 ставки
Влучання
18% (32/174)
ROI
+46%
Геополітика97 ставки
Влучання
22% (21/97)
ROI
+101%
Технології88 ставки
Влучання
18% (16/88)
ROI
+34%
Крипто6 ставки
Влучання
50% (3/6)
ROI
+8%
Спорт5 ставки
Влучання
20% (1/5)
ROI
-37%
Наука2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+212%
Економіка2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Культура2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+6%

Історія результатів

26% влучень · 145/558

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$6	0.5¢	Поразка
Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Z.ai be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Поразка
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?	Yes	$92	32.4¢	Поразка
Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Поразка
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$4	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Поразка
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$4	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?	Yes	$79	7.8¢	Поразка
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?	Yes	$670	41.4¢	Поразка
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?	Yes	$98	2.9¢	Поразка
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?	No	$5	31.5¢	Перемога
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?	Yes	$10	3.0¢	Поразка
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?	Down	$10	32.0¢	Перемога
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?	Up	$40	0.9¢	Поразка
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?	Yes	$59	13.3¢	Поразка
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	Yes	$5	8.0¢	Поразка
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	No	$3	68.0¢	Поразка
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	Yes	$3	8.0¢	Поразка
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	$8	95.0¢	Перемога
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	$4	3.1¢	Поразка
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Поразка
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	$13	90.0¢	Поразка
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	$22	91.7¢	Перемога
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	$26	3.0¢	Поразка
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	$1	14.0¢	Поразка
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	$50	69.5¢	Перемога
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	$89	59.5¢	Перемога
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	5.8¢	Поразка
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	Yes	$4	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$7	90.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$53	5.4¢	Поразка
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	$30	69.0¢	Перемога
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Поразка
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	$10	1.4¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	$10	21.3¢	Перемога
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	$12	18.4¢	Поразка
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	$15	95.0¢	Перемога
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	$19	1.0¢	Поразка
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	$71	39.1¢	Перемога
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	$20	21.3¢	Перемога
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	$7	28.8¢	Поразка
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	$6	80.0¢	Перемога
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	$30	8.1¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	$14	90.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	$24	3.9¢	Поразка
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	$22	38.9¢	Перемога
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	$274	7.4¢	Поразка

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 0.5¢
Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Z.ai be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Поразка
Yes$92 @ 32.4¢
Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
Will Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?Поразка
Yes$79 @ 7.8¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Поразка
Yes$670 @ 41.4¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Поразка
Yes$98 @ 2.9¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Перемога
No$5 @ 31.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?Перемога
Down$10 @ 32.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?Поразка
Up$40 @ 0.9¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?Поразка
Yes$59 @ 13.3¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Поразка
No$3 @ 68.0¢
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Перемога
No$8 @ 95.0¢
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 3.1¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Поразка
No$13 @ 90.0¢
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Перемога
No$22 @ 91.7¢
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Поразка
Yes$26 @ 3.0¢
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Поразка
No$1 @ 14.0¢
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Перемога
Yes$50 @ 69.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$89 @ 59.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 5.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Перемога
No$7 @ 90.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Поразка
Yes$53 @ 5.4¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Перемога
No$30 @ 69.0¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Перемога
No$10 @ 21.3¢
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Поразка
Yes$12 @ 18.4¢
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Перемога
No$15 @ 95.0¢
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Поразка
Yes$19 @ 1.0¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Перемога
No$71 @ 39.1¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Перемога
No$20 @ 21.3¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 28.8¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Перемога
No$6 @ 80.0¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Поразка
Yes$30 @ 8.1¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Перемога
No$14 @ 90.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Поразка
Yes$24 @ 3.9¢
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Перемога
No$22 @ 38.9¢
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Поразка
Yes$274 @ 7.4¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Економіка	Yes	$631	1.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Політика	No	$220	69.6¢
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?	Політика	Yes	$206	5.7¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Культура	Yes	$171	48.7¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$154	0.7¢
US military draft authorized in 2026?	Політика	No	$154	80.0¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$145	0.7¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$131	52.8¢
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Політика	No	$122	80.0¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	—	Yes	$117	1.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$116	41.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Геополітика	No	$110	11.0¢
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$108	0.2¢
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?	Політика	Yes	$103	54.6¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Геополітика	No	$102	75.8¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Політика	No	$102	72.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Політика	No	$100	76.1¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$94	3.6¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Геополітика	Yes	$93	21.8¢
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?	Технології	Yes	$92	32.4¢
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$89	0.3¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$81	84.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?	—	Yes	$79	7.8¢
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?	Геополітика	Yes	$76	30.1¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?	Політика	Yes	$75	67.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Політика	No	$73	50.0¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Політика	No	$72	90.6¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$72	18.7¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	No	$72	2.7¢
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	—	Yes	$69	3.8¢

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Економіка
Yes$631 @ 1.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Політика
No$220 @ 69.6¢
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Політика
Yes$206 @ 5.7¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Культура
Yes$171 @ 48.7¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$154 @ 0.7¢
US military draft authorized in 2026?Політика
No$154 @ 80.0¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Геополітика
Yes$145 @ 0.7¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Крипто
Yes$131 @ 52.8¢
Will US annex any territory in 2026?Політика
No$122 @ 80.0¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?—
Yes$117 @ 1.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$116 @ 41.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Геополітика
No$110 @ 11.0¢
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$108 @ 0.2¢
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?Політика
Yes$103 @ 54.6¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Геополітика
No$102 @ 75.8¢
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Політика
No$102 @ 72.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Політика
No$100 @ 76.1¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Технології
Yes$94 @ 3.6¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Геополітика
Yes$93 @ 21.8¢
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Технології
Yes$92 @ 32.4¢
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$89 @ 0.3¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$81 @ 84.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?—
Yes$79 @ 7.8¢
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Геополітика
Yes$76 @ 30.1¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?Політика
Yes$75 @ 67.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Політика
No$73 @ 50.0¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Політика
No$72 @ 90.6¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$72 @ 18.7¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
No$72 @ 2.7¢
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?—
Yes$69 @ 3.8¢