0x2b9d…adc0

Профі

Едж

+3.0pp

ROI

+10%

Частка перемог

31% @ 28.4¢

Brier

0.105

Угод

4952

Сер. розмір

$105

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	50% (220/436)	+2%	436
Політика	47% (60/127)	+24%	127
Технології	36% (5/14)	-11%	14
Геополітика	33% (3/9)	-25%	9
Економіка	50% (1/2)	-24%	2
Культура	50% (1/2)	+112%	2
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Крипто	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other436 ставки
Влучання
50% (220/436)
ROI
+2%
Політика127 ставки
Влучання
47% (60/127)
ROI
+24%
Технології14 ставки
Влучання
36% (5/14)
ROI
-11%
Геополітика9 ставки
Влучання
33% (3/9)
ROI
-25%
Економіка2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
-24%
Культура2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+112%
Спорт1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Крипто1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

49% влучень · 290/592

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$280	28.0¢	Поразка
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	$234	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?	Yes	$30	59.0¢	Перемога
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?	No	$236	63.2¢	Поразка
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?	No	$7	7.0¢	Поразка
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$106	58.0¢	Перемога
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?	Yes	$3	2.1¢	Поразка
Epstein client list released in 2025?	No	$18	89.0¢	Перемога
Epstein client list released in 2025?	Yes	$13	12.9¢	Поразка
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?	Yes	$15	1.7¢	Поразка
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$825	55.0¢	Поразка
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$925	87.5¢	Перемога
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	Yes	$620	21.2¢	Поразка
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$85	63.8¢	Перемога
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$41	16.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$619	10.3¢	Поразка
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?	Yes	$17	40.5¢	Перемога
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?	No	$121	83.8¢	Перемога
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	$111	13.6¢	Поразка
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?	No	$1.5k	75.0¢	Перемога
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	No	$860	86.0¢	Перемога
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	$3.5k	48.4¢	Поразка
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$240	7.1¢	Поразка
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$136	68.0¢	Перемога
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	Yes	$12	61.0¢	Поразка
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	Yes	$148	0.3¢	Поразка
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	Yes	$25	0.5¢	Поразка
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$6	63.0¢	Перемога
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$2.0k	51.0¢	Перемога
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?	Yes	$324	81.9¢	Перемога
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$4.2k	10.2¢	Поразка
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?	No	$166	57.0¢	Перемога
Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?	No	$301	24.4¢	Перемога
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	No	$141	72.7¢	Перемога
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	$276	69.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.3k	20.4¢	Поразка
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	Yes	$360	54.0¢	Перемога
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.8k	62.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	No	$92	36.8¢	Поразка
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	Yes	$673	70.2¢	Перемога
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$4.4k	80.0¢	Перемога
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	No	$41	81.0¢	Поразка
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$175	7.0¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$164	75.8¢	Перемога
Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$426	37.0¢	Перемога
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	$323	23.8¢	Поразка
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	No	$123	80.0¢	Поразка
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	$177	3.5¢	Поразка
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	Yes	$45	9.0¢	Поразка
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?	Yes	$38	26.6¢	Поразка

Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Поразка
Yes$280 @ 28.0¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Перемога
No$234 @ 87.0¢
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Перемога
Yes$30 @ 59.0¢
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?Поразка
No$236 @ 63.2¢
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?Поразка
No$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
No$106 @ 58.0¢
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 2.1¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Перемога
No$18 @ 89.0¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Поразка
Yes$13 @ 12.9¢
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?Поразка
Yes$15 @ 1.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Поразка
No$825 @ 55.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Перемога
Yes$925 @ 87.5¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Поразка
Yes$620 @ 21.2¢
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Перемога
No$85 @ 63.8¢
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Поразка
Yes$41 @ 16.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Поразка
Yes$619 @ 10.3¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?Перемога
Yes$17 @ 40.5¢
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Перемога
No$121 @ 83.8¢
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Поразка
Yes$111 @ 13.6¢
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?Перемога
No$1.5k @ 75.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Перемога
No$860 @ 86.0¢
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Поразка
No$3.5k @ 48.4¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$240 @ 7.1¢
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?Перемога
No$136 @ 68.0¢
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Поразка
Yes$12 @ 61.0¢
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Поразка
Yes$148 @ 0.3¢
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Поразка
Yes$25 @ 0.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Перемога
Yes$6 @ 63.0¢
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Перемога
Yes$2.0k @ 51.0¢
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?Перемога
Yes$324 @ 81.9¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поразка
Yes$4.2k @ 10.2¢
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Перемога
No$166 @ 57.0¢
Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?Перемога
No$301 @ 24.4¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Перемога
No$141 @ 72.7¢
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Поразка
No$276 @ 69.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2.3k @ 20.4¢
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Перемога
Yes$360 @ 54.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$3.8k @ 62.0¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Поразка
No$92 @ 36.8¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Перемога
Yes$673 @ 70.2¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Перемога
No$4.4k @ 80.0¢
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Поразка
No$41 @ 81.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Поразка
Yes$175 @ 7.0¢
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Перемога
Yes$164 @ 75.8¢
Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
Yes$426 @ 37.0¢
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Поразка
No$323 @ 23.8¢
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Поразка
No$123 @ 80.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Поразка
No$177 @ 3.5¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Поразка
Yes$45 @ 9.0¢
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?Поразка
Yes$38 @ 26.6¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$8.5k	41.0¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	No	$7.9k	53.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$5.7k	31.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Політика	No	$3.9k	35.9¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$3.2k	67.7¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Політика	No	$2.5k	73.0¢
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Технології	Yes	$2.1k	43.9¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$2.1k	52.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$2.0k	30.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Політика	No	$1.9k	65.4¢
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	Політика	No	$1.4k	72.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1.2k	16.0¢
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Технології	Yes	$1.1k	23.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Технології	No	$1.0k	10.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Технології	Yes	$805	2.3¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$666	45.4¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Політика	Yes	$345	57.6¢
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$327	11.1¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Політика	No	$284	42.9¢
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$262	50.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технології	Yes	$230	7.5¢
Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	Політика	Yes	$208	71.0¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$160	9.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$85	35.0¢
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$23	3.8¢
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1	1.4¢
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1	1.4¢
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1	1.4¢
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1	1.4¢
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1	1.4¢

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Політика
Yes$8.5k @ 41.0¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
No$7.9k @ 53.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$5.7k @ 31.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Політика
No$3.9k @ 35.9¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$3.2k @ 67.7¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Політика
No$2.5k @ 73.0¢
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Технології
Yes$2.1k @ 43.9¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$2.1k @ 52.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Технології
Yes$2.0k @ 30.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Політика
No$1.9k @ 65.4¢
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Політика
No$1.4k @ 72.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$1.2k @ 16.0¢
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Технології
Yes$1.1k @ 23.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Технології
No$1.0k @ 10.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Технології
Yes$805 @ 2.3¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Технології
Yes$666 @ 45.4¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Політика
Yes$345 @ 57.6¢
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$327 @ 11.1¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Політика
No$284 @ 42.9¢
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Політика
Yes$262 @ 50.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технології
Yes$230 @ 7.5¢
Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Політика
Yes$208 @ 71.0¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$160 @ 9.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$85 @ 35.0¢
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$23 @ 3.8¢
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Політика
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Політика
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Політика
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Політика
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Політика
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢