0x2b30…ce6b

Профі

Едж

+20.2pp

ROI

+53%

Частка перемог

59% @ 39.3¢

Brier

0.201

Угод

481

Сер. розмір

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	56% (14/25)	+80%	25
Other	27% (3/11)	-51%	11
Спорт	13% (1/8)	+92%	8
Технології	75% (3/4)	+38%	4
Економіка	67% (2/3)	+71%	3
Крипто	50% (1/2)	-4%	2
Бізнес	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Політика25 ставки
Влучання
56% (14/25)
ROI
+80%
Other11 ставки
Влучання
27% (3/11)
ROI
-51%
Спорт8 ставки
Влучання
13% (1/8)
ROI
+92%
Технології4 ставки
Влучання
75% (3/4)
ROI
+38%
Економіка3 ставки
Влучання
67% (2/3)
ROI
+71%
Крипто2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
-4%
Бізнес1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

44% влучень · 24/54

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$1	5.7¢	Поразка
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$0	11.0¢	Поразка
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	$5	45.0¢	Перемога
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	$6	95.0¢	Перемога
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	$1	3.9¢	Поразка
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	17.0¢	Поразка
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Поразка
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Поразка
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	36.5¢	Перемога
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$20	9.8¢	Поразка
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Поразка
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	Yes	$9	65.0¢	Поразка
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	$8	34.0¢	Поразка
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$53	70.9¢	Перемога
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$30	20.0¢	Поразка
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	$33	66.2¢	Поразка
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Поразка
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	$18	47.1¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$6	52.0¢	Перемога
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$22	57.3¢	Перемога
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$0	4.0¢	Поразка
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	29.7¢	Перемога
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	$25	46.8¢	Поразка
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$25	57.9¢	Перемога
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	$50	82.3¢	Перемога
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$209	56.9¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$58	43.6¢	Перемога
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$9	89.0¢	Перемога
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$30	52.2¢	Перемога
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$5	89.6¢	Перемога
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	$16	88.4¢	Перемога
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$24	24.0¢	Поразка
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$6	42.0¢	Поразка
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	$25	43.1¢	Поразка
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$244	48.6¢	Перемога
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Поразка
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$7	18.4¢	Поразка
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$47	79.0¢	Перемога
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	$24	17.0¢	Поразка
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Поразка
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Поразка
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	17.5¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	Yes	$44	52.1¢	Поразка
Trump renames AI by December 31?	Yes	$39	75.3¢	Перемога
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	$5	38.0¢	Поразка
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	$42	72.8¢	Перемога
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Поразка
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	$17	10.0¢	Перемога
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Поразка
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	$21	86.8¢	Перемога

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 5.7¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 11.0¢
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Перемога
Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Перемога
Yes$6 @ 95.0¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 17.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$10 @ 36.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 9.8¢
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 65.0¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 34.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$53 @ 70.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$30 @ 20.0¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Поразка
Yes$33 @ 66.2¢
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Перемога
Yes$18 @ 47.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Перемога
Yes$22 @ 57.3¢
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$11 @ 29.7¢
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Поразка
Yes$25 @ 46.8¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Перемога
Yes$25 @ 57.9¢
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Перемога
Yes$50 @ 82.3¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Перемога
Yes$209 @ 56.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$58 @ 43.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$30 @ 52.2¢
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Перемога
Yes$5 @ 89.6¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Перемога
Yes$16 @ 88.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поразка
Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$6 @ 42.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Поразка
Yes$25 @ 43.1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Перемога
Yes$244 @ 48.6¢
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 18.4¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$47 @ 79.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Поразка
Yes$24 @ 17.0¢
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$11 @ 17.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?Поразка
Yes$44 @ 52.1¢
Trump renames AI by December 31?Перемога
Yes$39 @ 75.3¢
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 38.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Перемога
Yes$42 @ 72.8¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Перемога
Yes$17 @ 10.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Перемога
Yes$21 @ 86.8¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Політика	Yes	$11	21.7¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Політика	Yes	$11	28.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Технології	Yes	$11	76.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Технології	Yes	$8	52.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Спорт	Yes	$7	41.9¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Геополітика	Yes	$7	29.6¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Політика	Yes	$7	83.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Бізнес	Yes	$6	60.9¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$6	92.0¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Політика	Yes	$5	77.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$5	19.5¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$5	25.4¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Політика	Yes	$4	36.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Політика	Yes	$4	70.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Економіка	Yes	$4	70.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Технології	Yes	$4	22.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Політика	Yes	$4	66.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Бізнес	Yes	$4	82.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$4	32.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	Yes	$3	58.0¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$3	13.0¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$2	19.1¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Політика	Yes	$2	25.1¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Технології	Yes	$2	8.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Політика	Yes	$2	13.4¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Політика	Yes	$2	9.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Економіка	Yes	$2	26.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Спорт	Yes	$1	68.0¢
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Політика	Yes	$1	57.2¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Економіка	Yes	$1	86.4¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Політика
Yes$11 @ 21.7¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Політика
Yes$11 @ 28.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Технології
Yes$11 @ 76.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Технології
Yes$8 @ 52.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Спорт
Yes$7 @ 41.9¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Геополітика
Yes$7 @ 29.6¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Політика
Yes$7 @ 83.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Бізнес
Yes$6 @ 60.9¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$6 @ 92.0¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Політика
Yes$5 @ 77.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
Yes$5 @ 19.5¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Спорт
Yes$5 @ 25.4¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Політика
Yes$4 @ 36.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Політика
Yes$4 @ 70.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Економіка
Yes$4 @ 70.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Технології
Yes$4 @ 22.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Політика
Yes$4 @ 66.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Бізнес
Yes$4 @ 82.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$4 @ 32.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
Yes$3 @ 58.0¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Політика
Yes$2 @ 19.1¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Політика
Yes$2 @ 25.1¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Технології
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Політика
Yes$2 @ 13.4¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Політика
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Економіка
Yes$2 @ 26.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Спорт
Yes$1 @ 68.0¢
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Політика
Yes$1 @ 57.2¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Економіка
Yes$1 @ 86.4¢