0x233b…1f2c

Профі

Едж

+4.9pp

ROI

+35%

Частка перемог

46% @ 40.9¢

Brier

0.217

Угод

589

Сер. розмір

$196

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	46% (59/127)	+13%	127
Other	62% (56/91)	+102%	91
Геополітика	33% (8/24)	-37%	24
Технології	73% (11/15)	+18%	15
Спорт	43% (3/7)	-42%	7
Крипто	67% (2/3)	+37%	3
Наука	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Економіка	100% (2/2)	+22%	2

Політика127 ставки
Влучання
46% (59/127)
ROI
+13%
Other91 ставки
Влучання
62% (56/91)
ROI
+102%
Геополітика24 ставки
Влучання
33% (8/24)
ROI
-37%
Технології15 ставки
Влучання
73% (11/15)
ROI
+18%
Спорт7 ставки
Влучання
43% (3/7)
ROI
-42%
Крипто3 ставки
Влучання
67% (2/3)
ROI
+37%
Наука2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Економіка2 ставки
Влучання
100% (2/2)
ROI
+22%

Історія результатів

52% влучень · 141/271

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	No	$483	63.5¢	Перемога
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$250	22.6¢	Поразка
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$250	10.6¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$400	34.4¢	Поразка
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$500	67.7¢	Перемога
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	$250	21.6¢	Перемога
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$214	12.2¢	Поразка
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	$250	74.0¢	Перемога
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$22	25.9¢	Поразка
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Поразка
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$400	85.9¢	Перемога
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	$613	44.4¢	Поразка
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$699	17.1¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	45.8¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	Yes	$250	40.1¢	Поразка
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$250	29.0¢	Перемога
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$220	58.0¢	Поразка
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	$404	71.6¢	Перемога
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$650	45.2¢	Перемога
Will "OpenAI" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21?	Yes	$11	22.1¢	Поразка
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?	Yes	$207	87.6¢	Перемога
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$522	29.2¢	Перемога
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robert Whittaker	$102	56.0¢	Перемога
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	$250	68.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$157	50.6¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$250	60.7¢	Перемога
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$250	67.5¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$250	18.5¢	Поразка
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	Yes	$258	14.6¢	Поразка
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$56	3.4¢	Поразка
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$745	23.3¢	Поразка
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$600	38.1¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$633	32.8¢	Перемога
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	Yes	$220	5.5¢	Поразка
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	$171	42.7¢	Поразка
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$350	23.5¢	Поразка
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$848	84.8¢	Перемога
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$590	24.1¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$493	34.7¢	Перемога
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?	No	$250	89.4¢	Перемога
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	$268	15.9¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$387	27.0¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?	No	$304	63.9¢	Поразка
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?	Yes	$205	85.5¢	Перемога
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	$151	66.8¢	Поразка
US bank failure by June 30?	Yes	$251	88.0¢	Перемога
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$541	11.5¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$350	40.3¢	Перемога
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$812	25.8¢	Поразка
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$359	32.6¢	Перемога

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Перемога
No$483 @ 63.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Поразка
Yes$250 @ 22.6¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Поразка
Yes$250 @ 10.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Поразка
Yes$400 @ 34.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Перемога
Yes$500 @ 67.7¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Перемога
Yes$250 @ 21.6¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$214 @ 12.2¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Перемога
Yes$250 @ 74.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Поразка
No$22 @ 25.9¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Перемога
No$400 @ 85.9¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Поразка
Yes$613 @ 44.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$699 @ 17.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.9k @ 45.8¢
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Поразка
Yes$250 @ 40.1¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Перемога
Yes$250 @ 29.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Поразка
Yes$220 @ 58.0¢
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Перемога
Yes$404 @ 71.6¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Перемога
Yes$650 @ 45.2¢
Will "OpenAI" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21?Поразка
Yes$11 @ 22.1¢
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?Перемога
Yes$207 @ 87.6¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Перемога
Yes$522 @ 29.2¢
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Перемога
Robert Whittaker$102 @ 56.0¢
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Перемога
Yes$250 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поразка
Yes$157 @ 50.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Перемога
No$250 @ 60.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Поразка
Yes$250 @ 67.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?Поразка
Yes$250 @ 18.5¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Поразка
Yes$258 @ 14.6¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Поразка
Yes$56 @ 3.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поразка
Yes$745 @ 23.3¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$600 @ 38.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Перемога
Yes$633 @ 32.8¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Поразка
Yes$220 @ 5.5¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Поразка
Yes$171 @ 42.7¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Поразка
No$350 @ 23.5¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Перемога
Yes$848 @ 84.8¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поразка
Yes$590 @ 24.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Перемога
Yes$493 @ 34.7¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?Перемога
No$250 @ 89.4¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Поразка
Yes$268 @ 15.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Поразка
Yes$387 @ 27.0¢
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Поразка
No$304 @ 63.9¢
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Перемога
Yes$205 @ 85.5¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Поразка
Yes$151 @ 66.8¢
US bank failure by June 30?Перемога
Yes$251 @ 88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поразка
Yes$541 @ 11.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Перемога
No$350 @ 40.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$812 @ 25.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$359 @ 32.6¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Технології	Yes	$286	80.6¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Технології	Yes	$77	70.2¢

Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Технології
Yes$286 @ 80.6¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Технології
Yes$77 @ 70.2¢