0x1ee9…197f

Профі

Едж

+5.4pp

ROI

+16%

Частка перемог

44% @ 38.7¢

Brier

0.148

Угод

2524

Сер. розмір

$130

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	47% (252/537)	+4%	537
Політика	43% (208/481)	+14%	481
Технології	47% (90/193)	+14%	193
Геополітика	53% (48/90)	+21%	90
Спорт	30% (18/61)	+31%	61
Крипто	32% (8/25)	+56%	25
Культура	55% (6/11)	+14%	11
Економіка	30% (3/10)	-9%	10
Бізнес	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Наука	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other537 ставки
Влучання
47% (252/537)
ROI
+4%
Політика481 ставки
Влучання
43% (208/481)
ROI
+14%
Технології193 ставки
Влучання
47% (90/193)
ROI
+14%
Геополітика90 ставки
Влучання
53% (48/90)
ROI
+21%
Спорт61 ставки
Влучання
30% (18/61)
ROI
+31%
Крипто25 ставки
Влучання
32% (8/25)
ROI
+56%
Культура11 ставки
Влучання
55% (6/11)
ROI
+14%
Економіка10 ставки
Влучання
30% (3/10)
ROI
-9%
Бізнес5 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Наука1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

45% влучень · 633/1414

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	$65	34.5¢	Поразка
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by October 31?	No	$105	72.7¢	Перемога
Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	$44	67.0¢	Перемога
Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	$77	35.9¢	Поразка
Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?	El-Sayed	$846	76.4¢	Перемога
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	No	$1.3k	61.7¢	Перемога
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	$508	34.3¢	Поразка
Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	$162	81.0¢	Перемога
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	No	$52	37.7¢	Поразка
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?	No	$1.0k	73.5¢	Перемога
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?	Yes	$257	9.8¢	Поразка
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$20	5.0¢	Поразка
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	Yes	$307	67.0¢	Перемога
Will CDU win less than 17% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$30	11.0¢	Поразка
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30?	No	$260	51.9¢	Перемога
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$49	22.7¢	Поразка
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000?	No	$958	77.9¢	Перемога
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000?	Yes	$71	13.0¢	Поразка
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000?	Yes	$1	4.2¢	Поразка
Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	$20	8.3¢	Поразка
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$51	77.0¢	Перемога
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поразка
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 148 and 152 seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	$8	6.3¢	Поразка
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	$73	14.3¢	Поразка
Will Shri Thanedar win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Поразка
Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$121	19.9¢	Поразка
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?	No	$4	21.0¢	Перемога
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$368	12.4¢	Поразка
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$1.8k	22.4¢	Поразка
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$5.4k	70.6¢	Перемога
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by September 30?	No	$115	61.1¢	Перемога
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	$20	11.1¢	Поразка
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	No	$55	15.2¢	Перемога
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	Yes	$162	69.3¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	$1	68.0¢	Поразка
Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?	No	$1	76.0¢	Перемога
Will Linke win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	$5	15.1¢	Поразка
Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?	No	$13	67.0¢	Перемога
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31?	No	$8	14.6¢	Поразка
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31?	Yes	$292	68.9¢	Перемога
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?	No	$19	88.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$11	13.8¢	Поразка
Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	$114	33.0¢	Перемога
Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	$3	8.0¢	Поразка
Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%?	Under	$70	54.0¢	Перемога
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	No	$22	12.0¢	Поразка
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	Yes	$8	6.0¢	Поразка
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?	No	$306	79.5¢	Перемога
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	$40	21.7¢	Поразка

Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Поразка
Yes$65 @ 34.5¢
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by October 31?Перемога
No$105 @ 72.7¢
Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Перемога
No$44 @ 67.0¢
Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Поразка
Yes$77 @ 35.9¢
Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?Перемога
El-Sayed$846 @ 76.4¢
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Перемога
No$1.3k @ 61.7¢
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Поразка
Yes$508 @ 34.3¢
Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Перемога
No$162 @ 81.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Поразка
No$52 @ 37.7¢
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?Перемога
No$1.0k @ 73.5¢
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?Поразка
Yes$257 @ 9.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 5.0¢
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Перемога
Yes$307 @ 67.0¢
Will CDU win less than 17% of all valid second votes?Поразка
Yes$30 @ 11.0¢
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30?Перемога
No$260 @ 51.9¢
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Поразка
Yes$49 @ 22.7¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000?Перемога
No$958 @ 77.9¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000?Поразка
Yes$71 @ 13.0¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 4.2¢
Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Поразка
No$20 @ 8.3¢
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$51 @ 77.0¢
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 148 and 152 seats after the 2026 election?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 6.3¢
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Поразка
Yes$73 @ 14.3¢
Will Shri Thanedar win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Поразка
Yes$121 @ 19.9¢
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Перемога
No$4 @ 21.0¢
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$368 @ 12.4¢
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Поразка
No$1.8k @ 22.4¢
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Перемога
Yes$5.4k @ 70.6¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by September 30?Перемога
No$115 @ 61.1¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 0%-3%?Поразка
Yes$20 @ 11.1¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?Перемога
No$55 @ 15.2¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?Поразка
Yes$162 @ 69.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Поразка
No$1 @ 68.0¢
Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?Перемога
No$1 @ 76.0¢
Will Linke win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 15.1¢
Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?Перемога
No$13 @ 67.0¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31?Поразка
No$8 @ 14.6¢
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31?Перемога
Yes$292 @ 68.9¢
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?Перемога
No$19 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$11 @ 13.8¢
Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Перемога
No$114 @ 33.0¢
Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%?Перемога
Under$70 @ 54.0¢
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Поразка
No$22 @ 12.0¢
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 6.0¢
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?Перемога
No$306 @ 79.5¢
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?Поразка
Yes$40 @ 21.7¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Broad Front (FA) win the second-most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Політика	No	$4.4k	98.7¢
Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Політика	No	$4.3k	73.8¢
Israeli Knesset election annulled?	Політика	No	$3.9k	87.2¢
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31?	Політика	No	$3.3k	89.3¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?	Політика	No	$3.3k	87.6¢
Denmark snap election called by December 31?	Політика	No	$3.1k	92.6¢
Will Broad Front (FA) win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Політика	No	$3.1k	89.7¢
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?	Технології	Yes	$3.0k	86.5¢
US recession by end of 2026?	Економіка	No	$2.9k	78.3¢
Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat?	Політика	No	$2.8k	77.6¢
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Політика	No	$2.5k	85.0¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Політика	No	$2.4k	76.1¢
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$2.2k	67.5¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?	Other	No	$2.0k	84.1¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$1.8k	89.3¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	No	$1.8k	79.9¢
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$1.7k	90.7¢
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	Технології	Yes	$1.7k	90.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Політика	Yes	$1.6k	60.9¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Економіка	No	$1.6k	89.8¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?	Політика	No	$1.5k	74.6¢
Will Vox win the most seats in Asturias in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Політика	No	$1.4k	87.1¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	Політика	No	$1.4k	48.4¢
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Політика	No	$1.2k	69.4¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?	Other	No	$1.1k	69.3¢
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?	Політика	No	$1.1k	87.6¢
Will Broad Front (FA) win 6-8 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Політика	No	$1.0k	74.1¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?	Політика	No	$1.0k	41.0¢
Trump Jr.'s Republican nomination odds hit 4% by December 31?	Політика	No	$995	77.5¢
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?	Політика	No	$988	73.1¢

Will Broad Front (FA) win the second-most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?Політика
No$4.4k @ 98.7¢
Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Політика
No$4.3k @ 73.8¢
Israeli Knesset election annulled?Політика
No$3.9k @ 87.2¢
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31?Політика
No$3.3k @ 89.3¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?Політика
No$3.3k @ 87.6¢
Denmark snap election called by December 31?Політика
No$3.1k @ 92.6¢
Will Broad Front (FA) win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Політика
No$3.1k @ 89.7¢
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?Технології
Yes$3.0k @ 86.5¢
US recession by end of 2026?Економіка
No$2.9k @ 78.3¢
Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat?Політика
No$2.8k @ 77.6¢
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Політика
No$2.5k @ 85.0¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?Політика
No$2.4k @ 76.1¢
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$2.2k @ 67.5¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?Other
No$2.0k @ 84.1¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$1.8k @ 89.3¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
No$1.8k @ 79.9¢
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Крипто
No$1.7k @ 90.7¢
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?Технології
Yes$1.7k @ 90.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?Політика
Yes$1.6k @ 60.9¢
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Економіка
No$1.6k @ 89.8¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Політика
No$1.5k @ 74.6¢
Will Vox win the most seats in Asturias in the 2026 Spanish general election?Політика
No$1.4k @ 87.1¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Політика
No$1.4k @ 48.4¢
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Політика
No$1.2k @ 69.4¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?Other
No$1.1k @ 69.3¢
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?Політика
No$1.1k @ 87.6¢
Will Broad Front (FA) win 6-8 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Політика
No$1.0k @ 74.1¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?Політика
No$1.0k @ 41.0¢
Trump Jr.'s Republican nomination odds hit 4% by December 31?Політика
No$995 @ 77.5¢
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?Політика
No$988 @ 73.1¢