0x1d5e…64dd

Прибутковий

Едж

+4.0pp

ROI

+12%

Частка перемог

54% @ 49.7¢

Brier

0.254

Угод

5099

Сер. розмір

$45

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	56% (167/297)	+12%	297
Технології	59% (23/39)	+2%	39
Політика	50% (3/6)	-24%	6
Культура	60% (3/5)	+17%	5
Крипто	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Спорт	50% (1/2)	+48%	2
Економіка	50% (1/2)	+5%	2

Other297 ставки
Влучання
56% (167/297)
ROI
+12%
Технології39 ставки
Влучання
59% (23/39)
ROI
+2%
Політика6 ставки
Влучання
50% (3/6)
ROI
-24%
Культура5 ставки
Влучання
60% (3/5)
ROI
+17%
Крипто3 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Спорт2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+48%
Економіка2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+5%

Історія результатів

56% влучень · 198/354

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$598	13.6¢	Поразка
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$17	87.0¢	Поразка
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	$29	95.7¢	Перемога
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?	Yes	$263	11.4¢	Поразка
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?	No	$320	17.5¢	Поразка
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	$92	77.0¢	Перемога
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?	No	$65	65.0¢	Перемога
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?	Yes	$34	34.0¢	Поразка
NYC mayoral special election in 2024?	No	$195	84.6¢	Перемога
NYC mayoral special election in 2024?	Yes	$35	15.2¢	Поразка
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$3.2k	80.0¢	Перемога
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	No	$854	53.4¢	Перемога
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	$492	46.8¢	Поразка
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$435	87.0¢	Перемога
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	Yes	$48	80.0¢	Перемога
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?	No	$15	10.0¢	Поразка
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	Yes	$492	70.3¢	Перемога
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$73	81.1¢	Перемога
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	$49	49.0¢	Поразка
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	$16	50.0¢	Перемога
Polymarket Parlay - NFL Week 1	No	$61	61.0¢	Перемога
Polymarket Parlay - NFL Week 1	Yes	$43	35.8¢	Поразка
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$113	49.6¢	Поразка
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	No	$4.8k	62.0¢	Перемога
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	Yes	$3.0k	34.2¢	Поразка
Will Trump say "Israel" during Lex interview?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Перемога
Lana Del Rey pregnant in 2024?	No	$123	84.7¢	Перемога
Lana Del Rey pregnant in 2024?	Yes	$24	18.7¢	Поразка
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" 10+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?	No	$27	53.0¢	Поразка
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" 10+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?	Yes	$7	37.0¢	Перемога
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?	No	$43	43.0¢	Перемога
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?	Yes	$136	66.2¢	Поразка
Will Daylight launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$15	77.0¢	Поразка
Israel strike on Iran on June 27?	Yes	$8	15.4¢	Поразка
Fed rate cut by September meeting?	No	$35	51.0¢	Поразка
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?	Yes	$483	78.2¢	Перемога
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?	No	$30	76.0¢	Перемога
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	No	$148	74.0¢	Поразка
Trump flips Kamala on 538 before October?	No	$144	72.0¢	Перемога
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP	FVD	$25	71.0¢	Перемога
$YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?	Yes	$11	18.7¢	Поразка
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?	No	$32	81.0¢	Перемога
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$17	87.0¢	Поразка
Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?	No	$38	38.0¢	Поразка
Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?	Yes	$63	62.5¢	Перемога
3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Поразка
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$20	70.0¢	Перемога
Rainbow airdrop in 2024?	Yes	$9	6.0¢	Поразка
Will Taylor Swift say "Eras" during Tonight Show on October 6?	Yes	$387	83.5¢	Перемога
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?	No	$83	87.0¢	Перемога

Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$598 @ 13.6¢
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$17 @ 87.0¢
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by September 30, 2026?Перемога
No$29 @ 95.7¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$263 @ 11.4¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Поразка
No$320 @ 17.5¢
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Перемога
Yes$92 @ 77.0¢
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?Перемога
No$65 @ 65.0¢
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?Поразка
Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
NYC mayoral special election in 2024?Перемога
No$195 @ 84.6¢
NYC mayoral special election in 2024?Поразка
Yes$35 @ 15.2¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Перемога
No$3.2k @ 80.0¢
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Перемога
No$854 @ 53.4¢
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Поразка
Yes$492 @ 46.8¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Перемога
No$435 @ 87.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Перемога
Yes$48 @ 80.0¢
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Поразка
No$15 @ 10.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Перемога
Yes$492 @ 70.3¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Перемога
Yes$73 @ 81.1¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Поразка
No$49 @ 49.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Перемога
Yes$16 @ 50.0¢
Polymarket Parlay - NFL Week 1Перемога
No$61 @ 61.0¢
Polymarket Parlay - NFL Week 1Поразка
Yes$43 @ 35.8¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Поразка
Yes$113 @ 49.6¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Перемога
No$4.8k @ 62.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Поразка
Yes$3.0k @ 34.2¢
Will Trump say "Israel" during Lex interview?Перемога
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
Lana Del Rey pregnant in 2024?Перемога
No$123 @ 84.7¢
Lana Del Rey pregnant in 2024?Поразка
Yes$24 @ 18.7¢
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" 10+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?Поразка
No$27 @ 53.0¢
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" 10+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?Перемога
Yes$7 @ 37.0¢
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Перемога
No$43 @ 43.0¢
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Поразка
Yes$136 @ 66.2¢
Will Daylight launch a token by March 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$15 @ 77.0¢
Israel strike on Iran on June 27?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 15.4¢
Fed rate cut by September meeting?Поразка
No$35 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Перемога
Yes$483 @ 78.2¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Перемога
No$30 @ 76.0¢
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Поразка
No$148 @ 74.0¢
Trump flips Kamala on 538 before October?Перемога
No$144 @ 72.0¢
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SPПеремога
FVD$25 @ 71.0¢
$YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?Поразка
Yes$11 @ 18.7¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?Перемога
No$32 @ 81.0¢
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$17 @ 87.0¢
Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?Поразка
No$38 @ 38.0¢
Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?Перемога
Yes$63 @ 62.5¢
3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?Перемога
Yes$20 @ 70.0¢
Rainbow airdrop in 2024?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 6.0¢
Will Taylor Swift say "Eras" during Tonight Show on October 6?Перемога
Yes$387 @ 83.5¢
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?Перемога
No$83 @ 87.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Технології	No	$2.4k	79.2¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	Технології	No	$2.1k	77.7¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$575	23.0¢
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	Політика	No	$470	94.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?	Технології	No	$364	91.0¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Технології	No	$308	77.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	Технології	Yes	$248	82.7¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?	Технології	No	$204	91.9¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Політика	No	$166	83.0¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Крипто	No	$160	80.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$130	65.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Технології	Yes	$129	64.5¢
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?	Бізнес	No	$90	86.0¢
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Технології	Yes	$49	57.2¢
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Бізнес	No	$47	89.0¢
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	Технології	No	$32	87.7¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Технології	No	$15	55.5¢
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Технології	Yes	$13	35.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Політика	No	$10	80.0¢
Ramp IPO before 2027?	Бізнес	No	$5	93.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Політика	Yes	$3	23.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 25, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$2	2.0¢

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Технології
No$2.4k @ 79.2¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?Технології
No$2.1k @ 77.7¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?Технології
Yes$575 @ 23.0¢
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?Політика
No$470 @ 94.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Технології
No$364 @ 91.0¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Технології
No$308 @ 77.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Технології
Yes$248 @ 82.7¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?Технології
No$204 @ 91.9¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Політика
No$166 @ 83.0¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Крипто
No$160 @ 80.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Політика
Yes$130 @ 65.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Технології
Yes$129 @ 64.5¢
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Бізнес
No$90 @ 86.0¢
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Технології
Yes$49 @ 57.2¢
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Бізнес
No$47 @ 89.0¢
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Технології
No$32 @ 87.7¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Технології
No$15 @ 55.5¢
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Технології
Yes$13 @ 35.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Політика
No$10 @ 80.0¢
Ramp IPO before 2027?Бізнес
No$5 @ 93.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Політика
Yes$3 @ 23.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 25, 2026?Технології
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢