0x162f…798d

Едж

-11.7pp

ROI

-50%

Частка перемог

23% @ 34.4¢

Brier

0.139

Угод

615

Сер. розмір

$276

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	69% (33/48)	+11%	48
Геополітика	73% (19/26)	-4%	26
Other	54% (7/13)	-12%	13
Спорт	88% (7/8)	+3%	8
Технології	100% (1/1)	+4%	1
Економіка	100% (1/1)	+54%	1
Крипто	100% (1/1)	+188%	1

Політика48 ставки
Влучання
69% (33/48)
ROI
+11%
Геополітика26 ставки
Влучання
73% (19/26)
ROI
-4%
Other13 ставки
Влучання
54% (7/13)
ROI
-12%
Спорт8 ставки
Влучання
88% (7/8)
ROI
+3%
Технології1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+4%
Економіка1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+54%
Крипто1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+188%

Історія результатів

70% влучень · 69/98

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$10.2k	59.0¢	Перемога
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$53	24.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	9.3¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$14.3k	20.7¢	Поразка
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$10.4k	18.2¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$10.6k	75.2¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$24.1k	35.7¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$3.9k	2.5¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	$760	76.0¢	Перемога
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs	Team Liquid	$3.7k	37.0¢	Поразка
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	No	$402	39.9¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$17.3k	35.8¢	Поразка
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$11.4k	57.0¢	Поразка
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner	paiN Gaming	$3.4k	33.0¢	Перемога
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	$5.9k	59.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	3.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	$27.0k	80.5¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?	Yes	$5.4k	9.5¢	Поразка
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	$3.6k	69.4¢	Перемога
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$5.4k	52.5¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	Yes	$101	1.8¢	Поразка
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	$932	22.7¢	Поразка
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	No	$605	59.3¢	Перемога
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	$5.6k	79.0¢	Поразка
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$9.7k	65.0¢	Перемога
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$13.2k	88.3¢	Перемога
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$10.4k	87.0¢	Поразка
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$41.1k	98.3¢	Перемога
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$43.9k	97.5¢	Перемога
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$10	95.7¢	Перемога
Iran leadership change by July 31?	No	$294	98.0¢	Перемога
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?	No	$3.9k	94.0¢	Перемога
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$87.0k	99.2¢	Перемога
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$14.4k	96.2¢	Перемога
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$24	81.0¢	Перемога
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$686	25.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	No	$1.0k	51.0¢	Перемога
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$4.3k	87.0¢	Перемога
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	No	$2.6k	94.0¢	Перемога
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?	Yes	$700	14.0¢	Поразка
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?	No	$73	97.9¢	Перемога
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	$1.8k	77.0¢	Перемога
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$30.5k	95.3¢	Перемога
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$24	83.0¢	Поразка
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.4k	98.5¢	Перемога
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	No	$159	90.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	Yes	$202	10.0¢	Поразка
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$19.2k	95.8¢	Перемога
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$86	88.0¢	Перемога
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$969	92.0¢	Перемога

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Перемога
Yes$10.2k @ 59.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Перемога
No$53 @ 24.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2.0k @ 9.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$14.3k @ 20.7¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Поразка
Yes$10.4k @ 18.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Перемога
Yes$10.6k @ 75.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Поразка
Yes$24.1k @ 35.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Поразка
Yes$3.9k @ 2.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Перемога
Yes$760 @ 76.0¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsПоразка
Team Liquid$3.7k @ 37.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Перемога
No$402 @ 39.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$17.3k @ 35.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$11.4k @ 57.0¢
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 WinnerПеремога
paiN Gaming$3.4k @ 33.0¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerПоразка
Movistar KOI$5.9k @ 59.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.7k @ 3.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Перемога
Yes$27.0k @ 80.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Поразка
Yes$5.4k @ 9.5¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Перемога
No$3.6k @ 69.4¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$5.4k @ 52.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Поразка
Yes$101 @ 1.8¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Поразка
Yes$932 @ 22.7¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Перемога
No$605 @ 59.3¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Поразка
Yes$5.6k @ 79.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Перемога
Yes$9.7k @ 65.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Перемога
No$13.2k @ 88.3¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Поразка
No$10.4k @ 87.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
Yes$41.1k @ 98.3¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Перемога
No$43.9k @ 97.5¢
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Перемога
No$10 @ 95.7¢
Iran leadership change by July 31?Перемога
No$294 @ 98.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Перемога
No$3.9k @ 94.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Перемога
No$87.0k @ 99.2¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Перемога
Yes$14.4k @ 96.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Перемога
No$24 @ 81.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Поразка
Yes$686 @ 25.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Перемога
No$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Перемога
No$4.3k @ 87.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Перемога
No$2.6k @ 94.0¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Поразка
Yes$700 @ 14.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?Перемога
No$73 @ 97.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Перемога
No$1.8k @ 77.0¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Перемога
Yes$30.5k @ 95.3¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поразка
No$24 @ 83.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$1.4k @ 98.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Перемога
No$159 @ 90.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Поразка
Yes$202 @ 10.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$19.2k @ 95.8¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Перемога
No$86 @ 88.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Перемога
No$969 @ 92.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$26.5k	88.3¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Політика	No	$24.9k	93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	Yes	$24.4k	81.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Політика	No	$23.2k	71.6¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	No	$18.4k	81.6¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$17.6k	88.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$17.2k	86.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Політика	No	$12.8k	88.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$9.8k	73.4¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Політика	No	$5.7k	92.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Політика	Yes	$5.0k	82.9¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Політика	Yes	$4.1k	56.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$2.8k	78.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Політика	No	$1.9k	84.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$1.8k	37.6¢
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Політика	No	$1.5k	72.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$1.1k	22.7¢
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Політика	No	$360	72.0¢
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$124	39.0¢

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$26.5k @ 88.3¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Політика
No$24.9k @ 93.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
Yes$24.4k @ 81.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Політика
No$23.2k @ 71.6¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
No$18.4k @ 81.6¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$17.6k @ 88.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$17.2k @ 86.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Політика
No$12.8k @ 88.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$9.8k @ 73.4¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Політика
No$5.7k @ 92.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Політика
Yes$5.0k @ 82.9¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Політика
Yes$4.1k @ 56.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$2.8k @ 78.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Політика
No$1.9k @ 84.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$1.8k @ 37.6¢
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Політика
No$1.5k @ 72.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$1.1k @ 22.7¢
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Політика
No$360 @ 72.0¢
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Політика
Yes$124 @ 39.0¢