0x1229…df38

Профі

Едж

+21.2pp

ROI

+30%

Частка перемог

60% @ 39.0¢

Brier

0.160

Угод

1200

Сер. розмір

$70

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	38% (11/29)	+37%	29
Other	67% (14/21)	+23%	21
Спорт	29% (2/7)	+68%	7
Економіка	50% (3/6)	-64%	6
Геополітика	67% (2/3)	-49%	3
Технології	50% (1/2)	+77%	2
Бізнес	100% (1/1)	+28%	1

Політика29 ставки
Влучання
38% (11/29)
ROI
+37%
Other21 ставки
Влучання
67% (14/21)
ROI
+23%
Спорт7 ставки
Влучання
29% (2/7)
ROI
+68%
Економіка6 ставки
Влучання
50% (3/6)
ROI
-64%
Геополітика3 ставки
Влучання
67% (2/3)
ROI
-49%
Технології2 ставки
Влучання
50% (1/2)
ROI
+77%
Бізнес1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+28%

Історія результатів

49% влучень · 34/69

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	$4.2k	59.5¢	Поразка
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$122	15.4¢	Поразка
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$88	8.6¢	Поразка
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$3.8k	80.0¢	Перемога
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$2.8k	34.5¢	Поразка
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$9	9.0¢	Поразка
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	$321	78.0¢	Перемога
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?	No	$211	84.0¢	Перемога
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	$116	57.0¢	Перемога
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	No	$51	49.5¢	Поразка
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	$541	61.9¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$220	0.4¢	Поразка
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$1.0k	63.7¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$790	0.6¢	Поразка
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$116	38.0¢	Поразка
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?	No	$88	39.9¢	Перемога
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	$1	2.0¢	Поразка
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	$5.1k	84.3¢	Перемога
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	No	$281	88.9¢	Перемога
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Поразка
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$187	0.7¢	Поразка
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$179	1.7¢	Поразка
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?	Yes	$17	33.2¢	Поразка
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	No	$20.1k	50.2¢	Перемога
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$249	35.6¢	Поразка
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	$1.5k	78.8¢	Перемога
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?	No	$105	69.0¢	Перемога
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	$73	6.0¢	Поразка
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	$352	68.1¢	Перемога
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	$30	60.0¢	Перемога
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?	Yes	$7	19.0¢	Поразка
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?	No	$34	68.0¢	Перемога
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	$1.4k	67.6¢	Перемога
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$4	46.0¢	Перемога
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$172	16.8¢	Перемога
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	$20	65.0¢	Перемога
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	$228	7.3¢	Поразка
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	$91	2.0¢	Поразка
Will Vinicius Jr. score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$40	80.0¢	Перемога
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$727	36.0¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$12.2k	46.3¢	Перемога
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	$3.4k	86.8¢	Перемога
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поразка
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	Yes	$45	15.0¢	Поразка
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$560	55.0¢	Перемога
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	$14	13.5¢	Поразка
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$898	44.5¢	Поразка
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	No	$52	53.4¢	Перемога
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Yes	$360	24.0¢	Поразка
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$36	70.7¢	Перемога

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Поразка
No$4.2k @ 59.5¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Поразка
Yes$122 @ 15.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$88 @ 8.6¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Перемога
No$3.8k @ 80.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Поразка
Yes$2.8k @ 34.5¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Поразка
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?Перемога
Yes$321 @ 78.0¢
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?Перемога
No$211 @ 84.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?Перемога
Yes$116 @ 57.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Поразка
No$51 @ 49.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Перемога
Yes$541 @ 61.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$220 @ 0.4¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
No$1.0k @ 63.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$790 @ 0.6¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Поразка
Yes$116 @ 38.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Перемога
No$88 @ 39.9¢
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Поразка
No$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Перемога
Yes$5.1k @ 84.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?Перемога
No$281 @ 88.9¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$187 @ 0.7¢
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$179 @ 1.7¢
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?Поразка
Yes$17 @ 33.2¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Перемога
No$20.1k @ 50.2¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Поразка
Yes$249 @ 35.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Перемога
No$1.5k @ 78.8¢
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?Перемога
No$105 @ 69.0¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Поразка
Yes$73 @ 6.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Перемога
No$352 @ 68.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Перемога
No$30 @ 60.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 19.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?Перемога
No$34 @ 68.0¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Перемога
Yes$1.4k @ 67.6¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Перемога
Yes$4 @ 46.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Перемога
Yes$172 @ 16.8¢
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Перемога
No$20 @ 65.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Поразка
Yes$228 @ 7.3¢
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Поразка
Yes$91 @ 2.0¢
Will Vinicius Jr. score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Перемога
No$40 @ 80.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Перемога
Yes$727 @ 36.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$12.2k @ 46.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?Перемога
No$3.4k @ 86.8¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?Поразка
Yes$45 @ 15.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Перемога
No$560 @ 55.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Поразка
No$14 @ 13.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Поразка
Yes$898 @ 44.5¢
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Перемога
No$52 @ 53.4¢
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Поразка
Yes$360 @ 24.0¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$36 @ 70.7¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
US recession by end of 2026?	Економіка	No	$13.8k	87.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$6.2k	40.9¢
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Політика	Yes	$5.8k	85.2¢
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$4.9k	2.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	No	$4.3k	42.6¢
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Політика	No	$4.3k	91.2¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	Політика	Yes	$3.6k	95.5¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Крипто	No	$2.2k	73.9¢
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Політика	No	$2.0k	84.1¢
Lula participates in debate before first round?	Політика	No	$1.9k	67.3¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Політика	Yes	$1.6k	95.9¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?	Політика	Yes	$1.6k	97.8¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Геополітика	Yes	$1.5k	30.3¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?	Політика	Yes	$1.4k	97.0¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Геополітика	Yes	$1.3k	44.8¢
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?	Економіка	No	$1.3k	96.4¢
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?	Економіка	No	$1.2k	96.9¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?	Політика	Yes	$1.1k	96.6¢
Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	Економіка	No	$1.0k	95.7¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?	Політика	Yes	$977	96.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$950	95.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	Політика	Yes	$926	86.4¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Крипто	No	$908	86.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$907	90.7¢
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	No	$884	88.4¢
Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	Економіка	No	$834	95.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	Yes	$728	72.8¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Геополітика	No	$726	74.3¢
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?	Політика	Yes	$690	96.8¢
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?	Економіка	No	$683	96.4¢

US recession by end of 2026?Економіка
No$13.8k @ 87.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$6.2k @ 40.9¢
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Політика
Yes$5.8k @ 85.2¢
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$4.9k @ 2.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
No$4.3k @ 42.6¢
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Політика
No$4.3k @ 91.2¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Політика
Yes$3.6k @ 95.5¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Крипто
No$2.2k @ 73.9¢
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Політика
No$2.0k @ 84.1¢
Lula participates in debate before first round?Політика
No$1.9k @ 67.3¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Політика
Yes$1.6k @ 95.9¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?Політика
Yes$1.6k @ 97.8¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Геополітика
Yes$1.5k @ 30.3¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?Політика
Yes$1.4k @ 97.0¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Геополітика
Yes$1.3k @ 44.8¢
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Економіка
No$1.3k @ 96.4¢
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?Економіка
No$1.2k @ 96.9¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?Політика
Yes$1.1k @ 96.6¢
Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?Економіка
No$1.0k @ 95.7¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Політика
Yes$977 @ 96.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Other
No$950 @ 95.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Політика
Yes$926 @ 86.4¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Крипто
No$908 @ 86.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Other
No$907 @ 90.7¢
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
No$884 @ 88.4¢
Will Truist fail by end of 2026?Економіка
No$834 @ 95.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
Yes$728 @ 72.8¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Геополітика
No$726 @ 74.3¢
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Політика
Yes$690 @ 96.8¢
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?Економіка
No$683 @ 96.4¢