0x0787…0ca3

Прибутковий

Едж

+9.0pp

ROI

+26%

Частка перемог

48% @ 38.5¢

Brier

0.223

Угод

345

Сер. розмір

$36

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	46% (18/39)	+6%	39
Other	43% (6/14)	+77%	14
Технології	75% (3/4)	+21%	4
Геополітика	25% (1/4)	-1%	4
Культура	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Політика39 ставки
Влучання
46% (18/39)
ROI
+6%
Other14 ставки
Влучання
43% (6/14)
ROI
+77%
Технології4 ставки
Влучання
75% (3/4)
ROI
+21%
Геополітика4 ставки
Влучання
25% (1/4)
ROI
-1%
Культура1 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

45% влучень · 28/62

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$99	66.0¢	Перемога
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$17	5.7¢	Поразка
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$2.4k	61.7¢	Перемога
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$405	7.8¢	Поразка
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$148	74.1¢	Перемога
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$52	26.1¢	Поразка
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$530	36.4¢	Поразка
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$391	41.0¢	Перемога
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?	Yes	$1	4.8¢	Поразка
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?	Yes	$3	1.0¢	Поразка
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Поразка
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?	Yes	$441	63.0¢	Перемога
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?	Yes	$47	4.3¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$276	34.6¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$521	65.1¢	Перемога
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	$19	3.3¢	Поразка
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	No	$2	6.0¢	Поразка
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	$12	33.4¢	Перемога
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$14	7.0¢	Поразка
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	No	$1.0k	43.6¢	Перемога
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	Yes	$244	10.2¢	Поразка
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?	No	$33	7.0¢	Поразка
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?	Yes	$236	84.4¢	Перемога
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$305	34.3¢	Поразка
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1.2k	62.3¢	Перемога
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?	No	$127	9.0¢	Перемога
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?	Yes	$182	13.2¢	Поразка
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	Yes	$330	82.5¢	Перемога
Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$42	81.9¢	Перемога
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.5k	55.2¢	Поразка
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$805	31.7¢	Перемога
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	No	$62	26.0¢	Поразка
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	Yes	$134	68.0¢	Перемога
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.0k	81.3¢	Поразка
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?	Yes	$51	53.1¢	Перемога
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?	No	$39	77.0¢	Перемога
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?	Yes	$8	15.0¢	Поразка
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$342	85.1¢	Перемога
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	No	$20	4.0¢	Поразка
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	Yes	$445	89.0¢	Перемога
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$57	89.0¢	Перемога
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?	Yes	$24	6.0¢	Поразка
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	$100	89.6¢	Перемога
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	No	$188	83.0¢	Перемога
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	Yes	$45	19.9¢	Поразка
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	$27	8.3¢	Поразка
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	$75	87.9¢	Перемога
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$5	1.4¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$197	85.5¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$85	23.5¢	Поразка

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Перемога
No$99 @ 66.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поразка
Yes$17 @ 5.7¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Перемога
No$2.4k @ 61.7¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Поразка
Yes$405 @ 7.8¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Перемога
No$148 @ 74.1¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поразка
Yes$52 @ 26.1¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Поразка
No$530 @ 36.4¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Перемога
Yes$391 @ 41.0¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 4.8¢
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Перемога
Yes$441 @ 63.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?Поразка
Yes$47 @ 4.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поразка
No$276 @ 34.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$521 @ 65.1¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Поразка
No$19 @ 3.3¢
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Поразка
No$2 @ 6.0¢
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Перемога
Yes$12 @ 33.4¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Перемога
No$1.0k @ 43.6¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Поразка
Yes$244 @ 10.2¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Поразка
No$33 @ 7.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Перемога
Yes$236 @ 84.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Поразка
No$305 @ 34.3¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Перемога
Yes$1.2k @ 62.3¢
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Перемога
No$127 @ 9.0¢
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Поразка
Yes$182 @ 13.2¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Перемога
Yes$330 @ 82.5¢
Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Перемога
No$42 @ 81.9¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Поразка
No$1.5k @ 55.2¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$805 @ 31.7¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Поразка
No$62 @ 26.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Перемога
Yes$134 @ 68.0¢
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1.0k @ 81.3¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Перемога
Yes$51 @ 53.1¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Перемога
No$39 @ 77.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Поразка
Yes$8 @ 15.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$342 @ 85.1¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Поразка
No$20 @ 4.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Перемога
Yes$445 @ 89.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Перемога
Yes$57 @ 89.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?Поразка
Yes$24 @ 6.0¢
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?Перемога
Yes$100 @ 89.6¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Перемога
No$188 @ 83.0¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Поразка
Yes$45 @ 19.9¢
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Поразка
No$27 @ 8.3¢
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Перемога
Yes$75 @ 87.9¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Поразка
Yes$5 @ 1.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$197 @ 85.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поразка
Yes$85 @ 23.5¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Політика	Yes	$2.7k	98.8¢
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	—	No	$949	94.9¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 20?	—	Yes	$754	86.2¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?	—	No	$745	95.0¢
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?	—	Yes	$372	95.8¢
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 22?	—	Yes	$262	87.2¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?	—	Yes	$254	64.3¢
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$241	86.4¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Політика	No	$190	95.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Технології	Yes	$181	90.5¢
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 24?	—	Yes	$172	94.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Геополітика	No	$137	88.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Політика	No	$136	77.0¢
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Геополітика	No	$134	79.6¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?	—	No	$130	79.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	—	No	$112	58.7¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Політика	No	$100	66.3¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	—	No	$91	45.5¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Політика	No	$89	86.6¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	No	$82	82.0¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 17, 2026?	—	No	$80	94.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$78	78.0¢
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?	—	No	$73	92.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Політика	Yes	$61	25.4¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?	—	No	$48	96.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 17, 2026?	—	No	$47	93.9¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	—	No	$47	93.0¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Технології	No	$43	43.5¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?	—	No	$39	78.0¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Політика	No	$30	48.0¢

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Політика
Yes$2.7k @ 98.8¢
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?—
No$949 @ 94.9¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 20?—
Yes$754 @ 86.2¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?—
No$745 @ 95.0¢
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?—
Yes$372 @ 95.8¢
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 22?—
Yes$262 @ 87.2¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?—
Yes$254 @ 64.3¢
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Політика
No$241 @ 86.4¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Політика
No$190 @ 95.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Технології
Yes$181 @ 90.5¢
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 24?—
Yes$172 @ 94.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Геополітика
No$137 @ 88.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Політика
No$136 @ 77.0¢
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Геополітика
No$134 @ 79.6¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?—
No$130 @ 79.9¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?—
No$112 @ 58.7¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Політика
No$100 @ 66.3¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?—
No$91 @ 45.5¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Політика
No$89 @ 86.6¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 17, 2026?—
No$80 @ 94.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$78 @ 78.0¢
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?—
No$73 @ 92.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Політика
Yes$61 @ 25.4¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?—
No$48 @ 96.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 17, 2026?—
No$47 @ 93.9¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?—
No$47 @ 93.0¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Технології
No$43 @ 43.5¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?—
No$39 @ 78.0¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Політика
No$30 @ 48.0¢