0x01e6…3641

Профі

Едж

+24.6pp

ROI

+27%

Частка перемог

89% @ 64.2¢

Brier

0.175

Угод

240

Сер. розмір

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	67% (18/27)	+53%	27
Other	63% (15/24)	+2%	24
Геополітика	100% (2/2)	+14%	2

Політика27 ставки
Влучання
67% (18/27)
ROI
+53%
Other24 ставки
Влучання
63% (15/24)
ROI
+2%
Геополітика2 ставки
Влучання
100% (2/2)
ROI
+14%

Історія результатів

66% влучень · 35/53

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$61	62.0¢	Перемога
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$8	49.9¢	Перемога
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$7	66.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2	66.0¢	Перемога
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$13	81.3¢	Перемога
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$25	60.1¢	Поразка
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$80	79.7¢	Перемога
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$4	81.7¢	Перемога
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	$21	60.9¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$7	86.0¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	$3	49.0¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	$8	79.5¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$70	71.9¢	Перемога
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$3	59.0¢	Поразка
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	$3	29.0¢	Поразка
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$17	88.3¢	Перемога
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	$18	87.2¢	Перемога
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$4	77.0¢	Поразка
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$45	69.1¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$4	66.8¢	Перемога
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$46	80.3¢	Поразка
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$7	87.0¢	Перемога
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$17	82.5¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$22	84.1¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$36	62.1¢	Перемога
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$24	83.5¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$3	53.0¢	Перемога
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$15	79.4¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	$4	33.0¢	Поразка
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	Yes	$33	60.8¢	Поразка
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	$10	25.0¢	Поразка
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$11	49.5¢	Поразка
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?	Yes	$2	5.3¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$7	84.0¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	51.0¢	Поразка
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	$12	88.0¢	Перемога
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	$6	87.0¢	Перемога
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$130	38.5¢	Перемога
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	$11	88.4¢	Перемога
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?	No	$31	65.0¢	Перемога
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$4	68.0¢	Поразка
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$6	53.8¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$39	79.1¢	Перемога
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$21	74.6¢	Поразка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	$63	70.9¢	Перемога
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$138	72.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$2	57.0¢	Поразка
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$6	84.0¢	Перемога
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	$47	81.0¢	Перемога
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$4	56.9¢	Перемога

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$61 @ 62.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Перемога
No$8 @ 49.9¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 66.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$2 @ 66.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Перемога
No$13 @ 81.3¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поразка
No$25 @ 60.1¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Перемога
Yes$80 @ 79.7¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Перемога
No$4 @ 81.7¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Перемога
No$21 @ 60.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Перемога
Yes$7 @ 86.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Поразка
No$3 @ 49.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Перемога
Yes$8 @ 79.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Перемога
No$70 @ 71.9¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 59.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Перемога
No$17 @ 88.3¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Перемога
No$18 @ 87.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Поразка
No$4 @ 77.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Перемога
Yes$45 @ 69.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Перемога
No$4 @ 66.8¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Поразка
No$46 @ 80.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Перемога
No$7 @ 87.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Перемога
No$17 @ 82.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Перемога
Yes$22 @ 84.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Перемога
Yes$36 @ 62.1¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Перемога
No$24 @ 83.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Перемога
No$3 @ 53.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$15 @ 79.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Поразка
No$4 @ 33.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Поразка
Yes$33 @ 60.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Поразка
No$10 @ 25.0¢
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Поразка
Yes$11 @ 49.5¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 5.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Перемога
No$7 @ 84.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 51.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Перемога
No$12 @ 88.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Перемога
Yes$6 @ 87.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Перемога
Yes$130 @ 38.5¢
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Перемога
Yes$11 @ 88.4¢
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?Перемога
No$31 @ 65.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Поразка
No$4 @ 68.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Перемога
Yes$6 @ 53.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Перемога
No$39 @ 79.1¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Поразка
No$21 @ 74.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Перемога
Yes$63 @ 70.9¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
Yes$138 @ 72.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Поразка
No$2 @ 57.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Перемога
No$6 @ 84.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Перемога
Yes$47 @ 81.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Перемога
No$4 @ 56.9¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Політика	Yes	$141	73.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Політика	Yes	$61	98.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Політика	Yes	$47	82.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	—	Yes	$32	63.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	—	Yes	$31	85.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Політика	Yes	$30	86.1¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	Yes	$27	87.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	—	No	$20	87.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Політика	Yes	$14	68.1¢
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Політика	No	$7	90.4¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Політика	No	$5	64.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$4	56.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$3	49.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Політика	Yes	$2	78.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$2	77.8¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Політика	Yes	$1	5.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Політика	No	$1	71.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1	70.0¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Політика
Yes$141 @ 73.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Політика
Yes$61 @ 98.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Політика
Yes$47 @ 82.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?—
Yes$32 @ 63.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?—
Yes$31 @ 85.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Політика
Yes$30 @ 86.1¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
Yes$27 @ 87.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?—
No$20 @ 87.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Політика
Yes$14 @ 68.1¢
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Політика
No$7 @ 90.4¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Політика
No$5 @ 64.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$4 @ 56.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$3 @ 49.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Політика
Yes$2 @ 78.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
No$2 @ 77.8¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Політика
Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Політика
No$1 @ 71.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Політика
Yes$1 @ 70.0¢