0xfe46…cb39

Профи

Эдж

+2.3pp

ROI

+6%

Доля побед

30% @ 27.4¢

Brier

0.116

Сделок

1620

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	31% (66/214)	-27%	214
Политика	51% (35/69)	+1%	69
Крипто	76% (22/29)	+330%	29
Технологии	83% (10/12)	+18%	12
Геополитика	67% (6/9)	+3%	9
Культура	33% (1/3)	-69%	3
Спорт	50% (1/2)	-54%	2
Бизнес	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Экономика	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other214 ставки
Попадания
31% (66/214)
ROI
-27%
Политика69 ставки
Попадания
51% (35/69)
ROI
+1%
Крипто29 ставки
Попадания
76% (22/29)
ROI
+330%
Технологии12 ставки
Попадания
83% (10/12)
ROI
+18%
Геополитика9 ставки
Попадания
67% (6/9)
ROI
+3%
Культура3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
-69%
Спорт2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-54%
Бизнес2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

История результатов

42% попаданий · 142/341

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	$7	2.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	$0	7.3¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	No	$3	19.0¢	Поражение
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?	No	$10	94.9¢	Поражение
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	$2	49.0¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?	No	$15	94.8¢	Поражение
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	$2	69.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5?	No	$10	90.0¢	Поражение
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	$6	52.0¢	Поражение
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 15?	No	$2	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 26?	Yes	$15	2.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$175	67.9¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	$5	86.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$15	74.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$5	40.0¢	Победа
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?	Yes	$5	8.7¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	$15	74.0¢	Победа
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$5	7.9¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 26?	Yes	$3	35.0¢	Поражение
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$5	6.6¢	Поражение
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$17	46.3¢	Победа
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?	No	$15	74.1¢	Победа
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on March 22?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$30	77.8¢	Победа
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	$15	83.8¢	Победа
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$69	63.8¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 25?	Yes	$25	22.5¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$15	78.0¢	Победа
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	$8	19.7¢	Поражение
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	$15	83.1¢	Победа
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$35	71.9¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$8	81.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	$27	25.3¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 15?	No	$2	0.1¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 25?	Yes	$5	38.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?	Yes	$16	13.1¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	$10	72.0¢	Победа
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$10	87.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	$15	84.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 24?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Поражение
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$17	7.5¢	Поражение
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	No	$30	79.7¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$22	62.7¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$25	84.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 23?	Yes	$15	1.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	Yes	$41	21.3¢	Поражение
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	$7	5.1¢	Поражение
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	Yes	$15	11.2¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 20?	Yes	$15	1.0¢	Поражение

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 7.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?Поражение
No$3 @ 19.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?Поражение
No$10 @ 94.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETПоражение
Up$2 @ 49.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Поражение
No$15 @ 94.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETПоражение
Up$2 @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5?Поражение
No$10 @ 90.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETПоражение
Up$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 15?Поражение
No$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 26?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 2.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Победа
Yes$175 @ 67.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Победа
No$5 @ 86.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Поражение
No$15 @ 74.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Победа
Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 8.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Победа
No$15 @ 74.0¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 7.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 26?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 35.0¢
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 6.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?Победа
Yes$17 @ 46.3¢
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?Победа
No$15 @ 74.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on March 22?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Победа
No$30 @ 77.8¢
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Победа
No$15 @ 83.8¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?Поражение
Yes$69 @ 63.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 25?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 22.5¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Победа
No$15 @ 78.0¢
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 19.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?Победа
No$15 @ 83.1¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$35 @ 71.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Победа
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 25?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Поражение
Yes$27 @ 25.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 15?Поражение
No$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 25?Победа
Yes$5 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 13.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Победа
No$10 @ 72.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Победа
No$10 @ 87.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Победа
No$15 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 24?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 7.5¢
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Победа
No$30 @ 79.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поражение
No$22 @ 62.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Победа
No$25 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 23?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 1.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Поражение
Yes$41 @ 21.3¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Поражение
No$7 @ 5.1¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 11.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 20?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 1.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	—	Yes	$210	74.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 24?	—	Yes	$71	0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?	—	Yes	$16	13.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	—	No	$15	62.8¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	—	No	$15	67.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?	Политика	No	$15	94.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 25?	—	Yes	$13	13.1¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$10	81.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$10	64.4¢
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$10	62.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Политика	No	$10	78.0¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Политика	No	$10	64.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	Крипто	No	$10	63.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$10	75.0¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$10	75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?	—	Yes	$10	25.4¢
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Спорт	No	$10	66.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5?	Крипто	No	$10	90.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 24?	—	Yes	$10	0.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?	Бизнес	No	$10	89.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?	Бизнес	No	$10	94.9¢
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Политика	No	$9	65.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?	—	Yes	$8	3.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?	—	Yes	$7	2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 25?	—	Yes	$7	0.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 22?	—	Yes	$7	21.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	—	Up	$6	52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 24?	—	Yes	$6	0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 25?	—	Yes	$5	18.9¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Технологии	No	$5	65.0¢

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?—
Yes$210 @ 74.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 24?—
Yes$71 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?—
Yes$16 @ 13.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?—
No$15 @ 62.8¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?—
No$15 @ 67.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Политика
No$15 @ 94.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 25?—
Yes$13 @ 13.1¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Геополитика
No$10 @ 81.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$10 @ 64.4¢
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Геополитика
No$10 @ 62.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Политика
No$10 @ 78.0¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Политика
No$10 @ 64.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?Крипто
No$10 @ 63.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$10 @ 75.0¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$10 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?—
Yes$10 @ 25.4¢
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Спорт
No$10 @ 66.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5?Крипто
No$10 @ 90.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 24?—
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?Бизнес
No$10 @ 89.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?Бизнес
No$10 @ 94.9¢
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Политика
No$9 @ 65.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?—
Yes$8 @ 3.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?—
Yes$7 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 25?—
Yes$7 @ 0.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 22?—
Yes$7 @ 21.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET—
Up$6 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 24?—
Yes$6 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 25?—
Yes$5 @ 18.9¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Технологии
No$5 @ 65.0¢