0xfe1a…6bcc

Профи

Эдж

+1.9pp

ROI

+6%

Доля побед

26% @ 24.6¢

Brier

0.102

Сделок

2138

Ср. размер

$12

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	47% (165/352)	+5%	352
Экономика	26% (11/42)	+39%	42
Культура	39% (12/31)	+7%	31
Геополитика	20% (3/15)	-5%	15
Политика	55% (6/11)	+80%	11
Спорт	33% (1/3)	+43%	3
Технологии	100% (2/2)	+22%	2

Other352 ставки
Попадания
47% (165/352)
ROI
+5%
Экономика42 ставки
Попадания
26% (11/42)
ROI
+39%
Культура31 ставки
Попадания
39% (12/31)
ROI
+7%
Геополитика15 ставки
Попадания
20% (3/15)
ROI
-5%
Политика11 ставки
Попадания
55% (6/11)
ROI
+80%
Спорт3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
+43%
Технологии2 ставки
Попадания
100% (2/2)
ROI
+22%

История результатов

44% попаданий · 200/456

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Победа
Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	$15	9.3¢	Поражение
Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	$58	37.0¢	Победа
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?	Yes	$6	5.6¢	Поражение
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?	Yes	$72	6.7¢	Поражение
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?	Yes	$0	7.0¢	Поражение
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	No	$308	64.7¢	Победа
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?	Yes	$54	18.1¢	Поражение
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	No	$473	57.5¢	Победа
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?	Yes	$7	2.3¢	Поражение
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?	Yes	$8	0.7¢	Поражение
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in September?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Поражение
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	No	$86	86.0¢	Победа
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	Yes	$163	20.7¢	Победа
Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Поражение
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be at least 2.8%?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Поражение
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	Yes	$125	50.0¢	Победа
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	Yes	$4	31.0¢	Поражение
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	Yes	$22	9.1¢	Поражение
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Поражение
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	No	$1.2k	58.0¢	Победа
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?	Yes	$14	1.0¢	Поражение
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	$74	8.1¢	Поражение
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?	Yes	$90	34.5¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?	No	$43	85.0¢	Победа
Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	$9	45.0¢	Победа
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in April?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поражение
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?	Yes	$146	17.3¢	Победа
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?	No	$27	79.0¢	Победа
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.5%?	Yes	$20	25.8¢	Поражение
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$152	71.0¢	Победа
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	Yes	$119	8.4¢	Поражение
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	$22	44.0¢	Поражение
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	Yes	$64	72.7¢	Победа
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?	Yes	$33	6.6¢	Поражение
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?	No	$31	66.3¢	Поражение
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?	Yes	$82	63.1¢	Победа
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$109	77.4¢	Победа
Will USA make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?	No	$25	36.8¢	Поражение
Will USA make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?	Yes	$47	53.0¢	Победа
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	No	$61	32.5¢	Победа
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	2.4¢	Поражение
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?	No	$31	38.8¢	Поражение
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$81	76.0¢	Победа
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	$69	64.4¢	Победа
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?	No	$35	87.0¢	Победа
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	Yes	$485	30.9¢	Победа
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$20	83.0¢	Победа
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Поражение
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?	No	$217	79.8¢	Поражение

Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?Победа
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 9.3¢
Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?Победа
Yes$58 @ 37.0¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 5.6¢
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?Поражение
Yes$72 @ 6.7¢
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?Победа
No$308 @ 64.7¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?Поражение
Yes$54 @ 18.1¢
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Победа
No$473 @ 57.5¢
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 2.3¢
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 0.7¢
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in September?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?Победа
No$86 @ 86.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Победа
Yes$163 @ 20.7¢
Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be at least 2.8%?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Победа
Yes$125 @ 50.0¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 31.0¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 9.1¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?Победа
No$1.2k @ 58.0¢
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 1.0¢
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?Поражение
Yes$74 @ 8.1¢
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?Поражение
Yes$90 @ 34.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?Победа
No$43 @ 85.0¢
Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Победа
Yes$9 @ 45.0¢
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in April?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?Победа
Yes$146 @ 17.3¢
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?Победа
No$27 @ 79.0¢
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.5%?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 25.8¢
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Победа
No$152 @ 71.0¢
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Поражение
Yes$119 @ 8.4¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Поражение
No$22 @ 44.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Победа
Yes$64 @ 72.7¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?Поражение
Yes$33 @ 6.6¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?Поражение
No$31 @ 66.3¢
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?Победа
Yes$82 @ 63.1¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Победа
Yes$109 @ 77.4¢
Will USA make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?Поражение
No$25 @ 36.8¢
Will USA make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?Победа
Yes$47 @ 53.0¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?Победа
No$61 @ 32.5¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Поражение
No$31 @ 38.8¢
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Победа
No$81 @ 76.0¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Победа
Yes$69 @ 64.4¢
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?Победа
No$35 @ 87.0¢
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Победа
Yes$485 @ 30.9¢
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
Yes$20 @ 83.0¢
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?Поражение
No$217 @ 79.8¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Геополитика	No	$656	94.8¢
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$635	61.1¢
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$301	28.9¢
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Политика	No	$143	89.2¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Геополитика	Yes	$140	97.2¢
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?	Политика	No	$135	90.0¢
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Геополитика	Yes	$124	54.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	Экономика	No	$106	88.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$100	83.0¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Геополитика	Yes	$74	32.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?	Экономика	No	$62	77.5¢
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	Политика	No	$55	79.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Экономика	Yes	$53	48.6¢
Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October?	Экономика	No	$52	86.9¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Геополитика	Yes	$43	19.8¢
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Культура	Yes	$39	39.4¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Экономика	Yes	$4	28.6¢

Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?Геополитика
No$656 @ 94.8¢
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$635 @ 61.1¢
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$301 @ 28.9¢
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Политика
No$143 @ 89.2¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Геополитика
Yes$140 @ 97.2¢
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Политика
No$135 @ 90.0¢
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Геополитика
Yes$124 @ 54.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?Экономика
No$106 @ 88.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$100 @ 83.0¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Геополитика
Yes$74 @ 32.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?Экономика
No$62 @ 77.5¢
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Политика
No$55 @ 79.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Экономика
Yes$53 @ 48.6¢
Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October?Экономика
No$52 @ 86.9¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Геополитика
Yes$43 @ 19.8¢
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Культура
Yes$39 @ 39.4¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Экономика
Yes$4 @ 28.6¢