0xfc2f…10c7

Профи

Эдж

+9.5pp

ROI

+62%

Доля побед

44% @ 34.2¢

Brier

0.170

Сделок

4337

Ср. размер

$394

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	41% (67/164)	+81%	164
Other	39% (24/62)	+74%	62
Геополитика	37% (23/62)	+6%	62

Политика164 ставки
Попадания
41% (67/164)
ROI
+81%
Other62 ставки
Попадания
39% (24/62)
ROI
+74%
Геополитика62 ставки
Попадания
37% (23/62)
ROI
+6%

История результатов

40% попаданий · 114/288

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	No	$12	56.0¢	Победа
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	$1.1k	48.2¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	$7.6k	27.4¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$3.7k	33.7¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	$10.0k	22.9¢	Поражение
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?	Yes	$873	14.3¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$1.8k	57.6¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$1.7k	10.1¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	$5.9k	35.4¢	Поражение
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	$297	19.5¢	Поражение
Iran leadership change by July 31?	Yes	$2.8k	4.9¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$1.5k	2.1¢	Поражение
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$115	10.6¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?	No	$122	4.0¢	Поражение
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?	No	$720	45.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Поражение
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$15.8k	81.7¢	Поражение
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$33.3k	21.4¢	Победа
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$437	3.9¢	Победа
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	$1.9k	87.3¢	Победа
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$20	14.0¢	Победа
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$23	16.9¢	Победа
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$423	70.0¢	Победа
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$60	36.0¢	Поражение
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$638	2.9¢	Поражение
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$581	16.6¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$5.6k	75.5¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	No	$2.9k	39.7¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	Yes	$115	36.5¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$444	9.9¢	Победа
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$293	2.4¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$160	10.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$7.8k	21.3¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$4.4k	76.6¢	Победа
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$439	4.7¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$427	11.9¢	Поражение
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$2.7k	23.8¢	Поражение
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$6.6k	74.9¢	Победа
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?	Yes	$98	13.4¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	$20.7k	75.2¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$8.7k	12.0¢	Поражение
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	No	$82	82.0¢	Победа
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	$1.5k	6.7¢	Поражение
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	8.0¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$6.9k	27.5¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$10.2k	54.7¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	$73	58.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	$638	39.2¢	Победа
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	No	$40	79.0¢	Победа

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Победа
No$12 @ 56.0¢
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Поражение
Yes$1.1k @ 48.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Победа
No$7.6k @ 27.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3.7k @ 33.7¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Поражение
No$10.0k @ 22.9¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Поражение
Yes$873 @ 14.3¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Поражение
No$1.8k @ 57.6¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Победа
Yes$1.7k @ 10.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Поражение
No$5.9k @ 35.4¢
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Поражение
Yes$297 @ 19.5¢
Iran leadership change by July 31?Поражение
Yes$2.8k @ 4.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поражение
Yes$1.5k @ 2.1¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Поражение
Yes$115 @ 10.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Поражение
No$122 @ 4.0¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Поражение
No$720 @ 45.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поражение
No$15.8k @ 81.7¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Победа
Yes$33.3k @ 21.4¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Победа
No$437 @ 3.9¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Победа
No$1.9k @ 87.3¢
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Победа
No$20 @ 14.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Победа
Yes$23 @ 16.9¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Победа
No$423 @ 70.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 36.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Поражение
Yes$638 @ 2.9¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$581 @ 16.6¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Победа
No$5.6k @ 75.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Поражение
No$2.9k @ 39.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Победа
Yes$115 @ 36.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$444 @ 9.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$293 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$160 @ 10.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поражение
No$7.8k @ 21.3¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Победа
No$4.4k @ 76.6¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Поражение
Yes$439 @ 4.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Поражение
Yes$427 @ 11.9¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$2.7k @ 23.8¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$6.6k @ 74.9¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?Поражение
Yes$98 @ 13.4¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Победа
No$20.7k @ 75.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Поражение
No$8.7k @ 12.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Победа
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Поражение
Yes$1.5k @ 6.7¢
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 8.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Поражение
No$6.9k @ 27.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Победа
Yes$10.2k @ 54.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Поражение
No$73 @ 58.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Победа
Yes$638 @ 39.2¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Победа
No$40 @ 79.0¢

Недавние сделки

в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировки

Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Политика	No	$10.2k	83.5¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$3.7k	92.0¢
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Политика	No	$3.1k	86.8¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$3.0k	67.8¢
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Политика	No	$2.9k	86.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Геополитика	No	$2.8k	11.2¢
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Политика	No	$2.7k	82.6¢
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Политика	No	$1.8k	85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Политика	Yes	$1.6k	6.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.6k	14.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.4k	43.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$1.4k	72.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$1.2k	1.1¢
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.1k	19.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	Other	Yes	$1.1k	18.0¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$1.0k	34.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Политика	Yes	$780	13.0¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$705	4.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Геополитика	No	$679	34.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$601	1.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Политика	No	$600	10.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$412	56.5¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Геополитика	Yes	$382	18.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Политика	No	$346	72.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Политика	No	$332	3.1¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Геополитика	Yes	$252	6.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Политика	No	$223	80.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$212	18.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$188	5.0¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$138	10.0¢

Iran leadership change by December 31?Политика
No$10.2k @ 83.5¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Геополитика
No$3.7k @ 92.0¢
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Политика
No$3.1k @ 86.8¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Политика
Yes$3.0k @ 67.8¢
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Политика
No$2.9k @ 86.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Геополитика
No$2.8k @ 11.2¢
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Политика
No$2.7k @ 82.6¢
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Политика
No$1.8k @ 85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Политика
Yes$1.6k @ 6.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Политика
Yes$1.6k @ 14.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$1.4k @ 43.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Геополитика
Yes$1.4k @ 72.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Политика
Yes$1.2k @ 1.1¢
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Политика
Yes$1.1k @ 19.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Other
Yes$1.1k @ 18.0¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Политика
Yes$1.0k @ 34.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Политика
Yes$780 @ 13.0¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?Политика
Yes$705 @ 4.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Геополитика
No$679 @ 34.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Политика
Yes$601 @ 1.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Политика
No$600 @ 10.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$412 @ 56.5¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Геополитика
Yes$382 @ 18.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Политика
No$346 @ 72.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Политика
No$332 @ 3.1¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Геополитика
Yes$252 @ 6.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Политика
No$223 @ 80.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
Yes$212 @ 18.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$188 @ 5.0¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Политика
Yes$138 @ 10.0¢