0xfaf6…cc47

Профи

Эдж

+10.2pp

ROI

+6%

Доля побед

64% @ 53.4¢

Brier

0.118

Сделок

889

Ср. размер

$466

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	60% (18/30)	+23%	30
Other	77% (23/30)	+16%	30
Геополитика	69% (9/13)	-5%	13
Спорт	44% (4/9)	-89%	9

Политика30 ставки
Попадания
60% (18/30)
ROI
+23%
Other30 ставки
Попадания
77% (23/30)
ROI
+16%
Геополитика13 ставки
Попадания
69% (9/13)
ROI
-5%
Спорт9 ставки
Попадания
44% (4/9)
ROI
-89%

История результатов

66% попаданий · 54/82

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$413	85.1¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	No	$2.5k	86.1¢	Победа
Will Byron Buxton be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?	No	$86	77.5¢	Победа
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$132	3.8¢	Поражение
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20.0k	17.2¢	Поражение
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$1.1k	83.0¢	Победа
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$3.5k	87.0¢	Поражение
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	$7.9k	85.0¢	Победа
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$145	3.8¢	Поражение
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	$3.2k	81.0¢	Победа
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$104	88.0¢	Победа
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$458	39.2¢	Поражение
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$2.9k	81.9¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	$1.8k	87.4¢	Победа
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$2.9k	80.9¢	Победа
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.4k	0.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$862	86.2¢	Победа
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$25.7k	12.9¢	Поражение
Giants vs. Rams	Giants	$26	26.0¢	Поражение
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$127	30.0¢	Поражение
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	$1.1k	81.0¢	Победа
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)	Paraguay	$268	76.0¢	Победа
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.7k	72.4¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	Yes	$1.9k	88.5¢	Победа
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	$214	89.0¢	Победа
49ers vs. Rams	49ers	$35	35.0¢	Победа
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$1.5k	84.3¢	Победа
Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Buccaneers	$98	34.9¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	$1.5k	88.0¢	Победа
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	$1.1k	85.0¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$3.5k	79.8¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$2.5k	27.2¢	Поражение
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?	No	$1.2k	87.0¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$1.8k	84.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$29.4k	69.5¢	Победа
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$1.8k	72.7¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$9.6k	83.8¢	Победа
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	$190	19.0¢	Поражение
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	$4	86.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$9.4k	77.3¢	Победа
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$14	69.0¢	Победа
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$860	86.0¢	Победа
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$425	86.0¢	Победа
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Spain	$369	73.8¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	$95	45.0¢	Победа
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$1.3k	82.9¢	Поражение
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$207	21.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$881	48.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$94.6k	54.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	No	$9.8k	88.0¢	Победа

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Поражение
Yes$413 @ 85.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Победа
No$2.5k @ 86.1¢
Will Byron Buxton be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?Победа
No$86 @ 77.5¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Поражение
Yes$132 @ 3.8¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$20.0k @ 17.2¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Победа
No$1.1k @ 83.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Поражение
Yes$3.5k @ 87.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Победа
No$7.9k @ 85.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$145 @ 3.8¢
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Победа
Yes$3.2k @ 81.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Победа
No$104 @ 88.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
No$458 @ 39.2¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Победа
No$2.9k @ 81.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Победа
Yes$1.8k @ 87.4¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Победа
Yes$2.9k @ 80.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$2.4k @ 0.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Победа
Yes$862 @ 86.2¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$25.7k @ 12.9¢
Giants vs. RamsПоражение
Giants$26 @ 26.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Поражение
Yes$127 @ 30.0¢
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Победа
No$1.1k @ 81.0¢
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Победа
Paraguay$268 @ 76.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3.7k @ 72.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Победа
Yes$1.9k @ 88.5¢
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Победа
Yes$214 @ 89.0¢
49ers vs. RamsПобеда
49ers$35 @ 35.0¢
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Победа
Yes$1.5k @ 84.3¢
Buccaneers vs. BengalsПоражение
Buccaneers$98 @ 34.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Победа
No$1.5k @ 88.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Победа
No$1.1k @ 85.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Победа
No$3.5k @ 79.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Поражение
Yes$2.5k @ 27.2¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Победа
No$1.2k @ 87.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Поражение
No$1.8k @ 84.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Победа
Yes$29.4k @ 69.5¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Победа
No$1.8k @ 72.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Победа
No$9.6k @ 83.8¢
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?Поражение
Yes$190 @ 19.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Поражение
No$4 @ 86.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Победа
Yes$9.4k @ 77.3¢
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Победа
Yes$14 @ 69.0¢
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$860 @ 86.0¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Победа
Yes$425 @ 86.0¢
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceПобеда
Spain$369 @ 73.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Победа
Yes$95 @ 45.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Поражение
No$1.3k @ 82.9¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Победа
Yes$207 @ 21.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$881 @ 48.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$94.6k @ 54.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Победа
No$9.8k @ 88.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$30.1k	93.6¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$28.0k	98.3¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Политика	No	$16.9k	97.4¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$11.0k	84.0¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Политика	No	$10.9k	92.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$7.3k	89.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	Other	No	$5.4k	98.4¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Политика	No	$4.3k	94.8¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Политика	No	$4.2k	97.5¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Политика	No	$3.7k	94.6¢
Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?	Политика	No	$3.6k	89.6¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Политика	No	$3.1k	94.3¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$3.1k	93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$3.1k	88.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$3.1k	91.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Other	No	$2.9k	95.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Политика	No	$2.9k	87.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$2.8k	85.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Политика	No	$2.6k	79.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$2.6k	91.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$2.2k	89.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$2.2k	86.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$2.0k	93.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?	Политика	No	$1.9k	86.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.9k	84.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Политика	No	$1.9k	81.0¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Политика	No	$1.8k	90.0¢
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Технологии	Anthropic	$1.8k	95.0¢
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?	Политика	No	$1.7k	92.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?	Other	No	$1.7k	97.2¢

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Политика
Yes$30.1k @ 93.6¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Геополитика
No$28.0k @ 98.3¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Политика
No$16.9k @ 97.4¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$11.0k @ 84.0¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Политика
No$10.9k @ 92.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Политика
Yes$7.3k @ 89.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?Other
No$5.4k @ 98.4¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Политика
No$4.3k @ 94.8¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Политика
No$4.2k @ 97.5¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Политика
No$3.7k @ 94.6¢
Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?Политика
No$3.6k @ 89.6¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Политика
No$3.1k @ 94.3¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?Политика
Yes$3.1k @ 93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$3.1k @ 88.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?Политика
Yes$3.1k @ 91.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Other
No$2.9k @ 95.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Политика
No$2.9k @ 87.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?Политика
Yes$2.8k @ 85.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Политика
No$2.6k @ 79.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat?Политика
Yes$2.6k @ 91.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?Политика
Yes$2.2k @ 89.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?Политика
Yes$2.2k @ 86.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat?Политика
Yes$2.0k @ 93.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?Политика
No$1.9k @ 86.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Политика
Yes$1.9k @ 84.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Политика
No$1.9k @ 81.0¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Политика
No$1.8k @ 90.0¢
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Технологии
Anthropic$1.8k @ 95.0¢
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Политика
No$1.7k @ 92.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?Other
No$1.7k @ 97.2¢