0xf375…1c0e

Профи

Эдж

+11.7pp

ROI

+25%

Доля побед

56% @ 44.8¢

Brier

0.167

Сделок

386

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	60% (24/40)	+63%	40
Политика	56% (15/27)	-32%	27
Крипто	57% (4/7)	+26%	7
Геополитика	67% (2/3)	-11%	3
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other40 ставки
Попадания
60% (24/40)
ROI
+63%
Политика27 ставки
Попадания
56% (15/27)
ROI
-32%
Крипто7 ставки
Попадания
57% (4/7)
ROI
+26%
Геополитика3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
-11%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

58% попаданий · 45/78

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	No	$2	87.6¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	59.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$26	16.9¢	Поражение
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$2	79.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$2	74.2¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$2	16.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$4	21.7¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$2	77.9¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	No	$2	83.4¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$3	81.0¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$15	18.4¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$23	50.0¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$25	19.3¢	Поражение
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	$6	71.2¢	Победа
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$1	24.7¢	Победа
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$5	0.9¢	Поражение
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	No	$2	57.9¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$4	36.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$1	17.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$11	78.5¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$13	73.0¢	Победа
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$1	84.7¢	Победа
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$5	7.6¢	Поражение
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$1	80.0¢	Победа
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	$2	71.1¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$4	89.5¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$1	23.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$4	71.7¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$8	18.7¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$1	57.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	74.0¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	5.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	No	$1	65.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$16	28.8¢	Поражение
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?	No	$3	81.7¢	Победа
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Поражение
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	$3	63.6¢	Поражение
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$10	19.7¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$1	55.0¢	Поражение
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$19	49.6¢	Победа
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$1	10.5¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	$10	44.3¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$16	8.7¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$13	36.9¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	31.5¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	26.7¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$37	57.3¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Поражение

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Победа
No$2 @ 87.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$26 @ 16.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Победа
Yes$2 @ 79.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Победа
No$2 @ 74.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 16.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 21.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Победа
No$2 @ 77.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Победа
No$2 @ 83.4¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Победа
No$3 @ 81.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$15 @ 18.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$23 @ 50.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 19.3¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Победа
No$6 @ 71.2¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Победа
No$1 @ 24.7¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Поражение
No$2 @ 57.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 36.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Поражение
No$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Победа
Yes$11 @ 78.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Победа
Yes$13 @ 73.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Победа
No$1 @ 84.7¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 7.6¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Победа
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Поражение
No$2 @ 71.1¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Победа
No$4 @ 89.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 23.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 71.7¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Поражение
No$8 @ 18.7¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Победа
Yes$1 @ 57.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$1 @ 74.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Победа
No$1 @ 65.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 28.8¢
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?Победа
No$3 @ 81.7¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Поражение
No$3 @ 63.6¢
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Победа
Yes$10 @ 19.7¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Поражение
No$1 @ 55.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Победа
Yes$19 @ 49.6¢
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 10.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Победа
No$10 @ 44.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 8.7¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$13 @ 36.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 31.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$1 @ 26.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$37 @ 57.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$34	69.7¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$11	96.8¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$6	50.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	—	No	$5	90.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$5	73.2¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Наука	No	$3	91.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$2	31.2¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$2	10.8¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$2	2.0¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$2	3.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$1	27.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	No	$1	50.0¢
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?	Политика	Yes	$1	75.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$1	52.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$1	60.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	—	No	$1	70.0¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Политика	No	$1	73.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$1	89.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$34 @ 69.7¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
No$11 @ 96.8¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$6 @ 50.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?—
No$5 @ 90.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$5 @ 73.2¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Наука
No$3 @ 91.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
Yes$2 @ 31.2¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Политика
Yes$2 @ 10.8¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
Yes$2 @ 3.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$1 @ 27.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
No$1 @ 50.0¢
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Политика
Yes$1 @ 75.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Политика
Yes$1 @ 60.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?—
No$1 @ 70.0¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Политика
No$1 @ 73.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Геополитика
No$1 @ 89.0¢