0xf28f…841a

Профи

Эдж

+15.2pp

ROI

+8%

Доля побед

67% @ 52.1¢

Brier

0.174

Сделок

Ср. размер

$34

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	58% (7/12)	+0%	12
Политика	100% (4/4)	+53%	4
Спорт	100% (1/1)	+72%	1
Крипто	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other12 ставки
Попадания
58% (7/12)
ROI
+0%
Политика4 ставки
Попадания
100% (4/4)
ROI
+53%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+72%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

67% попаданий · 12/18

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	$132	54.4¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$102	42.1¢	Поражение
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$229	39.2¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$112	84.0¢	Победа
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	$53	78.7¢	Победа
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$101	58.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	$70	69.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	No	$5	0.3¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	$47	69.2¢	Победа
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$60	64.5¢	Победа
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?	No	$30	74.8¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?	No	$179	63.1¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	$58	40.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 10?	No	$63	67.6¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 12?	No	$91	71.5¢	Победа
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	$366	0.2¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	$91	78.8¢	Победа
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?	Yes	$25	24.0¢	Поражение

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Победа
No$132 @ 54.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$102 @ 42.1¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Победа
Yes$229 @ 39.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$112 @ 84.0¢
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Победа
Yes$53 @ 78.7¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Победа
Yes$101 @ 58.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Победа
No$70 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?Поражение
No$5 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?Победа
Yes$47 @ 69.2¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Победа
No$60 @ 64.5¢
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?Поражение
No$30 @ 74.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?Поражение
No$179 @ 63.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Победа
No$58 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 10?Победа
No$63 @ 67.6¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 12?Победа
No$91 @ 71.5¢
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Поражение
No$366 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 10?Победа
Yes$91 @ 78.8¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 24.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	—	Yes	$115	46.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$99	70.7¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Спорт	No	$98	51.3¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	—	Yes	$70	35.9¢

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?—
Yes$115 @ 46.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Политика
No$99 @ 70.7¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Спорт
No$98 @ 51.3¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?—
Yes$70 @ 35.9¢